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NCAA Tournament Conference Trends: Big 12
We continue to get you ready for the NCAA Tournament with a series of columns uncovering recent trends in the Big Dance. Previous stories include:
Overall Trends
Analyzing Early Upsets
Round of 64 Trends
Round of 32 Trends
Conference Trends: ACC
Conference Trends: A-10
This column continues our run of Conference Trends, featuring the Big 12, which has five teams in the 2011 NCAA Tournament field:
#1 KANSAS
#4 TEXAS
#5 KANSAS STATE
#7 TEXAS A&M
#11 MISSOURI
Tournament Trends by Conference
Here are a few general trends regarding matchups between various level conferences, followed by specific trends for each league. ******* recognizes the Big 12 with an “A” rating.
In matchups where an “A” team is seeded better than a “B” school, the “A” team is 33-21-2 ATS (61%) since 2005.
“A” vs. “D” matchups have been dominated by the “A” teams to the tune of 36-3 SU and 25-11-3 ATS (69%) over the past four years.
Thirteen of the last 17 (76%) matchups between better seeded “B” teams and worse seeded “A” teams have finished OVER the total.
When “B” conferences have been favored over “A” schools since 1999, the OVER is 26-14 (65%).
Big 12 Trends
The Big 12 has been one of the best conferences in the tournament over the last three years at 32-18 SU & 30-19 ATS (61%). However, after an incredible two-year run of 19-0 SU & 17-2 ATS as favorites, the Big 12 was just 8-5 SU & 5-7-1 ATS as favorites in 2010.
Also entering last year, Big 12 favorites of 7 to 13.5 points were on an eye-popping run of 28-2 SU & 25-5 ATS in the NCAAs since 1998. But last year, the Big 12 was 0-2 ATS (1-1 SU) in this situation. Baylor failed to cover a 10.5-point spread against Sam Houston State and Kansas lost outright as an 11.5-point favorite to Northern Iowa.
As a pick ‘em or small favorite (less than 2.5 points), Big 12 teams are 18-9 SU & ATS (67%).
In NCAA games pitting Big 12 vs. Big East over the past five years, favorites are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS, and the OVER is 7-2-1. When the Big 12 plays Big Ten schools, the favorites are 9-1 SU & ATS. Texas A&M broke this nine-game unbeaten streak last year when it lost as a two-point favorite to Purdue in the second round.
We continue to get you ready for the NCAA Tournament with a series of columns uncovering recent trends in the Big Dance. Previous stories include:
Overall Trends
Analyzing Early Upsets
Round of 64 Trends
Round of 32 Trends
Conference Trends: ACC
Conference Trends: A-10
This column continues our run of Conference Trends, featuring the Big 12, which has five teams in the 2011 NCAA Tournament field:
#1 KANSAS
#4 TEXAS
#5 KANSAS STATE
#7 TEXAS A&M
#11 MISSOURI
Tournament Trends by Conference
Here are a few general trends regarding matchups between various level conferences, followed by specific trends for each league. ******* recognizes the Big 12 with an “A” rating.
In matchups where an “A” team is seeded better than a “B” school, the “A” team is 33-21-2 ATS (61%) since 2005.
“A” vs. “D” matchups have been dominated by the “A” teams to the tune of 36-3 SU and 25-11-3 ATS (69%) over the past four years.
Thirteen of the last 17 (76%) matchups between better seeded “B” teams and worse seeded “A” teams have finished OVER the total.
When “B” conferences have been favored over “A” schools since 1999, the OVER is 26-14 (65%).
Big 12 Trends
The Big 12 has been one of the best conferences in the tournament over the last three years at 32-18 SU & 30-19 ATS (61%). However, after an incredible two-year run of 19-0 SU & 17-2 ATS as favorites, the Big 12 was just 8-5 SU & 5-7-1 ATS as favorites in 2010.
Also entering last year, Big 12 favorites of 7 to 13.5 points were on an eye-popping run of 28-2 SU & 25-5 ATS in the NCAAs since 1998. But last year, the Big 12 was 0-2 ATS (1-1 SU) in this situation. Baylor failed to cover a 10.5-point spread against Sam Houston State and Kansas lost outright as an 11.5-point favorite to Northern Iowa.
As a pick ‘em or small favorite (less than 2.5 points), Big 12 teams are 18-9 SU & ATS (67%).
In NCAA games pitting Big 12 vs. Big East over the past five years, favorites are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS, and the OVER is 7-2-1. When the Big 12 plays Big Ten schools, the favorites are 9-1 SU & ATS. Texas A&M broke this nine-game unbeaten streak last year when it lost as a two-point favorite to Purdue in the second round.
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