Announcement

**Udog** · 10-22-2014, 08:27 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting football games this coming weekend.........

-- Mississippi State @ Kentucky-- This is the CBS 3:30 game? Wow.

-- Michigan @ Michigan State-- Spartans are a 17-point favorite!!!!

-- Ole Miss @ LSU-- Don't give my man Les Miles points in Death Valley.

-- Arizona @ Washington State-- If weather is good, bet the over.

-- Ohio State @ Penn State-- Coach Johnson returns to Happy Valley.

-- Eagles @ Cardinals-- Both teams are 5-1; this game ain't for the birds.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Our bottom 5, top 8 in the NFL.......

32) Raiders-- Lot of pressure on Cleveland to beat the Raiders this weekend, after they lost in Jacksonville last week. Raiders have to be happy with rookie QB Carr, but they're only NFL team that hasn't scored 100 points.

31) Jaguars-- No coincidence that bottom two teams are both playing rookie QBs, but those guys haven't been the problem. Fans can't be real thrilled that their "home" game with Dallas is being played in freakin' London.

30) Titans-- Very hard to win without a good QB and Tennessee doesn't have one; still haven't recovered from drafting Vince Young. 27th in NFL in yards/game, tied for 28th in points/game.

29) Jets-- You watched them against Patriots last week and wondered how the hell they were 1-6; then they gave up a draft pick for Percy Harvin, who the Super Bowl champs couldn't wait to get rid of, and you realize they're a dysfunctional team.

28) Buccaneers-- Really thought they'd be pretty good this year, but they're 21st in NFL in takeaways, which has always been a strength of Lovie Smith teams. Funny thing is, at 1-5, they're only two games out of first place in dreadful NFC South.

8) Cardinals-- Funny how other teams' screw-ups can help you; Steelers stupidly got rid of Bruce Arians as OC, he went to Indy, was interim coach for a year and is now in line to be Coach of the Year in the desert. Arizona fired Whisenhunt, who is a good coach, but they were smart to hire Arians.

7) Ravens-- Quietest 5-2 team in league, have allowed least points in NFL. Will try to avenge Week 1 loss to Bengals this week, when they trailed 15-0, rallied to take lead but lost on 77-yard bomb to Green with 4:58 left. Their owner seems like a good guy; he handled the Ray Rice debacle as well as he could have.

6) Patriots-- This has nothing to do with New England, but Carolina is in first place in NFC South and they've allowed 37 more points than they've scored. In another non-Patriot note, Harold Reynolds isn't good on FOX; can't they put Ron Darling or Jim Kaat or John Smoltz on, someone who can make sense?

5) Packers-- Won last four games, scoring 36.3 ppg. If you think college recruiting is an exact science, remember that Aaron Rodgers played junior college ball before he went to California. Only team that offered Ryan Fitzpatrick a scholarship was I-AA Eastern Washington, who play on a red artificial turf field.

4) Chargers-- Raiders, Rams, Bolts all rumored to be interested in moving to LA, where fair-weather fans only support winning teams. All three teams have already called LA home once and left-- why would they go back? Rams' owner Kroenke is from Missouri, is named after Enos Slaughter, the old Cardinal baseball player; would be very surprised if he pulled Rams out of St Louis.

3) Cowboys-- Have converted 54-94 (57.4%) of 3rd down plays, giving them edge in field position and tiring defenses out.

2) Colts-- Started season 0-2 (Broncos/Eagles); haven't lost since. Saw something last week that said through six games, Andrew Luck had thrown 6th most passes of any QB thru six games since 1960. They beat Bengals 27-0 last week and were -2 in the turnover category, with both RBs fumbling in Cincinnati territory.

1) Broncos-- FOX ran a graphic showing John Fox's coaching record with, without Peyton Manning; Fox got to a Super Bowl with Jake freakin' Delhomme as his QB. Why is it that no one posts Belichick's record with and without Brady? Anyone?

Brady's win-loss record: 153-45.
Belichick's win-loss record: 204-107.......you do the math.

**Udog** · 10-22-2014, 08:28 AM

NFL Week 8 line watch: Bettors should be quick to back Chiefs

Spread to bet now

St. Louis Rams at Kansas City Chiefs (-6)

Would you bet on a team the week after it plays in the Super Bowl? That’s essentially what you would be doing if you lay cash on the Rams in this one. St. Louis used every tactical weapon in its arsenal to take down the Seahawks, and you have to wonder how much petrol will be left in the tank when they travel to Kansas City this coming Sunday.

The Chiefs are coming off the high of a solid win in San Diego that kept them in the playoff conversation, and they are a solid 4-2 against the spread. Kansas City will no doubt do everything it can to run the ball against the Rams’ 28th-ranked rush defense, so all the arrows are pointing toward the Chiefs in this one. Jump before the line goes up a half-point.

Spread to wait on

Philadelphia Eagles (+2.5) at Arizona Cardinals

This is the early game of year in the NFL, with both teams at 5-1. The Eagles have been pasting teams at home, but have actually been outscored by opponents in their two home games. Still, early money is on the Eagles, who are a national team and always attract play.

There is a possibility that this one could move to 2-points as heavy money on Philly from the East continues to flood the offshores. Arizona is 5-1 and starting to take of advantage of dysfunction in San Francisco and Seattle to make a real run at the NFC West.

