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Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular season. Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance to make a ton of money. A year ago in ‘07 for the NFL preseason at Vegasinsider.com my preseason selections went a documented 12-3 hitting at a solid 80%. All these plays were found in my NFL preseason report I released.
In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this preseason that will give you that winning advantage.
A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 11 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.
Here are the 11 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:
Cleveland - Eric Mangini
Denver – Josh McDaniels
Detroit – Jim Schwartz
Indianapolis – Jim Caldwell
Kansas City – Todd Haley
N.Y. Jets – Rex Ryan
Oakland – Tom Cable (interim coach last season)
St. Louis – Steve Spagnuolo
San Francisco – Mike Singletary (interim coach last season)
Seattle – Jim Mora
Tampa Bay – Raheem Morris
OK, so here are this year’s highly rated preseason money making trends for each team.
Arizona – In his two years as head coach of the Cardinals, Ken Whisenhunt has given as some solid preseason trends to make some money with this year. Whisenhunt has shown no interest in winning his first or last preseason games, going a perfect 0-4. Plus he showed defense was not one of his top priorities as Arizona in the past 2 preseasons has seen the 'over' be the right side in six of the Cardinals' eight games. So right off the bat let’s keep an eye out for some high-scoring games from the Cardinals this preseason. Plus let’s definitely fade them when they play the Broncos on Sept 3.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Leinatt, Kurt Warner, Brian St. Pierre, and Tyler Palko
Atlanta – Last year in my annual preseason profit report I told you that new head coach Mike Smith who helped build the solid Jacksonville defense as their defensive coordinator over the past five seasons would immediately bring in the Jaguars mentality of a solid running game and a bruising defense. All this will lead to some very low-scoring games this preseason for the Falcons, which makes the 'under' a strong value play here. Well this turned into an instant profit as the Falcons saw the 'under' go 3-1 in the preseason. So let’s continue to keep an eye out on the 'under' once again this year. Plus, you have to throw in that in their 'dress rehearsal' game the last five years, the Falcons have gone a perfect 5-0 outscoring their opposition 121-45. This year’s 'dress rehearsal' game for the Falcons will be on Aug. 29 when they play San Diego at home.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Ryan, Chris Redman, D.J. Shockley, and John Parker Wilson (rookie-Alabama)
Baltimore – In the past four preseasons, the Ravens have played some really low scoring games with the 'under' going 11-4. This trend continued last season with new head coach John Harbaugh playing it close to the vest as the Ravens watched the 'under' go 3-1. Plus let’s watch the Ravens as a possible play against this year as Harbaugh showed little interest as the preseason progressed losing his last three games.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Joe Flacco, Troy Smith, John Beck, and Drew Willy (rookie-Buffalo)
Buffalo – This will be Dick Jauron’s fourth preseason as head coach of the Bills. In the Bills' first preseason game Jauron has had them ready to play covering all three of his Week 1 preseason games. This continues a trend that has seen the Bills go a perfect 5-0 against the spread in Week 1 of the preseason over the past five years. This is developing into one of my strongest preseason trends. This year’s play is on Aug. 9 as the Bills will face the Titans in the Hall of Fame game at Canton, Ohio. Plus, you have to throw in here that in the past three preseasons the Bills are a perfect 7-0 when they take the field as an underdog.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Matt Baker (rookie-North Carolina), and Gibran Hamdan
Carolina – With John Fox as head coach the Panthers he has been all over the place in the preseason over the years showing no consistent trends that we can rely on a yearly basis. Except for one extremely strong trend that has seen Carolina lose their last preseason game of the year to the Steelers in three of the last four years. So let’s look for this trend to continue this year as the Panthers host Pittsburgh on Sept. 3.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Jake Delhomme, Josh McCown, Matt Moore, and Hunter Cantwell (rookie-Louisville)
Chicago – The Bears under Lovie Smith has just been another team with nothing to write about in the preseason going 7-9 over the past four years. However a monster preseason total play has developed over the years with Chicago. The Bears have seen the 'under' go 6-0 in their last preseason game of the year the past six years, and five of these were against the Browns. This matchup occurs again this year on Sept. 3 when the Bears host the Browns. Perfect trend here guys so don’t let this one pass you by.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Jay Cutler, Caleb Hanie, and Brett Basanez
In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this preseason that will give you that winning advantage.
