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This has been a weird year thus far in NFL wagering. It seems like it's not "any given sunday". I talked to a couple of my friends who are in the sportsbook business in Vegas and he says they are getting hurt every week because all of the public is betting the top teams and against the worst. Favs are 54-41-1 ATS this year so far. Do you guys think this is going to turn around, or will this be a continued trend? My perspective is that it will turn around. Just like the Pats of '07 Vegas will bump the line up (like SD -17 this week) to try to get some money on the dog.
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Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks
2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units
2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)
2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
+9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)
2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
+3.4 units
2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
+15.1 units
2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
+16.3 units
2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
+16.8 Units
2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
+14.7 Units -
Turn around for the books yes. Will the heavy favs quit covering good question. It seems like a couple of years ago favs were covering big time then as well. Personally I've been frustrated with the NFL this year as one week a really good team looks great then the next week they look like crap. -
I think you are going to see some lines in the 20s pretty soon. When the Saints play the Bucs I bet the saints are 24 point favorites.Comment
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the lines need to be higher. i mean the colts only 13pt favs over STL was a joke. Saints should be atleast 20pt favs over TB2013 NCAA POD Record
8-3ATS +3.80 units
2013 NFL POD Record
1-2 ATS -4.50 unitsComment
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my guess is that the turnaround will begin this week...of course, that is just my opinion..Comment
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Its been like that since the league was invented you seemed shocked?Originally posted by BettorsChat View Post
SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!Comment
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The rules which favor the offense more and more have made some teams unstoppable, ie the colts and pats. Particularly the teams with great QBs and coaching.
This makes for blowouts against teams with crap QBs
NBA is a jokeComment
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Yeah, rightOriginally posted by Chado1 View PostIts been like that since the league was invented you seemed shocked?
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Hey all figured it would happen. Favs in NFL were 54-41-1 after wk 7...now they are 65-68-1 heading into tonight....only a matter of time before vegas evened it out.Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks
2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units
2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)
2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
+9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)
2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
+3.4 units
2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
+15.1 units
2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
+16.3 units
2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
+16.8 Units
2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
+14.7 UnitsComment
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Great point.Originally posted by flarendep1 View Post"It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so." -Mark TwainComment
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Last 3 weeks Favorites 13-26Comment
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