Question on possible system play (pats vs packers)

[NoCashMcgraff]

If I recall correctly, isn't there a system where if 1 team scores like over 30 and gives up less than 10 in 2 consecutive games you fade that team in the third game? I think Dave T is the one who usually posts this system play..I could be wrong about the system but I am curious if anyone knows. Thanks

[poskid]

Yes...The pats are a fade this week. They scored over 30 2 weeks in a row and held their opponents to 10 or less. Since the are now playing out of their division we are supposed to fade them.

I would advise to be careful of this system this week as the Pack are likely without Rodgers...Until we know for sure I wouldnt mess with it

[st bobby]

Yes...The pats are a fade this week. They scored over 30 2 weeks in a row and held their opponents to 10 or less. Since the are now playing out of their division we are supposed to fade them.

I would advise to be careful of this system this week as the Pack are likely without Rodgers...Until we know for sure I wouldnt mess with it

I couldn't agree more. I was waiting for this to happen and now Rodgers had to get concussed. I will add another tidbit. Play the Jets +6 over pitt this is as strong or stronger than the Pat system. Its favorites of 2.5 to 5.5 vs non divisional opponents are 0-23 after two divisional wins if they won by less than 17, scored more than 10 pts, had more than 240 yds of offense, and allowed 440 ore less total yards last game. So while waiting on Rodgers status you can unload on this game.

[ravenmaniac]

I couldn't agree more. I was waiting for this to happen and now Rodgers had to get concussed. I will add another tidbit. Play the Jets +6 over pitt this is as strong or stronger than the Pat system. Its favorites of 2.5 to 5.5 vs non divisional opponents are 0-23 after two divisional wins if they won by less than 17, scored more than 10 pts, had more than 240 yds of offense, and allowed 440 ore less total yards last game. So while waiting on Rodgers status you can unload on this game.

No thanks. The way Sanchez has been playing I wouldn't bet on the Jets with Monopoly money.

[LVJimmy]

If I recall correctly, isn't there a system where if 1 team scores like over 30 and gives up less than 10 in 2 consecutive games you fade that team in the third game? I think Dave T is the one who usually posts this system play..I could be wrong about the system but I am curious if anyone knows. Thanks

I thought it was 3 weeks in a row, but I could be wrong.

[LVJimmy]

Well, I was wrong:

http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/me...must-read.html

As is the case with most of these plays, it takes a lot of balls to play the dog. Even if Rodgers was playing this week, it would take a BIG sack to play the Pack on Sunday night.

[poskid]

I couldn't agree more. I was waiting for this to happen and now Rodgers had to get concussed. I will add another tidbit. Play the Jets +6 over pitt this is as strong or stronger than the Pat system. Its favorites of 2.5 to 5.5 vs non divisional opponents are 0-23 after two divisional wins if they won by less than 17, scored more than 10 pts, had more than 240 yds of offense, and allowed 440 ore less total yards last game. So while waiting on Rodgers status you can unload on this game.

That's not a system it's a god damn riddle. I've got a better one for you...

Play any team not playing in their division if they played against a Vince Young led team last week on a Monday but only during the year of the rat and Maurice Jones-drew rushed for an avaerage of 69.69 yard and Michael Vick shaved his dogs butt in the last 17 hours.

WTF

PK

[poskid]

Oh wait I forgot...

Your team has to all have watched the Sound of Music the past week

[kbsooner21]

That's not a system it's a god damn riddle. I've got a better one for you...

Play any team not playing in their division if they played against a Vince Young led team last week on a Monday but only during the year of the rat and Maurice Jones-drew rushed for an avaerage of 69.69 yard and Michael Vick shaved his dogs butt in the last 17 hours.

WTF

PK

[st bobby]

ok but do me a favor and don't bet pitt then cause I guarantee this one

[st bobby]

That's not a system it's a god damn riddle. I've got a better one for you...

Play any team not playing in their division if they played against a Vince Young led team last week on a Monday but only during the year of the rat and Maurice Jones-drew rushed for an avaerage of 69.69 yard and Michael Vick shaved his dogs butt in the last 17 hours.

WTF

PK

well I hit that game for a big system play. fade me if you must but I will be here to tell you so after

[poskid]

well I hit that game for a big system play. fade me if you must but I will be here to tell you so after

I ain't fading anyone. I play my own plays not because someone else plays them. BOL if you decide to play your riddle.