A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 11 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.
Here are the 11 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:
Cleveland - Eric Mangini
Denver – Josh McDaniels
Detroit – Jim Schwartz
Indianapolis – Jim Caldwell
Kansas City – Todd Haley
N.Y. Jets – Rex Ryan
Oakland – Tom Cable (interim coach last season)
St. Louis – Steve Spagnuolo
San Francisco – Mike Singletary (interim coach last season)
Seattle – Jim Mora
Tampa Bay – Raheem Morris
OK, so here are this year’s highly rated preseason money making trends for each team.
Arizona – In his two years as head coach of the Cardinals, Ken Whisenhunt has given as some solid preseason trends to make some money with this year. Whisenhunt has shown no interest in winning his first or last preseason games, going a perfect 0-4. Plus he showed defense was not one of his top priorities as Arizona in the past 2 preseasons has seen the 'over' be the right side in six of the Cardinals' eight games. So right off the bat let’s keep an eye out for some high-scoring games from the Cardinals this preseason. Plus let’s definitely fade them when they play the Broncos on Sept 3.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Leinatt, Kurt Warner, Brian St. Pierre, and Tyler Palko
Atlanta – Last year in my annual preseason profit report I told you that new head coach Mike Smith who helped build the solid Jacksonville defense as their defensive coordinator over the past five seasons would immediately bring in the Jaguars mentality of a solid running game and a bruising defense. All this will lead to some very low-scoring games this preseason for the Falcons, which makes the 'under' a strong value play here. Well this turned into an instant profit as the Falcons saw the 'under' go 3-1 in the preseason. So let’s continue to keep an eye out on the 'under' once again this year. Plus, you have to throw in that in their 'dress rehearsal' game the last five years, the Falcons have gone a perfect 5-0 outscoring their opposition 121-45. This year’s 'dress rehearsal' game for the Falcons will be on Aug. 29 when they play San Diego at home.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Ryan, Chris Redman, D.J. Shockley, and John Parker Wilson (rookie-Alabama)
Baltimore – In the past four preseasons, the Ravens have played some really low scoring games with the 'under' going 11-4. This trend continued last season with new head coach John Harbaugh playing it close to the vest as the Ravens watched the 'under' go 3-1. Plus let’s watch the Ravens as a possible play against this year as Harbaugh showed little interest as the preseason progressed losing his last three games.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Joe Flacco, Troy Smith, John Beck, and Drew Willy (rookie-Buffalo)
Buffalo – This will be Dick Jauron’s fourth preseason as head coach of the Bills. In the Bills' first preseason game Jauron has had them ready to play covering all three of his Week 1 preseason games. This continues a trend that has seen the Bills go a perfect 5-0 against the spread in Week 1 of the preseason over the past five years. This is developing into one of my strongest preseason trends. This year’s play is on Aug. 9 as the Bills will face the Titans in the Hall of Fame game at Canton, Ohio. Plus, you have to throw in here that in the past three preseasons the Bills are a perfect 7-0 when they take the field as an underdog.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Matt Baker (rookie-North Carolina), and Gibran Hamdan
Carolina – With John Fox as head coach the Panthers he has been all over the place in the preseason over the years showing no consistent trends that we can rely on a yearly basis. Except for one extremely strong trend that has seen Carolina lose their last preseason game of the year to the Steelers in three of the last four years. So let’s look for this trend to continue this year as the Panthers host Pittsburgh on Sept. 3.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Jake Delhomme, Josh McCown, Matt Moore, and Hunter Cantwell (rookie-Louisville)
Chicago – The Bears under Lovie Smith has just been another team with nothing to write about in the preseason going 7-9 over the past four years. However a monster preseason total play has developed over the years with Chicago. The Bears have seen the 'under' go 6-0 in their last preseason game of the year the past six years, and five of these were against the Browns. This matchup occurs again this year on Sept. 3 when the Bears host the Browns. Perfect trend here guys so don’t let this one pass you by.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Jay Cutler, Caleb Hanie, and Brett Basanez
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