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Great NFL trend for this week

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  • Great NFL trend for this week

    I always thought that the "must win" teams were bad bets, now I have the stat to prove it. Since 1990, teams that are mathematically out of playoff contention are 83-50-4 ATS in the final 2 weeks of the regular season against teams that must win to keep their playoff hopes alive (i.e. they'd be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss).
    This applies to Clev, Oak, KC this week.
    Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

    2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

    2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

    2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
    +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

    2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
    +3.4 units

    2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
    +15.1 units

    2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
    +16.3 units

    2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
    +16.8 Units

    2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
    +14.7 Units

  • #2
    Originally posted by roccodean View Post
    I always thought that the "must win" teams were bad bets, now I have the stat to prove it. Since 1990, teams that are mathematically out of playoff contention are 83-50-4 ATS in the final 2 weeks of the regular season against teams that must win to keep their playoff hopes alive (i.e. they'd be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss).
    This applies to Clev, Oak, KC this week.
    Why does this not apply to the following teams as well?

    Houston
    Pitt & Miami
    NY Jets

    Comment


    • #3
      NE and Cinci are in playoffs. Trend is against teams playing to get in playoffs. Pitt & miami are both mathmatically not eliminated.
      Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
      Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

      2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

      2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

      2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
      +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

      2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
      +3.4 units

      2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
      +15.1 units

      2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
      +16.3 units

      2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
      +16.8 Units

      2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
      +14.7 Units

      Comment


      • #4
        trend was 3-0 today
        Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
        Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

        2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

        2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

        2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
        +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

        2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
        +3.4 units

        2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
        +15.1 units

        2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
        +16.3 units

        2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
        +16.8 Units

        2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
        +14.7 Units

        Comment

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