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  • Fades/Bases- Please read/respond

    With all due respect to Rip, Krunch, Truckin and others who have faded tirelessly and tired -hour upon hour for all of us members-
    I must now ask members to review this post and decide ------if we continue to fade on bases as is- tweak the system (tell us your comment how) - or shelve it till the football season.

    Its like Keanu Reeves in The Matrix- I now see the enormity of the project and due to the aforementioned areas and lack of member power (views and presentment) with a break even/ no real advantage for betting fades at this time attitude by members --maybe just maybe- it should take a break or possibly be tweaked.

    How do you members feel - Stay with the lady ya brought to the dance (baseball) or pile her in the backseat of your car for the DriveInn Movie (football). No response -clearly states your decision.

    Krunch, Truckin and Rip have invested a great amount of time- probably 6-9 hours per day on this. Well over 100 plays are investigated and clicking on to sites that say - we'll be back with at 5 pm - and then they don't appear. Continued clicking for more posts- site after site-- till you finally get one in. Check back at this site, then that, etc ... all time consuming.
    I can't say enough for what you guys have done, its tedious and meticulous work. However, the rewards have to be lucrative in the sport of baseball as it was in the other sports to continue at this time. The lack of real services and too many free picks have appeared to be one factor.

    Lets again see the results for June's Baseball Fade Results

    Using $100 as a unit

    1 June 2-2 and +.20 units
    2 June 1-1 even
    3 June 4-2 and +2.85 units
    4 June 1-3 and -2.10 units
    5 June 2-2 and +.20 units
    6 June 0-3 and -3.00 units
    7 June 3-2 and +2.02 units
    8 June 1-1 and +.08 units
    9 June 3-1 and +1.75 units
    10 June 2-1 and +1.22 units
    11 June 2-3 and -1.35 units
    12 June 1-1 even
    13 June 1-3 and -1.45 units
    14 June 2-1 and +1.29 units
    15 June 3-0 and +3.78 units
    16 June 1-3 and -1.64 units
    17 June 0-2 and -2.00 units
    18 June 2-1 and +1.67 units
    19 June 1-0 and +1.24 units
    20 June 2-3 and -.99 units
    21 June 2-2 and -.70 units
    22 June 2-0 and +2.10 units
    23 June 1-2 and -1.00 units
    24 June 1-1 and +.50 units
    25 June 1-3-1 and -2.00 units

    June totals; 41 wins/ 43 losses/ 1 push for +2.77 units or +$277 dollars as a $100 a unit bettor!!!!!!! Saturday's suck for the fades!!!!!!!

    Spearit Note: This shows that Krunch feels the system for betting fades on Saturday could also be a factor.
    The research has been provided -so now how can it be improved. Lets see if what Krunch has researched:

    1) No fades on Saturdays -
    The month of June show Fade Power Score on Saturdays
    at 6-10-1 with a -3.78. Loss $378 dollars.
    *Take this away from our total and this improves our Fade Power Score to a more respectable 37-33-1 +6.55 Win $655


    Spearit Notes: Lets see what Truckin has to add.
    "over the last couple weeks i have been experimenting with different criteria of numbers with the fades.
    i have come to the conclusion that due to the number of free plays being used and the amount of fades that are occurring that the numbers to make a play a fade need to be raised from the 15/7 criteria

    i will start with bases
    from now on the new criteria for me to make a baseball fade will be at least 20 services together and at least a 10 differential the reason for this is we are losing day in and day out with numbers like 13-4, 16-3, 13-2, ect, ect

    when the numbers are 20-4, 22-6, ect, ect we hit a very high percentage
    another reason for this change is if i dont get a baseball report that day there will be no plays because i know for a fact i will not have anything to meet that criteria
    if we are not getting a report then we shoudnt be doing the fades IMO
    note: if this number needs to be raised to 25 then i will do that
    baseball totals:
    i have been experimenting with this alot longer and have decided to make a criteria for total plays

    due to the less amount of plays on totals
    the criteria for a total to be a play will be a 7 differential
    starting with 7-0, 8-1, 9-2, ect
    i have tracked these and they win more than they lose
    (for the nba even though we are on the tail end
    we are making a large scale change
    we have been losing our ass but i have noticed the numbers when we win
    when we win the numbers are 31-9, 28-6, ect
    the new criteria for the nba is 30 total services and 15 differetial)

