The Bum's NHL October's Best Bets-Trends,Stats,News !

[StarDust Bum]

NHL October Rated Picks

*****........................ 9 - 5 - 2 .......... + 2.48

Double Play.................. 4 - 6 ............... - 4.26

Triple Play.................... 8 - 4 ............... + 8.12

HAT TRICK....................3 - 1.................+ 2.95


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/15/14 4-*1-*1 80.00% +*2145 Detail

10/14/14 7-*11-*0 38.89% -*3160 Detail

10/13/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

10/12/14 1-*2-*1 33.33% -*875 Detail

10/11/14 18-*10-*2 64.29% +*3330 Detail

10/10/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% 0 Detail

10/09/14 6-*10-*1 37.50% -*3240 Detail

10/08/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1310 Detail

Totals 42-*42-*5 50.00% -*3160



Thursday, October 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Jose - 7:00 PM ET San Jose -111 500 DOUBLE PLAY

NY Islanders - Over 5.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Dallas - 7:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -165 500
Pittsburgh - Under 5.5 500

New Jersey - 7:00 PM ET New Jersey +111 500
Washington - Over 5.5 500

Carolina - 7:00 PM ET Carolina +206 500 *****
NY Rangers - Under 5.5 500

Boston - 7:30 PM ET Montreal -115 500
Montreal - Under 5 500

Colorado - 7:30 PM ET Ottawa -105 500 *****
Ottawa - Over 5.5 500

St. Louis - 10:30 PM ET St. Louis +107 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Los Angeles - Under 5 500

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 17

Hot teams
-- Calgary won three of last four games. Blue Jackets won two of their first three games.
-- Toronto won its last two games, scoring nine goals.
-- Nashville won two of first three games, allowing six goals.
-- Vancouver won its first three games, scoring 14 goals.
-- Ducks won last three games, allowing six goals. Minnesota won its first two games, shutting Colorado out in both games.

Cold teams
-- Sabres lost three of first four games. Florida lost first three games, outscored 9-3.
-- Detroit lost its last two games, both by 3-2 scores.
-- Winnipeg lost its last two games, scoring one goal.
-- Edmonton lost its first four games, allowing 23 goals.

Series records
-- Panthers won six of last eight games with Buffalo.
-- Blue Jackets won three of last four games with Calgary.
-- Red Wings won three of last four games with Toronto.
-- Predators won five of last seven games with Winnipeg.
-- Canucks won four of last six games with Edmonton.
-- Ducks won six of last seven games with Minnesota.

Totals
-- Last three Buffalo games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Calgary-Columbus games went over.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Detroit-Toronto games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Nashville-Winnipeg games.
-- All four Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Three of four Anaheim games went over the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL

Friday, October 17

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. COLUMBUS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Calgary's last 22 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Columbus's last 9 games

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Florida's last 18 games on the road
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games
Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Nashville
Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Nashville

9:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. EDMONTON
Vancouver is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games
Edmonton is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games

10:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ANAHEIM
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Anaheim is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Minnesota

[StarDust Bum]

NHL

Friday, October 17

Road team dominating between Flames-Blue Jackets

Home-ice advantage has had the opposite effect when the Calgary Flames and Columbus Blue Jackets meet. In the past eight meetings between the Flames and Jackets, the road team is 7-1.

The road team has outscored the hosts 29-17 over that span, which averages out to the visiting team scoring 1.5 more goals per average per game.


Wild have been losing close games to Ducks

Even though the Minnesota Wild has kept games versus the Anaheim Ducks close, they have been failing to win. The Wild are 1-6 in their past seven contests against the Ducks.

Minnesota has lost four of those six losses by only one goal and have only been outscored 18-13 during that seven game span.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Dunkel

Detroit at Toronto
The Red Wings head to Toronto tonight and come into the contest with an 11-2 record in their last 13 Friday games. Detroit is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 18

Game 51-52: Calgary at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.221; Columbus 11.342
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+145); Under

Game 53-54: Florida at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.512; Buffalo 10.092
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-110); Over

Game 55-56: Detroit at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.569; Toronto 11.126
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105); Over

Game 57-58: Nashville at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.809; Winnipeg 11.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+105); Under

Game 59-60: Vancouver at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.975; Edmonton 9.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-140); Over

Game 61-62: Minnesota at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 13.210; Anaheim 12.339
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NHL

Friday, October 17


Home teams go nearly flawless on Thursday

With road teams opening the season strong in the NHL, home teams took back their rinks. The host squads went 6-1 on the ice Thursday.

