Unit Plays vs. Equal Plays

[prolific]

SA - Twice 5 game ats losing streak
Phoenix - 7, 6, and 5 game ats losing streaks
Miami - 7 game ats losing streak

This is to be expected. The heavy chalk teams that are favoured almost every game should have these long losing streaks. The double up method works well with eraddic teams like Milwaukee

[frankb03]

i'm gonna do some research to see the longest ats losing streaks of the top teams like SA, Miami, Phoenix, etc ...

Longest ATS losing streak

Spurs 5
Miami 7
Suns 7

[BackDoorCvr]

another little trick i do is use a team that is very eraddic and bet on them every game in the double up system ... these eraddic teams rarely go any streaks of winning ats or losing ats and go like 2 wins, 1 loss, 1 win, 2 loss, etc ... one of the teams that i use is milwaukee, where i always bet them to beat the spread and if they lose i double up for their next game .. their longest ats losing streak this season was 3 games and on the 4th game i bet them again ats and continued with the $100/day clip ...

you guys might want to do a little research into this if you have a large bankroll as it seems quite a good way to make money ...

What does "eraddic" mean? Is that even a word?

[prolific]

i meant to say erratic ... given the context i'm sure you know what i was trying to say ... you always have to give people a hard time with what you perceive to be smart ass comments

[LVJimmy]

BackDoor, here's another example of you being a dickhead. What's your deal?

[LVJimmy]

BTW, thanks to all of you who actually contributed to this thread...I appreciate it.

[BackDoorCvr]

BackDoor, here's another example of you being a dickhead. What's your deal?

Just some good natured ribbing. I'm sure it was not taken personally.

[prolific]

how was your day today as a bookmaker backdoor ... make alot of money from the "square" bettors today?

[BackDoorCvr]

how was your day today as a bookmaker backdoor ... make alot of money from the "square" bettors today?

Don't know the final numbers yet but I am assuming it was an off night as there was alot of chalk that came in tonight. As any linesmaker in Vegas will tell you, people like betting the favorite and the over. Most of my customers fall into that category as well so it was probably a losing evening as far as I am concerned.

[amhlilhaus]

in my handicapping specialty, you lay chalk as par for the course. anyone who only bets fighting sports at less than -150 is going to a)not have a lot of plays and b)probably not make a lot of money, the closer the numbers the more likely the fight is evenly matched (although not always) and you'll be closer to 500 which in a sport like this is murder on your profits. boxing is all about who wins, sometimes I'll consider the chalk as too high but if I believe the fighter wins, I play it. the risk management for me is bet size and the higher the chalk then to protect myself I try to win less on a unit basis, so the occasional high chalk loss is offset by a few wins. it works fairly well, and there's nothing better than watching a public sparring session where the fighters get paid, and I do too. it might only be a half unit, but 50$ is 50$.

[BetweenTheLines]

I like proportional betting. betting a % of your bankroll.