Total to watch

Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons (In London) (47)

These are the worst of times in Atlanta, where the 2-5 Falcons are basically out of it already in the NFC South and giving up gobs of points, despite a benign schedule so far. Fans have been clamoring for Mike Smith’s head on a platter, and there is already talk about bringing in Rex Ryan to fix what ails the defense, which is just about everything.

The Lions aren’t exactly lighting up the scoreboard every week, but they’ve been winning with their league-best defense that allows only 15 points a game. The Falcons will want to run the ball to stay competitive and keep the fans off their backs, so a long look at an under play is needed here.

**Udog** · 10-22-2014, 08:29 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Toronto at Ottawa
The Senators host a Toronto team that is 1-11 in its last 12 games versus Atlantic Division opponents. Ottawa is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-145). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 22

Game 1-2: Toronto at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.802; Ottawa 12.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-145); Over

Game 3-4: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.102; Pittsburgh 11.211
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-210); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+175); Under

Game 5-6: Washington at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.562; Edmonton 11.414
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+130); Under

Game 7-8: Buffalo at Anaheim (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 12.389; Anaheim 11.442
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-350); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+275); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 22

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TORONTO (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) at OTTAWA (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/22/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (1-2-0-2, 4 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/22/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 19-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 69-60 ATS (+138.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 3-8 ATS (-9.6 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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WASHINGTON (3-0-0-2, 8 pts.) at EDMONTON (1-4-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/22/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 130-176 ATS (-67.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 14-34 ATS (+50.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 4-19 ATS (+34.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-0-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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BUFFALO (1-5-0-0, 2 pts.) at ANAHEIM (5-1-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/22/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 22-66 ATS (+129.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 8-30 ATS (+56.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 66-35 ATS (+128.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 34-14 ATS (+10.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 22-8 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 17-2 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 34-12 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 17-3 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 92-85 ATS (+190.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 3-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 22

Hot teams
-- Senators won last four games, allowing seven goals. Toronto won two of its first three on road.
-- Penguins won three of their last four games.
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Anaheim won its last five games, allowing seven goals.

Cold teams
-- Flyers lost five of their first six games.
-- Edmonton lost five of its first six games.
-- Sabres lost five of their last six games.

Series records
-- Maple Leafs won nine of last eleven games with Ottawa.
-- Flyers won their last four games with Pittsburgh.
-- Oilers lost four of last five games with Washington.
-- Anaheim won its last three games with Buffalo, scoring 17 goals.

Totals
-- Four of five Ottawa games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Philly games went over the total.
-- Four of six Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Buffalo games went over total.

NHL

Wednesday, October 22

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. PITTSBURGH
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

9:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. EDMONTON
Washington is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

10:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. ANAHEIM
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Anaheim
Buffalo is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
Anaheim is 8-13-2 SU in its last 23 games ,when playing Buffalo
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

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NHL

Wednesday, October 22

Leafs dominating battle of Ontario

The Battle of Ontario has been incredibly lopsided as of late, a trend that will make Toronto Maple Leafs backers wide-eyed.

The Leafs are 6-1 in their last seven meetings against their provincial rival, the Ottawa Senators.

The two clubs meet again Wednesday in Ottawa. The Sens are currently -149 moneyline faves with a total of 5.5.

Buffalo historically struggling in Anaheim

The Honda Center has not been friendly territory for the Buffalo Sabres.

Buffalo is just 1-4 in their last five games against the Anaheim Ducks in the Golden State. The Ducks play host to Buffalo in NHL action Wednesday.

Anaheim is presently heavy -297 faves on the moneyline. The total for the game is currently sitting at 5.5.

Home teams coming out on top in Oilers-Caps clashes

Home ice advantage has been massive in Edmonton Oilers-Washington Capitals matchups.

The home side is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings between the two squads. That's a trend that favors the Oil, as they host the Caps at Rexall Place Wednesday.

Washington is currently -135 moneyline favorites with a total of 5.5.

Flyers collecting W's versus Pittsburgh

The Philadelphia Flyers have loved playing against the Pittsburgh Penguins lately.

The Flyers are 4-0 in their last four contests against Sidney Crosby's crew. They'll face off once again in the Steel City Wednesday.

The Pens are presently -200 faves on the moneyline with the total set at 5.5 for the all-Pennsylvania clash.

**Udog** · 10-22-2014, 12:06 PM

NHL

Wednesday, October 22

Sabres massive underdogs in Anaheim

It looks like it will be another long season for the Buffalo Sabres and face the longest odds all season as they are currently listed as massive +284 underdogs against Anaheim Wednesday night.

The game against the Ducks, who are listed as ridiculous -324 favorites, begins a four-game road trip, including three games in four days with stops in Anaheim, Los Angeles and San Jose, before ending in Toronto next Tuesday.

**Udog** · 10-22-2014, 04:40 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Wednesday, October 22

Toronto at Ottawa, 7:05 ET
Toronto: 25-13 OVER (+11.7 Units) after a game where they covered the spread
Ottawa: 20-11 OVER (+8.8 Units) vs. division opponents

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 8:05 ET
Philadelphia: 25-18 ATS (+48.9 Units) in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games
Pittsburgh: 2-7 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing 3 or less games in 10 days

Washington at Edmonton, 9:35 ET
Washington: 130-176 ATS (-67.0 Units) in non-conference games
Edmonton: 2-9 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games off a home win

Buffalo at Anaheim, 10:35 ET
Buffalo: 92-85 ATS (+190.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game
Anaheim: 12-1 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games

Announcement

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/22

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/22

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