Home teams outscored the visitors 26-16 with the Islanders, Capitals, Canadiens and Senators all scoring four or more goals in front of their home crowd.

There are six NHL games on tap for Friday.


Six games in, Bruins still winless against puckline

After a season of dominance last year, the Boston Bruins are coming out of the gate slumping. The Bruins have opened the season 2-4 straight-up, but 0-6 against the puckline.

Last season Boston had a respectable 44-38 record against the puckline, good for ninth in the NHL.

Boston has only scored 11 goals so far this season.


Predators the perfect combo for under plays

For total plays, the Nashville Predators offer a perfect combination of stifling defense and low scoring offense. Though the Preds have only played three games, they have yet to top the total.

Nashville has scored nine goals and has only allowed six this season. All three of the Preds games have ended with five goals.

The Preds travel to Winnipeg Friday.


Oilers poor defense has been a boon for overs

The Edmonton Oilers have had defensive problems for years after constantly investing in their forwards, which has paid out for bettors early this season. All four games the Oilers played this season have topped the total.

Edmonton has scored a mere 11 goals so far this season, compared to the 23 they've allowed.

The Oilers host the Vancouver Canucks Friday with the total set at 5.5.


Top over play, Islanders, stay unbeaten

Even though the season is young, there is not bigger surprise than the undefeated New York Islanders. Along with the Isles 4-0 start, they are also the top over play in the NHL with every game they've been in going over.

The revitalized offense on Long Island is the reason for the over boon. Over four games the Isles have potted 19 goals, which is almost five goals per game.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL October Rated Picks

*****........................ 10 - 6 - 2 .......... + 2.48

Double Play.................. 5 - 7 ............... - 4.04

Triple Play.................... 7 - 4 ............... + 5.12

HAT TRICK....................3 - 1.................+ 2.95


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/16/14 8-*6-*0 57.14% +*570 Detail

10/15/14 4-*1-*1 80.00% +*2145 Detail

10/14/14 7-*11-*0 38.89% -*3160 Detail

10/13/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

10/12/14 1-*2-*1 33.33% -*875 Detail

10/11/14 18-*10-*2 64.29% +*3330 Detail

10/10/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% 0 Detail

10/09/14 6-*10-*1 37.50% -*3240 Detail

10/08/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1310 Detail

Totals 50-*48-*5 51.02% -*2590

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, October 17

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Florida - 7:00 PM ET Florida -120 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Buffalo - Over 5 500

Calgary - 7:00 PM ET Calgary +166 500 HAT TRICK
Columbus - Over 5.5 500

Detroit - 7:30 PM ET Toronto -109 500
Toronto - Under 5.5 500

Nashville - 8:00 PM ET Winnipeg -109 500
Winnipeg - Over 5.5 500

Vancouver - 9:30 PM ET Edmonton +128 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Edmonton - Under 5.5 500

Minnesota - 10:00 PM ET Minnesota +115 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Anaheim - Under 5.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

NHL October Rated Picks

*****........................ 10 - 6 - 2 .......... + 2.48

Double Play.................. 6 - 7 ............... - 2.04

Triple Play.................... 7 - 6 ............... - 0.88

HAT TRICK....................3 - 2................ - 1.05


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/17/14 4-*8-*0 33.33% -*2240 Detail

10/16/14 8-*6-*0 57.14% +*570 Detail

10/15/14 4-*1-*1 80.00% +*2145 Detail

10/14/14 7-*11-*0 38.89% -*3160 Detail

10/13/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

10/12/14 1-*2-*1 33.33% -*875 Detail

10/11/14 18-*10-*2 64.29% +*3330 Detail

10/10/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% 0 Detail

10/09/14 6-*10-*1 37.50% -*3240 Detail

10/08/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1310 Detail

Totals 54-*56-*5 49.09% -*4830

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday, October 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Minnesota - 3:00 PM ET Minnesota +123 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Los Angeles - Under 5 500

San Jose - 5:00 PM ET San Jose +104 500 DOUBLE PLAY
NY Rangers - Over 5 500

Calgary - 7:00 PM ET Winnipeg -141 500 *****
Winnipeg - Over 5.5 500

St. Louis - 8:00 PM ET St. Louis +111 500 HAT TRICK
Anaheim - Over 5 500

[StarDust Bum]

