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Is this prop too easy!?

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  • Is this prop too easy!?

    WILL THE GAME BE DECIDED BY EXACTLY 3 POINTS?
    No is only -130

    Between 1983-03 it has landed on 3 exactly 15.8% of the time. So, theoretically you should have to lay -600 if you bet NO, but instead you only have to lay -130. Even if you take the outliers out (ie, the games where the line was high and should have been blowouts) still you should be laying -300 or -400. It doesnt make sense.
    Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

    2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

    2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

    2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
    +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

    2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
    +3.4 units

    2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
    +15.1 units

    2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
    +16.3 units

    2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
    +16.8 Units

    2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
    +14.7 Units

  • #2
    what book has this? why wouldnt you take that and the saints+thepoints?
    Last edited by tdtylert; 02-02-2010, 11:55 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      that is a great price...i would take that for sure...

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by tdtylert View Post
        what book has this? why wouldnt you take that and the saints+thepoints?
        if indy covers then you would split.
        Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
        Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

        2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

        2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

        2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
        +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

        2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
        +3.4 units

        2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
        +15.1 units

        2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
        +16.3 units

        2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
        +16.8 Units

        2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
        +14.7 Units

        Comment


        • #5
          WOW!!!!! The line just changed to -600!!! It was an error!!! I am so pissed I didnt take it! Do you guys think they would have voided the bet if I would have taken it at -130? I logged in to bet it too...damn.
          Last edited by roccodean; 02-03-2010, 12:24 AM.
          Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
          Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

          2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

          2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

          2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
          +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

          2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
          +3.4 units

          2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
          +15.1 units

          2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
          +16.3 units

          2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
          +16.8 Units

          2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
          +14.7 Units

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by roccodean View Post
            WOW!!!!! The line just changed to -600!!! It was an error!!! I am so pissed I didnt take it! Do you guys think they would have voided the bet if I would have taken it at -130?
            No they would have been forced to eat it. I had one like that this past summer. ML bets in baseball both teams in the same game were + numbers. One team was +165 and the other was +145 I bet the same amount on both teams and the book accepted the bet. They were forced to pay it.

            PK
            No thrills, frills, spills or write-ups. Just givin ya the winners everyday.

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by poskid View Post
              No they would have been forced to eat it. I had one like that this past summer. ML bets in baseball both teams in the same game were + numbers. One team was +165 and the other was +145 I bet the same amount on both teams and the book accepted the bet. They were forced to pay it.

              PK
              Im sick...I hope it lands on 3 now!
              Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
              Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

              2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

              2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

              2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
              +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

              2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
              +3.4 units

              2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
              +15.1 units

              2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
              +16.3 units

              2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
              +16.8 Units

              2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
              +14.7 Units

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by roccodean View Post
                WOW!!!!! The line just changed to -600!!! It was an error!!! I am so pissed I didnt take it! Do you guys think they would have voided the bet if I would have taken it at -130? I logged in to bet it too...damn.
                I was just going to ask you which book ?

                Thank god they caught the error for their own sake!

                Comment


                • #9
                  I'll go for it

                  Comment

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