    if we had been using these numbers for the last 2 months that would of cut out a lot of losers and some winners but more losers for sure
    i am trying to tweek this system so when these big ass fades come in we start taking full advantage of them
    i feel right now with as many plays that we have we are just not where we need to be
    1 other thing I do not receive a report everyday
    i receive it from a member here at bc that is kind enough to take the time when he is home to forward them to me
    thank you in the future if we get enough people to put in for a report or 2 that would be the key to our success -so let me know what you guys think about getting a baseball report everyday"
    thanks truckin__________________

    Spearit Note----- Truckin and Krunch use a differential of 7 to make a play and the more services on the play the percentages of winning is higher. Quote from Truckin "when the numbers are 20-4, 22-6, ect, ect we hit a very high percentage". With the lack of info here - I am not able to provide a difference in our Fade Power Score- Krunch if you or Truckin have that info we can further tweak the fades at that time. Meaning number of services on a play.

    Golden Contender writes:
    truck, i was also thinking maybe theres a way of making a super fade list using only the fades from the real scammer services,you know the sturgeons ,,feist, and jonny demarcos of the world. and not including some of the better services. for example i would hate to fade a game when someone like joe gavazzi of ppp has a 6 unit play on the game. basically what im saying is to exclude the cappers who have a good record whn monitored for the last 3 or 4 years. im sure we can get a good list of scamdicappers to fade though. thanx for your kind words regarding the system plays.

    Spearit Note: As mentioned-- that some services are not scamdicappers and we need to separate them from the others is a valid concept.

    Now from Rip
    #1 in baseball there arent as many services playing as there are in baskets & football....
    #2 i seen and was told about all the free plays being used in the fades system lately,,and where they were coming from...We never ever used that many free plays.plus over there where there getting them from most of those guys arent even real handicappers..Are system worked excellent do to the fact that we had so many more services and 3-4 excellent reports that we only used maybe 25% free plays..believe me that makes a big difference..even though im not playing,believe me i care about people when it comes to money and when i seen 9 plays yesterday and the few calls & emails i got we all checked things over..
    ..No way am i here to start any problems or stir the pot..I was aksed from a few posters to try and help..i shouldnt even be on these forums but i have alot of people(friends) here and at other forums and theres money involved and people are getting hurt..The last thing i want is anyone being like me& keep gambling till ur broke..if anyone feels like bashing me and telling me to go screw and mind my own business its ur right..But i didnt just come on here without anyone asking me to and knowing im here..
    ..If u look even in the service area there arent as many service plays being posted as there were in foots & baskets..It was rare we gave out over 4 games a day even if we had many more games we tried and limited it to so many games..also what im told is the numbers are way off from each person and people were concerned at that..if u cant get a great report or more services (the best base report is 2300) thats alot of money but there arent that many good ones that come out in bases compare to baskets & football..I see the one that comes out in bases and all those plays are posted already..i would try and ride (fade) a few services and see what happens,,If you cant get 20 plus services (not including free plays) the system wont work as well...if u go to a few of these monitored sites u can see who is terrible in bases..i no a few but ill email them to spark instead of bashing the services in this thread..Also theres a few services that are hot and should be getting cold..Also look at coverboy & frank there awesome and people should follow them and other cappers here and at other forums theres excellent cappers..
    ................Guys take this anyway u like but believe me all im trying to do is help and give u the info that we had and why the fades worked so well in baskets & football...please do anything you want and believe me everyone here appreciates all the work the people been doing with the fades and how much there trying..but without the correct numbers(services& tallys) the system wont work..maybe wait till football starts or something...ill try and help and see if i can get some better reports but the only one i seen that is good is 2300.00.
    ..Thanks again and good luck..Your friend ..Rip

    Spearit Note: Notes the lack of services premium picks and more free picks are being used for baseball. Also notes that he does not want people hurt with a system that has been altered.

    Now from Chucky Cheese
    I think it's easier to win at MLB than any other sport around. But alot of services don't think that way, because they believe that more people follow Football than baseball, so they gear up all summer,working on new ways to scam people for money!! Fades are definitely the way to go in Football, and I know that I will be riding them on this forum. Pitching controls the game more, now that steroids are banned!!! I for one truly appreciate all the hard work it takes to do the fades, because plays keep coming in all day long!