NHL October Rated Picks

*****........................ 10 - 7 - 2 .......... + 1.07

Double Play.................. 6 - 8 ............... - 4.04

Triple Play.................... 7 - 7 ............... - 3.88

HAT TRICK....................3 - 3................ - 5.05


RATED PLAYS AND OPINONS:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/19/14 1-*7-*0 12.50% -*3355 Detail

10/17/14 4-*8-*0 33.33% -*2240 Detail

10/16/14 8-*6-*0 57.14% +*570 Detail

10/15/14 4-*1-*1 80.00% +*2145 Detail

10/14/14 7-*11-*0 38.89% -*3160 Detail

10/13/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

10/12/14 1-*2-*1 33.33% -*875 Detail

10/11/14 18-*10-*2 64.29% +*3330 Detail

10/10/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% 0 Detail

10/09/14 6-*10-*1 37.50% -*3240 Detail

10/08/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1310 Detail

Totals 55-*63-*5 46.61% -*8185

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Dunkel

Tampa Bay at Edmonton
The Oilers host Tampa Bay tonight and come into the contest with a 5-2 record in their last 7 games versus the Lightning at home. Edmonton is the pick (+150) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+150). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 20

Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.983; Edmonton 11.842
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+150); Over




NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 20

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TAMPA BAY (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) at EDMONTON (0-4-0-1, 1 pts.) - 10/20/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 280-360 ATS (-114.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 123-174 ATS (-63.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
EDMONTON is 13-34 ATS (+49.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-34 ATS (+58.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-19 ATS (+34.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 1-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 20

Hot teams
-- Tampa Bay won three of its first five games.

Cold teams
-- Edmonton is 0-5 this season, outscored 24-11.

Series records
-- Lightning lost last three visits to Edmonton: 5-3/4-3SO/5-3

Totals
-- Five of last seven Edmonton-Tampa Bay games went over total.




NHL

Monday, October 20

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Trend Report
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9:30 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. EDMONTON
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Tampa Bay is 8-15-2 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games


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NHL

Monday, October 20


Over bettors profiting in Oilers matchups

It's been a tough start to the season for the Edmonton Oilers, but if you've been paying attention to their games, you're already well aware just how profitable they've been for bettors banking on high totals.

The Over is 5-1 in Edmonton's last six games. The Oil host Tampa Bay at Rexall Place Monday.

Tampa is currently listed as -155 faves on the moneyline with a total of 5.5.


Home teams collecting W's between Oilers-Lightning

When the Edmonton Oilers and the Tampa Bay Lightning have gotten together lately, it's the home squad coming out on top.

The home team is 4-0 in the last four contests between the two clubs. The Oilers will play host to Steven Stamkos' squad in the sole NHL game Monday.

Tampa Bay is currently -155 moneyline faves with an O/U of 5.5.


Drouin gets recall from Lightning

The Tampa Bay Lightning recalled left winger Jonathan Drouin and defenseman Luke Witkowski from the their AHL affiliate in Syracuse on Sunday.

Drouin, the third overall pick in the 2013 draft, was assigned to Syracuse for conditioning Thursday after suffering a minor fracture on his right thumb, causing him to miss the Lightning's training camp. In two games in the AHL, he scored a goal while adding two assists with a plus-4 rating.

Witkowski, a second-year pro, played in all four games this season for Syracuse, recording an assist and 15 penalty minutes. He skated in four preseason games with Tampa Bay this season, recording an assist and 11 penalty minutes.


NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, October 20

Tampa Bay at Edmonton, 9:35 ET
Tampa Bay: 9-12 SU off a road win
Edmonton: 8-3 SU off a home loss against a division rival

[StarDust Bum]

Monday, October 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Tampa Bay - 9:30 PM ET Edmonton +144 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Edmonton - Over 5.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

[StarDust Bum]

RATED PLAYS AND OPINONS

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/20/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% +*170 Detail

10/19/14 1-*7-*0 12.50% -*3355 Detail

10/17/14 4-*8-*0 33.33% -*2240 Detail

10/16/14 8-*6-*0 57.14% +*570 Detail

10/15/14 4-*1-*1 80.00% +*2145 Detail

10/14/14 7-*11-*0 38.89% -*3160 Detail

10/13/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

10/12/14 1-*2-*1 33.33% -*875 Detail

10/11/14 18-*10-*2 64.29% +*3330 Detail

10/10/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% 0 Detail

10/09/14 6-*10-*1 37.50% -*3240 Detail

10/08/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1310 Detail

Totals 56-*64-*5 46.67% -*8015


RATED PLAYS

NHL October Rated Picks

*****........................ 10 - 7 - 2 .......... + 1.07

Double Play.................. 7 - 9 ............... - 3.16

Triple Play.................... 7 - 7 ............... - 3.88

HAT TRICK....................3 - 3................ - 5.05

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- In 38 games with Denver, Peyton Manning has thrown 2.92 TDs per game.

