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-Divisional Round Facts and Information

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  • -Divisional Round Facts and Information

    I obviously have too much time on my hands but I found some interesting information that applies to this weekend's games. Hope you find it useful.

    1. Quarterbacks making their first playoff start (Cam Newton) are 11-21-1 ATS and 11-22 SU. Those who were home underdogs, like Cam Newton are 2-4 ATS.

    2. Games that are re-matches of earlier regular season games against non-divisional opponents, the winner of the regular season game is 25-41 ATS in the rematch. However if the game is played at the same site as the first game, the winner of the first game is 13-26 ATS in the rematch. This obviously applies to Seattle since they beat the Saints in Seattle. If the game is at a different site like it will be with Carolina and S.F. the winner of the first game is 12-15 ATS. One last fact, if the winner of the first matchup won by double digits as Seattle did against the Saints they are 9-17 ATS in the rematch.

    3. Playoff teams coming off road wins in the round 1 of the wildcard games are 10-3 ATS in the divisional round since 2005. This stat applies to the Saints, Chargers and 49ers this week.

    4. Seattle is 24-9 ATS as a home favorite since 2007.

    5. This stat applies to Carolina, Seattle, Denver and New England. Playoff teams coming off a bye are just 16-24 ATS since 2003.

    6. New England is 28-14 ATS in games played in December and January since 2000. However, Tom Brady is 17-7 SU in the playoffs but only 10-14 ATS.

    7. Peyton Manning is only 4-11 ATS in playoff games against teams with good QBs, i.e. those not named Jake Plummer, Rex Grossman, etc. Rivers would be classified as a good QB.

  • #2
    8. # 1 seeds are 7-9 SU in the divisional round of the playoffs since 2005. Still looking for their record ATS.

    9. The # 6 seeds are 6-2 SU against the # 1 seed since 2005.

    10 Since 2002, only once (2009) has both number 1 seeds made it to the Super Bowl.

    11. Denver lost 3 games this year. Just so happens that they were against the 3 remaining AFC teams in the olayoffs.

    12. Home field advantage? Both the Bengals and Pats were undefeated at home this year. Counting the Bengals loss on Sunday, 6 of the last 11 teams that went undefeated at home lost their initial home playoff game.

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    • #3
      bump

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      • #4
        Good info. Seems like you might be leaning Saints and Chargers..??? I'm so torn on all of these spreads except Panthers vs Niners. I just feel like the Niners have this one. I can't see Cam pulling it off but maybe they won't need him to....maybe the defense wins the game for him. I am just going to sit on the under at 42.5 for that game and leave the spread alone though. All of the trends about the road team in the second round and rematches of teams that matched up in a blow out are pretty amazing. Seeing Brees throw two picks last week though, and it being against an Eagles team that recently has underperformed at home, I don't know if I would buy into them doing what a lot of people are thinking they will do in Seattle. Saints were still pretty bad on the road this year SU and ATS. Decent games against New England and Carolina but those places don't have that same effect on QB's as Seattle. New Orleans ran the ball well last week (which is what they couldn't do against Seattle) but you have to think Seattle is gameplanning bigtime for that now.......who are you taking in all these games ATS???

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        • #5
          Oh and for any believers in the Chargers repeating their "eat the clock up" gameplan against Denver yet again; Denver's TOTAL POINTS is set at 33.5 on Sportsbook. It's an easy UNDER pick based on the last couple games...Chargers defense is just too horrendous yardage-wise for me to take that bet. Ryan Matthews may not play also.

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          • #6
            Number 1, 2, 3, 5 and 7 certainly held true.

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            • #7
              Pats apparently were +7 to open! I missed that so took the 5.5 for pats. This is a toss-up game to me and imo shouldnt be more than a fg spread between the way blount is playing and the competitiveness of brady. Belichick doesnt often lose by too much and im not buying into that .500 road record that new england has. Idk about hawks and niners yet but i do know that as much as I love this niners team, I probably wont be able to justify taking the niners...even with a good coach, good d, and being a solid road team. On a neutral field it should be a pick em or niners slightly...that home field is worth at least a fg

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