    And from the Sandman
    Rip. I'm glad you took the time to write your note because you are correct in what you are saying. I stopped playing the fades about a week ago, mainly because they were not longer based on mostly paid service plays. I think the other reason the fades don't work as well in baseball is because since baseball is the easiest sport to win at, even the services will do better too. I don't know how the baseball fades would have done if they were based mainly on paid for service plays and until someone can figure that out, I think it's too risky to fade the services in baseball. And Rip, we all know you wrote because you care and I appreciate your efforts for us.

    And once again and lastly from arguably -our best capper at B/C in bases - Chucky Cheese

    Yes Spark, that's why favorites are covering more. Teams with good pitching and defense can dominate games just like in the good old days. TV and their ratings had forced MLB over the years, to try to make the game more offensive appealing for the publics enjoyment. But these HR's and records that have been broken, definitely were due to roid use and nothing more. I had a chance to take roids years ago in an effort to play in the NFL, but turned it down after watching a roommate of mine in college piss blood and have his balls shrink. Oddsmakers will find ways to win just as they have over the years in either making the ML sky high to force the public to take the dog, if this favorite trend continues. Most locals are starting not to take MLB, or exclude games, cause they can't keep from losing. That's why cappers should take advantage when they can to build a bankroll for football and basketball. Football has a whole week between games, which after reading into the hype of some teams and trends, could change a persons mind 10 times over the course of the week.
    While Baseball plays everyday, and you don't have alot of time to get into the hype. You just keep an eye on hot and cold teams with hot and cold pitchers. It's alot easier to pick a good team or hot team for three games in a row that are playing teams that are struggling, than it is to have a whole week to prepare for!! Injuries especially to pitchers and bullpens can completely disrupt any baseball teams momentum!


    Spearit Note- Chuck brings up a point that teams run in cycles more in the bases due to a number of current injuries, streaks, travel, etc. Fading bases so far has been a disasppointment but the the crew didn't want to let anyone down and we are all grateful.
    I wish to continue their fine work but need to know that it is warranted.
    If you wish to have the base fades continued-
    then Spark can add a voting poll for this.
    Please add--- Tweak the system as an option.
    Thanks to all - Sorry about the long post-
    But we are proud of the fades and their tireless presenters.
    Last edited by Spearit; 06-26-2005, 07:31 PM.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

  • #2
    OK 17 viewers = No response. Seems like fades in bases is fading. We'll provide if the interest shows up.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

    Comment


    • #3
      all i can add to this is i quit doing the fades a month ago because i wasnt getting the results that i desired
      meaning there is to much work to go through each day of each month to only be up a couple hundred dollars

      i could just play 1 game win and be done the first day of the month

      i said this a couple months ago if your willing to do the work everyday and only pick your spots
      play what you think is the best fade that night you could probably win some serious money but you will always be second guessing which fade you choose to play
      thats the only way it will work in bases

      playing fades in bases is similar to playing system plays they go up and down and at the end of the year you will be up some # of units the difference is the fades take 3-5 hours and the system takes 5 minutes

      it is much different in football and basketball because of the point spread the better team my win the game but not cover the line in bases the better team wins at a higher percentage thats why the profits fading in bases are lower

      gl
      truckin
      Last edited by TRUCKIN; 06-26-2005, 08:22 PM.
      we can share the women, we can share the wine
      we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

      Comment


      • #4
        Thanks Truckin for your comments - I found that I was picking the fade I thought had the best shot- generally 26-1 and so on seemed to good to take- but I would hold back on 18-8 and such because I saw my percentages of winning were less. In Baseball, I played similarly but with various results. One question- were there any trends that seemed to give a fade a little zip in its winning percentage besides number of services. Does a majority of people betting on the side of a fade result in a higher winning percentage for the fade - when a large number of services are on the minority side of the play. I saw this before and knew I had a winner, I knew Vegas was tossing it from service to service in my opinon. Just a thought!!
        "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Spearit
          Thanks Truckin for your comments - I found that I was picking the fade I thought had the best shot- generally 26-1 and so on seemed to good to take- but I would hold back on 18-8 and such because I saw my percentages of winning were less. In Baseball, I played similarly but with various results. One question- were there any trends that seemed to give a fade a little zip in its winning percentage besides number of services. Does a majority of people betting on the side of a fade result in a higher winning percentage for the fade - when a large number of services are on the minority side of the play. I saw this before and knew I had a winner, I knew Vegas was tossing it from service to service in my opinon. Just a thought!!
          i dont know on your questions
          that would be very hard to track because you are not getting the same services everyday, some days you get more comps some days you get more premium (using this word loosly) plays
          as for the public side your just adding more work to something that is time consuming to begin with