-- Antonio Brown's dad Eddie was one of the greatest players in Arena Football history; he played here in Albany, once scored nine TDs in a game. Nine.

-- Darius Heyward-Bey is only top 10 draft pick on the Steelers' roster.

-- Colt McCoy gets start at QB for the Redskins Monday night in Dallas.

-- From October 17-November 15, the Patriots have two games, both at home.

-- Falcons ($72.4M), Saints ($70.2M) have spent the most cap room on offensive players; it shows most when they do not have the ball.

**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........

13) Still baffled that four of seven umpires working in this World Series, all of whom have been umps for 15+ years, have never been in a World Series before. These four rated out the best with the new instant replay system. Were these guys the best umpires in previous seasons and if so, why weren’t any of them ever invited before? One guy only had two calls reversed the whole season.

Has to be a lot of politics involved with who gets this high profile assignment; maybe instant replay helped take some of the politics out of it.

12) NFC South teams are having a bad year; those four teams are a combined 2-12-1 SU in road games, with one of the home wins coming against a division opponent. NFC South teams are 3-8-1 against the spread in non-divisional road games.

11) Hitting coach Chili Davis leaves A’s for Boston, where he’ll be re-united with Yoenis Cespedes, unless the Red Sox trade Cespedes this winter. The Cuban OF is a free agent a year from now and he’s going to make a lot of money, but his low on-base percentage might not appeal to Moneyball-type teams.

I would take him on my team, any day of the week.

10) I’m not familiar with the details of the salary cap, but Percy Harvin is a $7M hit on the Jets’ salary cap for this year, but still hits Seattle’s cap for $7M next year. Seahawks’ locker room might be a happier place without Harvin, but their WRs aren’t nearly as fast now.

9) Utah Utes’ kicker Andy Phillips was a member of the US Ski Team from 2007-2011, so he is a world class athlete as well as a damn good kicker.

8) Indiana started #3 QB Zander Diamont against Michigan State last week; the kid’s stepmom once played Jerry Sienfeld’s girlfriend for an episode on the comedian’s TV show.

7) Up north of the border, the resurgent Hamilton TigerCats have won their last five home games, its first five-game home win streak in five years. The new stadium agrees with them, I guess.

6) Loyola-Chicago, already fighting an uphill battle in Missouri Valley Conference, lost its top scorer Milton Doyle (shoulder) for an indefinite time. Bad news for the Ramblers, who don't need more bad news. .

5) Good news for Long Beach State, which landed transfer Gabe Levin, who scored 11.1 ppg and grabbed 7.2 rebounds/game. Levin had originally transferred to Marquette, but went back to a smaller pond in the Big West.

4) The fan who caught Travis Ishikawa’s pennant-clinching home run gave the ball back to Ishikawa, in exchange for a signed bat and tickets to Game 3 of the World Series. I’m guessing he could have held Ishikawa up for fairly big money; I mean the guy is a journeyman but still has to make $500K+ a year, but the fan took the bat and Series tickets and everyone is happy.

3) The NBA has a lot more money now, because of the lucrative new TV deals that were signed, but if the league and players agree to shorten the season, do the players get less money, or the same money to play fewer games?

Don’t think they’d accept a reduction in money, even with a reduced scheduled, because the league is obviously doing very well because of the TV deals.

2) What happens if Ray Rice wins his appeal, gets reinstated by the NFL and no one signs the guy? It is doubtful any NFL team is going to touch this guy, not this year—he’s a PR disaster, but he has the right to earn a living.

1) NFL officials are schooled not to call offsetting penalties when a skirmish breaks out; to me, this is totally stupid, since it is usually difficult to determine who is at fault, or if one person is at fault at all. What you wind up with is an official guessing which guy started it, when they both could very well both be at fault. Just throw a flag, say its offsetting fouls and be done with it.