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10/03/2005
October Reecortd: 9-1
September Record Ended: 53-32-1
We went 5-0 Yesterday with a very nice profit of $1,600 (16 Units)
Today's Selection Will Be By 10:30 a.m. PT
Sign Up For the Day Pass For $15 or For The Week For $65.
Get on Board to PUT YOUR BOOKIE IN A WHEELCHAIR!!
Here is the recap on Sunday's Selection.
Game: Denver vs. Jacksonville 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Denver +4 -110
Prediction: Denver +4 -110
Explanation: 2 Units
FINAL SCORE: Denver 20 Jacksonville 7 WIN +($200) UNITS
The Broncos certainly won’t be taking their road trip down to Jacksonville lightly this week. They remember well what happened in Week 1 in Miami, a disastrous debacle to open up the season. And the Broncos remember what happened last year when they visited the Jags, a 7-6 defeat in a game they probably should have won by two touchdowns. So, even though the spot is not a great one for the road team – coming off two consecutive divisional wins, traveling east to play an early start game on a short week after playing Monday Night – we can expect a focused effort from Denver here.
The matchups favor the Broncos as well. Jacksonville is not a strong passing team, meaning that the Jags are going to need to run the football to cover this pointspread as a favorite. Two problems – the Jags aren’t running the ball well, and the Broncos run D has exceeded expectations. Looks like Mike Shanahan knew what he was doing when he imported all of those ex Cleveland Browns to team up with Trevor Pryce to form one of the elite defensive lines in football.
And the Broncos have shown great balance in their offensive attack. Denver is, as usual, running the football very well behind the best zone blocking offensive line in football. The Broncos are averaging 4.7 yards per carry for the season, good for third in the NFL, behind only the Chargers and Falcons in the first three weeks of the season. And Jake Plummer has utilized a short, controlled passing game, finding Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie and tight end Jeb Putzier to move the chains on a consistent basis. Put it all together and this game grades out like a pick ‘em contest. Taking more than a field goal with Denver is an easy choice to make.
Play Denver +4
Predicted Final: Denver 20 Jacksonville 17
Game: St. Louis vs. New York Giants 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Total 46.5 over -110
Prediction: Over 46.5 -110
Explanation: 2 Units
FINAL SCORE: New York Giants 44 St. Louis 24 WIN +($200) UNITS
We’ve got two upper echelon offenses facing off against two lesser tier defenses this week in a game that has Over written all over it. We used the Rams Over the total last week against a similarly weak defense vs. Tennessee in what turned out to be one of the highest scoring games of the weekend. This Rams offense is nicely balanced, with RB Stephen Jackson filling the big shoes left behind when Marshall Faulk was converted into a third down back.
And there’s no question that Mark Bulger can move the football through the air. Bulger has completed 65% of his passes through the first three weeks of the season, throwing for 870 yards and six touchdowns. WR’s Kevin Curtis and Shaun McDonald are more than capable of filling the slack left by Issac Bruce’s injury on the other side from Tory Holt. Facing a Giants defense that has been positively torched – only the 49ers and Browns have allowed more yards per play, minus starting cornerback Will Peterson, we can expect a big afternoon from the St Louis offense.
We can also expect a big afternoon from the Giants offense. New York leads the league in points scored this season. We know that this team can put up points in bunches against weak defenses – they ripped apart the Saints here at the Meadowlands just two weeks ago, after hanging 41 on the Cardinals in Week 1. St Louis doesn’t have the secondary to contain Plaxico Burress, Amani Toomer, Jeremy Shockey and Tiki Barber at the same time. Look for Eli Manning to have a huge day, sending this game flying Over the total.
Play the Over 46.5
Predicted Final: New York Giants 27 St. Louis 24
Game: Indianapolis vs Tennessee 1:00 p.m. ET / Ny Jets vs Baltimore 4:05 ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: (2 Team 6 pt Teaser) Indianapolis -1 / Baltimore -1
Prediction: (2 Team 6 pt Teaser) Indianapolis -1 / Baltimore -1
Explanation: 4 Units (2 Team Teaser)
Indianapolis vs Tennessee 1:00 p.m. ET
FINAL SCORE: Indianapolis 31 Tennessee 10 WIN +(400) UNITS
Manning is bound to break out eventually, and we think this will be the game that he will do so against the weak Titans secondary. Tennessee's young secondary group figures to be confused by the Colts' intricate passing scheme, and should get burned for a couple of big plays.