PK

[BOBBY5ACES]

i remember last year i saw trend s for bowl games and i used them and did very well . if anyone has a means to get them, please do . thanks

[Spark]

i remember last year i saw trend s for bowl games and i used them and did very well . if anyone has a means to get them, please do . thanks

• After a two-year span where the FAVORITES were 35-29
ATS (55%) in bowls, the UNDERDOG got the upper hand last
bowl season with a 20-14 ATS (59%) mark. The UNDER was
the winning total in nearly the same amount as the underdog
ATS, occurring 19 of 34 times (56%) last season. That gives a
three-year bowl total of 55% UNDER (55 of 100)..
• For the ’07-08 and ’08-09 bowl seasons, FAVORITES
were a whopping 9-3 SU & 8-4 ATS in post-New Year’s non-
BCS games. That trend turned on its head last year as FAVORITES
were 6-3 SU, but just 3-6 ATS as Auburn, Arkansas
and Central Michigan all won but failed to cover.
• Prior to the ‘07-08 bowl season, a distinct pattern had
been forming in which UNDERDOGS were dominating the
bowl games between Christmas and New Year’s Day. However,
in the last three seasons, that pattern has reversed itself,
with FAVORITES going 24-19 ATS (56%) in those games.
• The ’09-10 bowl season featured seven matchups of BCS
schools against non-BCS opponents. BCS teams were 4-3 SU
and 3-4 ATS in these games with Oregon State, Cal and Mizzou
all losing by double digits. Over the past three bowl seasons,
BCS teams are 15-9 ATS (63%) against non-BCS teams.
• Double-digit dogs have been paying off in bowl season
for a long time, and last year was no exception: 10+ ‘dogs
went 3-1 ATS & 2-2 SU. Wyoming and SMU each beat Fresno
State and Nevada, while Stanford was within four points of
Oklahoma. The only ATS loser was 12-point-dog Cincinnati,
which was crushed 51-24 by Florida. Since 1992, double-digit
underdogs are an impressive 38-26-2 ATS (59.4%).
• In terms of Over/Under totals, 19 of the 34 games went
UNDER in the ’09-10 bowl season, giving a two-year mark of
59% UNDER (40 Under in 68 games). The UNDER actually
paid off in the games with the lower totals. Last bowl season
there were exactly half (17) of the games set below 53 and
half set above 53. In the “below 53” games, the UNDER was
12-5 with 11 of the games finishing with less than 40 points.
As a subset of the “above 53’” portion, the OVER occurred
7-of-10 times when the total was 58 or higher.
Here are some angles digging deeper into the “quality” of
past bowl games, broken down into four different categories:
BCS Bowl Games: • Dating back to 2004, UNDERDOGS own a sizeable 20-12
ATS (63%) edge in the last six bowl seasons. • The most likely FAVORITES to cover in BCS bowl games
are teams laying 5 or less, 12-8 ATS in the last 20 games. • The SEC owns a 7-1 SU & ATS in its last eight BCS bowl
games, best of any league. Florida and Alabama both had
easy wins and covers last season.

[Spark]

January Low-Level Bowl Games:
• As the point spread increases in this category, the FAVORITE
has more chance for a large win. FAVORITES of 6+
or points from non-BCS January bowls are 8-3 ATS in the
last 11 games, including 2-2 ATS last bowl season.
• MAC teams are the most frequent victim in the January
bowl games, 1-7 ATS, including 0-2 last year (Northern
Illinois and Central Michigan).

Dec. 25-31 Bowl Games:
• In last year’s post-Christmas, pre-New Year’s bowl season,
9-of-14 games went UNDER the total.
• Dating back to 1998, UNDERDOGS own a 105-60-3 ATS
(64%) edge in this grouping of bowl games. FAVORITES,
however, have sliced the gap in the last three years.
• Double-digit UNDERDOGS are a great play during this
portion of the bowl season, going 17-3 ATS since 1998.

Premium January Bowl Games:
• These games—typically the Outback, Gator, Capital One
and Cotton Bowl games—are most likely to go UNDER the
total, 38-24 (61%) since 1996. Three of the four went Under
last season, with just the Auburn-Northwestern overtime
Outback game finishing Over the total.
• The OUTRIGHT winner is a nearly automatic point-spread
winner in this category of bowl games, 58-8-2 ATS since ’92.