Over/ Under MLB total update.

[bryce]

I posted the beginning of the week that I was going to play every game this week UNDER the total.

Right now UNDER is hitting at 56%--I really thought this would be closer to 60% but I wasn't to far off.

I am going to continue to monitor this.
I am an OVER player but have burned one to many times this year on OVER and decided to try something different.
I am going to keep track of this for a few more weeks.

Maybe Frank can chime in if he has Over/Under stats over the first half of this season OR last year. I am interested to see the numbers.

[bryce]

Total record this week 23-18-2 UNDER

[frankb03]

2009 Season to date 626/723
2009 First Half 595-662
2008 Season 1148-1200
Since 2004 6376-6667

[bryce]

2009 Season to date 626/723
2009 First Half 595-662
2008 Season 1148-1200
Since 2004 6376-6667

A lot closer than I thought. Thanks Frank appreciate the help.
2009 looks to be heading where I was thinking though.


Nonetheless no real advantage to make a huge profit over a period of time.

[bryce]

3-0-1 on Unders today---see what happens tonight!

[trims]

funny bro cause i'm the same way. love overs. always rooting for runs. played every over tonight phillies game was easy one. wash/cards will be a struggle but the other 3 i think will go over. unders were today. tonight i hope will be different. gl!!

[trims]

rain delay in wash may help me. both starters probable won't be back with a alot of game left since only top 4. getting wainwright out would be a blessing so early

[bryce]

By my count---UNDER wins 49-40-9....
Not a great advantage but not a bad week.
It is amazing the scores this week---some game had 15 + runs---some had 20 + runs..maybe I don't pay attention all the time but there were a shitload of high scoring games this week

[savage1]

Maybe it just seems that way, but from my perception over the years, when a closing total is exactly 9 1/2, there is a strong propensity for the game to stay under.
Just yesterday these totals were 4-0 UNDER.
Perhaps Frank or someone has stats to indicate over time whether there is anything to my feelings, ie if a higher percentage of games stay under as opposed to other numbers when closing total is exactly at 9 1/2.

[frankb03]

Since 2004

Total	O/U	OU%
10.5	407-462	46.8%
10	664-668	49.8%
9.5	1286-1344	48.9%
9	1346-1416	48.7%
8.5	1196-1245	48.7%
8	665-672	49.7%

[savage1]

Thanks Frank-obviously what I thought was incorrect-it is truly amazing how statistically close the o/u's are at each level other than at 10 1/2.