Play Indianapolis -1 as our 1st Leg of our Teaser
Ny Jets vs Baltimore 4:05 ET
FINAL SCORE: Baltimore 13 Ny Jets 3 WIN
Winless teams coming off a bye week are one of the most profitable long term subsets to support with your wagers. The Ravens have spent the last two weeks hearing about how miserable they are in the local media. They’ve had every coach on the staff drill into their heads how important this next game is going to be. Anthony Wright has taken enough snaps with the first string offense to feel comfortable in that role. And there’s no question that this Ravens defense is positively nasty, embarrassed off a poor showing at Tennessee before the bye.
Play Baltimore -1 as our 2nd Leg of our Teaser
Predicted Final: Indianapolis 27 Tennessee 17 / Baltimore 17 Ny Jets 10
Game: Seattle vs. Washington 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Washington -2 -110
Prediction: Washington -2 -110
Explanation: 5 Units
FINAL SCORE: Washington 20 Seattle 17 WIN +($500) UNITS
Suddenly, the Seahawks are the team to watch out for in the NFC West again? No sirree – we are not buying the hype, but we are glad that it’s given us a pointspread that makes this game worthy of a 5 Units.
This is what Seattle has done so far this year. They went to Jacksonville and got outscored 13-0 in the second half of a double digit loss. They returned home, played a flat Falcons team coming off a short week, traveling all the way to the West Coast off a huge Monday Night revenge win, and got outscored in the second half 18-0, barely hanging on for the victory. Last week, the Seahawks beat up a winless and pathetic Cardinals squad. To all of this, we say: Big Deal.
The Seahawks still routinely get outcoached in the second half of games, one of the worst second half teams in all of football. Opposing coaches make adjustments; Mike Holmgren does not. Defensive coordinator Ray Rhodes is still recovering from a stroke he suffered in September, returning to the practice field for the first time this past week. His return to the team is not necessarily an upgrade. Seattle’s seven new defensive starters are still getting familiar with the disjointed system/coaching staff. They haven’t stopped the run against anybody this year, and are struggling to create turnovers. Let’s not forget that QB Matt Hasselbeck has strained his abdominal muscles, bad news for a quarterback that has defined mediocrity for the last year and a half.
Washington is 2-0, coming off a bye week following their confidence inducing, thrilling come from behind win against nemesis Dallas. All reports out of Washington have this team feeling good about themselves, buying into what Joe Gibbs is selling, without a shred of a quarterback controversy with Mark Brunell behind center. Washington is a dominant defensive football team, giving up exactly two touchdowns so far this season. Dallas scored 28 and 34 against their other two opponents, just 13 against the ‘Skins. Chicago scored 38 against Detroit the week after they scored seven against the ‘Skins. We think Washington is arguably the most undervalued team in the NFL right now.
Play Washington -2
Predicted Final: Washington 17 Seattle 13
Game: Buffalo vs. New Orleans 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: New Orleans Pk -110
Prediction: New Orleans Pk -110
Explanation: 3 Units
FINAL SCORE: New Orleans 19 Buffalo 7 WIN +($300) UNITS
The Bills do not look like a very good team right now. The JP Losman experiment at quarterback simply isn’t working. Losman has a quarterback rating of 60, ahead of only Kyle Orton, Joey Harrington and David Carr in the first three weeks of play. Buffalo hasn’t broken 100 yards through the air in each of the last two weeks, leaving Willis McGahee struggling to carry the one dimensional offense. The Bills managed just three points in their lone other road game this season. And Buffalo’s defense took a major hit with the loss of pro bowl LB Takeo Spikes, an emotional leader both on the field and in the locker room. I’m not ready to ask this team to win a road game against a hungry Saints club primed for a good ballgame.
