Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/25

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, October 25

Good Luck on day #298 of 2014!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

College football knowledge to ponder with Week 8 upon us.........

-- Michigan State won five of last six games with Michigan, with four of five wins by 14+ points; favorites are 5-2-1 in last eight series games.

-- Tennessee 3-10 in its last 13 games as a home underdog.

-- Last time Miss State played on road (Sept 20) they were unranked; now they're #1 in country. Curious to see how they play.

-- Oregon State is 19-7 vs spread in its last 26 games as road dogs

-- Since 2012, USC is 1-9 vs spread when giving points on the road.

-- Arizona won five of its last six games with Washington State; underdogs are 9-3 vs spread in last 12 series games.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Sad day to be a Rays’ fan; manager Joe Maddon has bolted St Pete. He had an opt-out clause written into his last contract in the event GM Andrew Friedman left the team, which happened earlier this month. I’m guessing Tampa Bay will hire Dave Martinez, Maddon’s bench coach, but it is a sad day to root for the Rays.

Maddon had a .517 winning percentage in nine years with the Rays; in eight years before he got there, their winning percentage was .401.

12) Baseball sold its soul to FOX and is now paying for it; my friend lives an hour north of Pittsburgh. He told me the other day that he wouldn’t have been able to watch Pirate playoff games had they advanced to the NLDS, because his cable system doesn’t carry FOX Sports1.

How in God’s name does MLB allow freakin’ playoff games to be on stations that everyone doesn’t have? Do they want people to see their (excellent) postseason product? FOX uses the playoffs to try and get cable systems to carry this new channel. It makes no sense for baseball to be in this situation, but what do I know?

11) Broncos are up 35-21 with 2:00 left Thursday and they have the ball. San Diego is out of timeouts- Denver can’t possibly lose unless they throw the game.

The PA system is playing music, the fans are celebrating and Peyton Manning is going nuts after they got a 5-yard penalty because linemen couldn’t hear with all the noise. Seriously, he called out the scoreboard operator after the game;

Manning must be a lot of fun to be around, as long as he gets to run everything. Fans pay a king’s ransom to watch the games; they’re entitled to celebrate when the team wins. Too much noise? Deal with it.

10) Steve Nash’s great basketball career is over; he’ll make $9.7M this season for doing nothing, since he is hurt and was retiring after the season anyway. Saw the Lakers twice this preseason; if they make the playoffs, it will be a small miracle- they’re not very good.

9) If what you read about the Seahawks having dissension is true, then those long plane trips they take to road games must be a lot of fun. Because of living up in the Pacific Northwest, Seahawks usually fly the most miles of any NFL team; St Louis last week, Carolina this week, for example. Heavy is the head that wears the crown.

8) Speaking of the Seahawks, still want to hear the whole story on Russell Wilson leaving NC State for Wisconsin after three years/36 starts. That just never happens in the college game; who willingly lets the star QB walk? There has to be a juicy story there somewhere.

7) All three of Indiana Hoosiers’ assistant coaches are former D-I head coaches, which is a lot more unusual than you would think. Most teams have at least one younger, up-and-coming coach; I can’t remember another team where all the assistants had been head coaches in D-I.

6) Speaking of Indiana, Hoosier alum/Orlando Magic guard Victor Oladipo broke bones in his face this week during practice this week and will be out for a while. Tough blow for the Magic, who may turn to rookie Elfrid Payton to run their offense at the start of the season.

5) Stat that I knew but to see it on paper was impressive: Michigan State has made the Sweet 16, the second weekend of the NCAA tournament, 12 of the last 17 years. That’s damn good.

4) Illinois basketball players have a good deal coming up; Nov 27-28 they play two games in Las Vegas, then four days later they have a game in Miami. Lot of pool time for them that week, though pools in Vegas might be closed by then. I’m sure they’ll find something to do.

3) You get the feeling that by the time this disciplinary hearing for Jameis Winston at Florida State takes place, the kid will be packing up his stuff to head to the NFL Combine. Lawyers are very skilled at delay tactics.

2) I’m pretty sure that last night was the last Friday night until June without meaningful basketball—that’s a good thing.

1) Was another Dumb and Dumber movie necessary? Seriously; couldn’t they have just re-shown the first one in theaters and everyone who would go pay $11 to go see it would’ve still been happy?

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 25

Hot teams
-- Sabres lost last four games and seven of first eight.
-- Montreal won six of first seven games. Rangers won their last three games, allowing four goals.
-- Ottawa won last four games, allowing seven goals.
-- Islanders won five of their first seven games. Dallas Stars won four of last five.
-- Red Wings won three of their last four games.
-- Blackhawks won four of their last six games.
-- Nashville won five of its first seven games.
-- Minnesota is 3-2 in first five games, allowing four goals. Lightning won three of last four.
-- Calgary won four of its last six games.

Cold teams
-- San Jose lost its last three games, outscored 14-7.
-- Bruins are 4-5 in first nine games, 2-2 on road. Toronto lost three of first four home games.
-- Devils lost their last four games, allowing 17 goals.
-- Philly lost its first three home games, allowing 14 goals.
-- Blues lost three of their last four games.
-- Pittsburgh lost three of its last four games.
-- Coyotes lost last three games, outscored 12-4. Florida lost four of first six games.
-- Washington split its first six games (1-1 on road).

Series records
-- Sabres won their last six games with San Jose.
-- Bruins won 16 of last 22 games with Toronto.
-- Rangers beat Montreal 4-2 in last spring's Eastern Conference final.
-- Senators won five of last six games with Ottawa.
-- Islanders won three of last four games with Dallas.
-- Flyers won three of last four games with Detroit.
-- Chicago beat St Louis in LY's playoffs, after being down 2-0.
-- Penguins won last three games with Nashville, outscoring them 12-3.
-- Minnesota won six of last nine games with Tampa Bay.
-- Coyotes won their last four games with Florida.
-- Flames lost three of last four games with Washington.

