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My only play might be on Dallas...I will post later. Analysis on other games below. My math system has the Jets and Ravens.
N.O. versus Arizona-No Play
This is going to be a good game and too tough to call. Neither team can run the ball effectively, but both running defenses are bad (Saints 24th ,Cards 23rd). It's all about the pass game here. Both teams pass defenses are just as bad (Saints 26th, Cards 24th). My Supersystem has the Saints as 10 point favs. In a game that is going to be back and forth and the Saints limping into the playoffs I would lean with the Cards plus the points, but don't like them enough to put money on them. The Superdome is going to be rocking and it's hard to bet against the Saints there.
Indy versus Balt-No Play
Baltimore should be able to run the ball (they were 4th in the NFL averaging 4.3 YPR) versus a Colts D that allows 4.3 YPR. Indy has no run game (dead last in the NFL) and this will continue because the Ravens are first in running D. It's going to come down to if the Ravens can stop Manning. The Ravens' pass D was 8th in the league and have been playing well the last few weeks. My Supersystem has this game at a pick 'em which would make the Ravens a play. This one is too close to call, but I think the Colts win this in a close game.
Minnesota versus Dallas
Possible play please check before gametime
S.D. versus New York Jets-No Play
I was surprised when I looked at the stats in this one. The Jets actually have a slight edge. Diego is last in the NFL in rushing offense and the Jets are 8th in rushing D. So the Chargers will have to throw to score, which they are good at (1st in YPPA), but the Jets are first in pass D. My Supersystem has a play on the Jets, it has the line only at SD -2.5. The Jets are first in the league in rushing and will face a SD defense that is 20th in the league at stopping the run. I can't back a rookie QB on the road against the hottest team in the league right now so I am staying away from this one.
N.O. versus Arizona-No Play
This is going to be a good game and too tough to call. Neither team can run the ball effectively, but both running defenses are bad (Saints 24th ,Cards 23rd). It's all about the pass game here. Both teams pass defenses are just as bad (Saints 26th, Cards 24th). My Supersystem has the Saints as 10 point favs. In a game that is going to be back and forth and the Saints limping into the playoffs I would lean with the Cards plus the points, but don't like them enough to put money on them. The Superdome is going to be rocking and it's hard to bet against the Saints there.
Indy versus Balt-No Play
Baltimore should be able to run the ball (they were 4th in the NFL averaging 4.3 YPR) versus a Colts D that allows 4.3 YPR. Indy has no run game (dead last in the NFL) and this will continue because the Ravens are first in running D. It's going to come down to if the Ravens can stop Manning. The Ravens' pass D was 8th in the league and have been playing well the last few weeks. My Supersystem has this game at a pick 'em which would make the Ravens a play. This one is too close to call, but I think the Colts win this in a close game.
Minnesota versus Dallas
Possible play please check before gametime
S.D. versus New York Jets-No Play
I was surprised when I looked at the stats in this one. The Jets actually have a slight edge. Diego is last in the NFL in rushing offense and the Jets are 8th in rushing D. So the Chargers will have to throw to score, which they are good at (1st in YPPA), but the Jets are first in pass D. My Supersystem has a play on the Jets, it has the line only at SD -2.5. The Jets are first in the league in rushing and will face a SD defense that is 20th in the league at stopping the run. I can't back a rookie QB on the road against the hottest team in the league right now so I am staying away from this one.
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