New Orleans has been in disastrous spots for the last two weeks. They lost their only September home game when the league moved it to New York following Hurricane Katrina. The Saints have fumbled the opening kickoff in each of their last two games, trailing 7-0 before the 14:00 minute mark of the first quarter each time. A tired, emotionally spent team plagued with turnovers (-9 in turnovers the last two weeks alone!) is not likely to cover many pointspreads.
But this is a home game for New Orleans, the first favorable crowd that they’ll have had since Week 3 of the preseason – the San Antonio crowd will matter more to the Saints than any crowd to any home team this season. And it’s not to hard to picture a turnaround with that type of fan support – all they have to do is avoid the turnovers that have plagued them for the last two weeks. We know this offense is potent, and the Bills offense isn’t strong enough to expose the flaws in the Saints D. This spot screams for a bet on the home team, and we are listening.
Play New Orleans Pk
Predicted Final: New Orleans 20 Buffalo
October Reecortd: 9-1
September Record Ended: 53-32-1
We went 5-0 Yesterday with a very nice profit of $1,600 (16 Units)
Today's Selection Will Be By 10:30 a.m. PT
Sign Up For the Day Pass For $15 or For The Week For $65.
Get on Board to PUT YOUR BOOKIE IN A WHEELCHAIR!!
Here is the recap on Sunday's Selection.
Game: Denver vs. Jacksonville 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Denver +4 -110
Prediction: Denver +4 -110
Explanation: 2 Units
FINAL SCORE: Denver 20 Jacksonville 7 WIN +($200) UNITS
The Broncos certainly won’t be taking their road trip down to Jacksonville lightly this week. They remember well what happened in Week 1 in Miami, a disastrous debacle to open up the season. And the Broncos remember what happened last year when they visited the Jags, a 7-6 defeat in a game they probably should have won by two touchdowns. So, even though the spot is not a great one for the road team – coming off two consecutive divisional wins, traveling east to play an early start game on a short week after playing Monday Night – we can expect a focused effort from Denver here.
The matchups favor the Broncos as well. Jacksonville is not a strong passing team, meaning that the Jags are going to need to run the football to cover this pointspread as a favorite. Two problems – the Jags aren’t running the ball well, and the Broncos run D has exceeded expectations. Looks like Mike Shanahan knew what he was doing when he imported all of those ex Cleveland Browns to team up with Trevor Pryce to form one of the elite defensive lines in football.
And the Broncos have shown great balance in their offensive attack. Denver is, as usual, running the football very well behind the best zone blocking offensive line in football. The Broncos are averaging 4.7 yards per carry for the season, good for third in the NFL, behind only the Chargers and Falcons in the first three weeks of the season. And Jake Plummer has utilized a short, controlled passing game, finding Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie and tight end Jeb Putzier to move the chains on a consistent basis. Put it all together and this game grades out like a pick ‘em contest. Taking more than a field goal with Denver is an easy choice to make.
Play Denver +4
Predicted Final: Denver 20 Jacksonville 17
Game: St. Louis vs. New York Giants 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Total 46.5 over -110
Prediction: Over 46.5 -110
Explanation: 2 Units
FINAL SCORE: New York Giants 44 St. Louis 24 WIN +($200) UNITS
We’ve got two upper echelon offenses facing off against two lesser tier defenses this week in a game that has Over written all over it. We used the Rams Over the total last week against a similarly weak defense vs. Tennessee in what turned out to be one of the highest scoring games of the weekend. This Rams offense is nicely balanced, with RB Stephen Jackson filling the big shoes left behind when Marshall Faulk was converted into a third down back.
And there’s no question that Mark Bulger can move the football through the air. Bulger has completed 65% of his passes through the first three weeks of the season, throwing for 870 yards and six touchdowns. WR’s Kevin Curtis and Shaun McDonald are more than capable of filling the slack left by Issac Bruce’s injury on the other side from Tory Holt. Facing a Giants defense that has been positively torched – only the 49ers and Browns have allowed more yards per play, minus starting cornerback Will Peterson, we can expect a big afternoon from the St Louis offense.