          another problem with bases is the number of plays and services are very limited compared to foots & bases where they are plentiful
          that is an important factor in being sucessful with fading maybe the most important
          we can share the women, we can share the wine
          we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

          Comment


          • #6
            Truckin- Thank you. I mean not to confuse or to complicate a process or system.
            I will keep this simple and I am realize the timing of when you began doing the fades.
            Why do you think the fades work most of the time?
            Why have they been successful more than 50 % and sometimes over 70 % of the time concerning the sport. It has been a popular forum and even given its own area to view on this site.

            As far as fades--It was my belief when Rip first brought it to life- was a theory that plays are given to a large number of Sports Services from a Vegas source or insider to offset or balance the amount of bettors on a certain play. Fades hit at an awesome rate in football and should again provide us all a great season.

            And the reason, they are not working now in bases is primarily the use of free picks as our source- as stated and the decrease of paid premium plays engineered for the site.

            ---This is as simple as I can get- are you Truckin', Rip, Krunch, Spark, Chuck, Wayne, etc. in agreement with this conclusion- If so, we can move on to our options.
            Last edited by Spearit; 06-26-2005, 10:22 PM.
            "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

            Comment


            • #7
              From Krunch in the Sunday Fade thread.

              Spearit

              These are my opinions on the matter!

              1. We have shown a profit each month so far!
              2. You bring up some great points, and I for one believe maybe we should tweak the system a little bit.
              3. 1 Definite tweak would be to, either not play the fades on Saturday's or else go against them. I know for a fact that we've only came out ahead 1 Saturday so far this month.
              4. We could up the numbers on the fade criteria's and see how it goes. Truckin did say, that we had a higher winning percentage using a higher criteria. We would have to use comp plays to get these numbers in the bases thou!!!
              5. You seem to have a gameplan, why don't your run the fades in July, keep some records and see how we do! I just need a break, thats all!
              6. I personally don't want to see the fades stop in the bases, because like I said, we have made a profit each month so far and that's what its all about.
              7. With the idea of coming out ahead each month, this would allow each bettor to build a bankroll and at some point in time to increase their wagers (units)! Its all about being a disciplined bettor. It takes time, but with good money management skills and being patient, I think we could all add to the kitty and get ready for football season, because its going to be here before we know it. I know, I've personally made money betting the fades! I did however increase my wagers after losing 2 days in a row, because it worked so far. I look at alot of different trends and angles and when we keep records it definitely is to our advantage.
              8. Go ahead Spearit, I think you got a great idea about tweaking the system and run with the fades during July. Let me finish this month out the way I'm doing it then go ahead and make the criteria up for July. I will definitely help ya, use the criteria that you set, lets just get some more people involved or it won't work. Come on people get some energy and help out. You know a few of you have profited from these fades, so please start helping out and getting involved!!!!

              Thanks
              Krunch
              "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

              Comment


              • #8
                spearit..regarding some adjustments and doing the fades a few days aweek..when we did baskets are day that we took off was fridays because of the plays were only from the ivy league and spark and i needed a day off..in bases if u want try taking sundays off as alot of services past that day due to the fact alot of regulars rest that day..Also maybe take mondays off to as alot of games arent being played..just a suggestion maybe do the fades tues-sat..Or what ever you guys want..i just thought i'd throw my 2 lousy cents in ,,Thanks Dr...Rip
                all i know were almost ready with our football fades and are getting the reports and the people lined up as we speak..take care and see u in around 7 weeks with tons of football winners (fades)...Rip
                Last edited by Ripple; 06-27-2005, 06:59 PM.

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