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NFL oddsmakers pile the points on the perfect Patriots in Week 10

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  • NFL oddsmakers pile the points on the perfect Patriots in Week 10

    NFL oddsmakers pile the points on the perfect Patriots in Week 10

    Tom Brady and the Patriots are touchdown favorites on the road playing the rival New York Giants in Week 10.

    As Week 10 looms in the NFL, there are still three undefeated teams. But no doubt, the best of those three teams and the class of the league lies with the defending Super Bowl Champion New England Patriots.

    The Pats moved to 8-0 SU (5-2-1 ATS) by rolling past Washington 27-10, cashing as healthy 13.5-point home favorites Sunday. Dating to last season’s title run, New England has won 11 in a row (7-3-1 ATS). Next up for Tom Brady & Co are the New York Giants - a team that beat the Patriots twice in Super Bowls.

    New York (5-4 ATS, 5-3-1 ATS) is also atop its division, but that’s because the NFC East is lackluster at best this year, with the Giants the only team above .500. On Sunday, New York topped Tampa Bay 32-18 as a 1.5-point road chalk.

    John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker, opened the Patriots as 7-point favorites.

    “Even though the Giants have been playing pretty well, we had to open this at a full touchdown in favor of New England,” Lester said. “The Pats are just too hot and the public is pounding them like it’s 2007 all over again. If anybody can knock this team off its high horse, it’s Tom Coughlin.”

    Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports at Wynn Las Vegas, said the market forced the number.

    “I never thought I would be hanging a line with the Giants a 7-point underdog at home, but that's what the market calls for at this time,” Avello said.

    Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)

    Coming off its bye week, two-time defending NFC champion Seattle is either going to tighten things up in the West Division or find itself in a very tough spot to make a run at a third straight Super Bowl berth. The Seahawks at least have a little momentum with a two-game SU win streak, including a 13-12 victory at Dallas laying 4.5 points on Nov. 1.

    Arizona (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) leads the division and can really can take control if it can post a third straight victory. The Cardinals, also coming off a bye, bested Cleveland 34-20 giving seven points on the road Nov. 1.

    “Both teams had the week off, so all personnel should be fully rested or healed,” Avello said. “Seattle is 2-1 SU at home this year, but I wouldn't consider wins over the Lions and Bears anything to get charged up about. This is a huge spot in trying to declare dominance in the division.”

    Lester agreed that the contest is a yardstick game.

    “The initial action came in on Arizona and the Under,” he said. “Obviously, this is a really big game for both squads. If Seattle can win, it’s right back in the thick of things as far as the division title. We actually haven’t seen these two teams play with Carson Palmer under center for Arizona since 2013, so this will be a good measurement for our NFC West ratings.”

    Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-3.5)

    There are only five teams with a winning record in the AFC, and the Jets are one of them under new coach Todd Bowles. New York (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) had to hold off Jacksonville to keep its head above .500, winning 28-23 Sunday as a 7.5-point home fave.

    Buffalo (4-4 SU and ATS), under new coach Rex Ryan, got back to .500 with a 33-17 victory over Miami as a 4-point favorite. The road trip will pit Ryan against the team that fired him following last season.

    “It’s Homecoming for Rex, and I don’t expect to hear any boos from the Gang Green faithful,” Lester said. “He will certainly have a coaching edge, being familiar with many of the players’ tendencies and weaknesses. We immediately took action on the Bills and moved to -3.”

    Avello wasn’t surprised by that action.

    “Quarterback Tyrod Taylor surely makes a difference in this Bills team, as they seem to have a swagger about them when he's running the show,” said Avello, while noting Buffalo is entering a tough stretch. “This is the start of three straight road games for the Bills, and none are cakewalks.”

    Minnesota Vikings at Oakland Raiders (N/A)

    Minnesota is arguably one of the bigger surprises this season, finding itself tied atop the NFC North with Green Bay heading into week 10. The Vikings (6-2 SU) are No. 2 in the league at 7-1 ATS, having cashed seven in a row since losing their season opener SU and ATS at San Francisco. On Sunday, the Vikes edged St. Louis 21-18 in overtime laying two points at home.

    Oakland has also looked better this season, though the record doesn’t reflect it as much. The Raiders (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) gave Pittsburgh all it could handle before falling short 38-35 catching six points on the road Sunday.

    The line will have to wait on this game, though, as Vikes QB Teddy Bridgewater must clear concussion protocol after getting leveled in the fourth quarter against the Rams.

    Lester noted some bettors were prepared for the improvement of both teams.

    “These are a couple of up-and-coming teams that many of our sharp clients have been on from the outset of the season, including hammering the over in their regular-season win totals,” he said. “Oakland will be a favorite regardless of Bridgewater’s status, but we’ll wait to hang a line until we have some clarity on his concussion. Teddy is a pocket passer, but he does have mobility when needed. Backup QB Shaun Hill plays in cement.”

    Added Avello, “The Raiders are so much improved, and Derek Carr is reeking confidence. We're just past the halfway point, but if the Raiders are thinking about participating in the playoffs, this appears to be a must-win.”

  • #2
    >Backup QB Shaun Hill plays in cement.

    Geez, what's Vikings thinking?? But again, the NFL is at an alltime low of quality backup QBs around. And next spring's draft doesnt look like it's flourishing with prospects (Cook-Michigan State impresses a few, i've rarely thought twice about him, Carson Wentz the big guy out of NDakotaState is injured, Hacklenbug-PennState will most likely settle into a backup role...)

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