Totals
-- Last four Buffalo games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Boston games this season.
-- Under is 11-2-2 in last fifteen Ranger-Montreal games.
-- Under is 14-5-1 in last twenty Devil-Senator games.
-- Five of last six Dallas-Islander games went over.
-- Five of last six Flyer games went over total.
-- Five of six Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Six of seven Nashville games stayed under total.
-- Last five Minnesota-Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Florida-Arizona games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Washington-Calgary games went over.

[Udog]

NHL

Saturday, October 25

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Trend Report
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4:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. SAN JOSE
Buffalo is 4-5-4 SU in its last 13 games ,when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing San Jose
San Jose is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Jose is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing at home against Buffalo

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. NY ISLANDERS
Dallas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 6 games at home
NY Islanders are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games

7:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Jersey's last 12 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Ottawa is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. MONTREAL
NY Rangers are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Rangers last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Chicago

8:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. NASHVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

8:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

9:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. ARIZONA
Florida is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Florida is 3-6-3 SU in its last 12 games ,when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games

10:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CALGARY
Washington is 3-5-3 SU in its last 11 games ,when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Boston at Toronto
The Bruins head to Toronto tonight where they are 7-3 in their last 10 games versus the Maple Leafs. Boston is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 25

Game 51-52: Buffalo at San Jose (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 9.539; San Jose 12.156
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-380); 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-380); Over

Game 53-54: Boston at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.523; Toronto 11.102
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Under

Game 55-56: NY Rangers at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.553; Montreal 12.122
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-130); Under

Game 57-58: New Jersey at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.093; Ottawa 10.178
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 59-60: Dallas at NY Islanders (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.740; NY Islanders 11.223
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 61-62: Detroit at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.387; Philadelphia 11.674
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over

Game 63-64: Chicago at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.467; St. Louis 11.775
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under

Game 65-66: Pittsburgh at Nashville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.465; Nashville 11.011
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Over

Game 67-68: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.312; Minnesota 12.441
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-160); Under

Game 69-70: Florida at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.109; Arizona 10.011
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Arizona (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+140); Over

Game 71-72: Washington at Calgary (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.543; Calgary 11.197
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 25

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BUFFALO (1-7-0-0, 2 pts.) at SAN JOSE (4-3-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 22-68 ATS (+134.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 4-23 ATS (+49.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 2-17 ATS (+32.4 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 8-32 ATS (+61.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 92-87 ATS (+194.4 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 17-19 ATS (-17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-0 (+5.1 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)

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BOSTON (4-5-0-0, 8 pts.) at TORONTO (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 154-128 ATS (+287.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 23-6 ATS (+12.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 146-151 ATS (-20.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TORONTO is 27-36 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
TORONTO is 104-122 ATS (-84.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 309-322 ATS (-72.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-6-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)

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NY RANGERS (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) at MONTREAL (6-1-0-0, 12 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 69-84 ATS (-39.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
MONTREAL is 62-44 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 30-22 ATS (+1.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 20-32 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 7-5 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.0 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (3-2-0-2, 8 pts.) at OTTAWA (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-1 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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DALLAS (4-1-0-2, 10 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (5-2-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 2-0-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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DETROIT (4-1-0-2, 10 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (2-3-0-2, 6 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-69 ATS (-61.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 217-221 ATS (-91.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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CHICAGO (4-1-0-1, 9 pts.) at ST LOUIS (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 83-144 ATS (+253.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
CHICAGO is 268-294 ATS (-126.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 141-150 ATS (-59.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 9-6 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-6-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (3-2-0-1, 7 pts.) at NASHVILLE (5-0-0-2, 12 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 176-125 ATS (+316.8 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) at MINNESOTA (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)

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FLORIDA (2-2-0-2, 6 pts.) at ARIZONA (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 281-326 ATS (-96.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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WASHINGTON (3-1-0-2, 8 pts.) at CALGARY (5-3-0-1, 11 pts.) - 10/25/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 130-177 ATS (-68.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 1-1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Saturday, October 25

Buffalo at San Jose, 4:05 ET
Buffalo: 87-87 SU in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game
San Jose: 19-25 SU when playing their 4th game in 7 days

Boston at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Boston: 23-6 SU on Saturday games
Toronto: 27-33 SU in home games when playing with 3 or more days

NY Rangers at Montreal, 7:05 ET
New York: 17-13 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +200
Montreal: 43-67 SU after winning their previous game in overtime

New Jersey at Ottawa, 7:05 ET
New Jersey: n/a
Ottawa: n/a

Dallas at NY Islanders, 7:05 ET
Dallas: n/a
New York: n/a

Detroit at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Detroit: 439-315 SU when playing their 3rd game in 5 days
Philadelphia: 92-94 SU off a road win by 2 goals or more

Chicago at St Louis, 8:05 ET
Chicago: 6-14 SU in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses
St Louis: 15-8 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

Pittsburgh at Nashville, 8:05 ET
Pittsburgh: 4-12 SU when playing 5 or less games in 14 days
Nashville: 165-124 SU on Saturday games

Tampa Bay at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 175-182 SU after playing 2 consecutive road games
Minnesota: 16-3 SU in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

Florida at Arizona, 9:05 ET
Florida: 7-23 SU off a win or tie in their previous game
Arizona: 2-4 SU in all games

Washington at Calgary, 10:05 ET
Washington: 123-173 SU in non-conference games
Calgary: 201-169 SU after playing 2 consecutive home games