We can also expect a big afternoon from the Giants offense. New York leads the league in points scored this season. We know that this team can put up points in bunches against weak defenses – they ripped apart the Saints here at the Meadowlands just two weeks ago, after hanging 41 on the Cardinals in Week 1. St Louis doesn’t have the secondary to contain Plaxico Burress, Amani Toomer, Jeremy Shockey and Tiki Barber at the same time. Look for Eli Manning to have a huge day, sending this game flying Over the total.
Play the Over 46.5
Predicted Final: New York Giants 27 St. Louis 24
Game: Indianapolis vs Tennessee 1:00 p.m. ET / Ny Jets vs Baltimore 4:05 ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: (2 Team 6 pt Teaser) Indianapolis -1 / Baltimore -1
Prediction: (2 Team 6 pt Teaser) Indianapolis -1 / Baltimore -1
Explanation: 4 Units (2 Team Teaser)
Indianapolis vs Tennessee 1:00 p.m. ET
FINAL SCORE: Indianapolis 31 Tennessee 10 WIN +(400) UNITS
Manning is bound to break out eventually, and we think this will be the game that he will do so against the weak Titans secondary. Tennessee's young secondary group figures to be confused by the Colts' intricate passing scheme, and should get burned for a couple of big plays.
Play Indianapolis -1 as our 1st Leg of our Teaser
Ny Jets vs Baltimore 4:05 ET
FINAL SCORE: Baltimore 13 Ny Jets 3 WIN
Winless teams coming off a bye week are one of the most profitable long term subsets to support with your wagers. The Ravens have spent the last two weeks hearing about how miserable they are in the local media. They’ve had every coach on the staff drill into their heads how important this next game is going to be. Anthony Wright has taken enough snaps with the first string offense to feel comfortable in that role. And there’s no question that this Ravens defense is positively nasty, embarrassed off a poor showing at Tennessee before the bye.
Play Baltimore -1 as our 2nd Leg of our Teaser
Predicted Final: Indianapolis 27 Tennessee 17 / Baltimore 17 Ny Jets 10
Game: Seattle vs. Washington 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: Washington -2 -110
Prediction: Washington -2 -110
Explanation: 5 Units
FINAL SCORE: Washington 20 Seattle 17 WIN +($500) UNITS
Suddenly, the Seahawks are the team to watch out for in the NFC West again? No sirree – we are not buying the hype, but we are glad that it’s given us a pointspread that makes this game worthy of a 5 Units.
This is what Seattle has done so far this year. They went to Jacksonville and got outscored 13-0 in the second half of a double digit loss. They returned home, played a flat Falcons team coming off a short week, traveling all the way to the West Coast off a huge Monday Night revenge win, and got outscored in the second half 18-0, barely hanging on for the victory. Last week, the Seahawks beat up a winless and pathetic Cardinals squad. To all of this, we say: Big Deal.
The Seahawks still routinely get outcoached in the second half of games, one of the worst second half teams in all of football. Opposing coaches make adjustments; Mike Holmgren does not. Defensive coordinator Ray Rhodes is still recovering from a stroke he suffered in September, returning to the practice field for the first time this past week. His return to the team is not necessarily an upgrade. Seattle’s seven new defensive starters are still getting familiar with the disjointed system/coaching staff. They haven’t stopped the run against anybody this year, and are struggling to create turnovers. Let’s not forget that QB Matt Hasselbeck has strained his abdominal muscles, bad news for a quarterback that has defined mediocrity for the last year and a half.
Washington is 2-0, coming off a bye week following their confidence inducing, thrilling come from behind win against nemesis Dallas. All reports out of Washington have this team feeling good about themselves, buying into what Joe Gibbs is selling, without a shred of a quarterback controversy with Mark Brunell behind center. Washington is a dominant defensive football team, giving up exactly two touchdowns so far this season. Dallas scored 28 and 34 against their other two opponents, just 13 against the ‘Skins. Chicago scored 38 against Detroit the week after they scored seven against the ‘Skins. We think Washington is arguably the most undervalued team in the NFL right now.
Play Washington -2
Predicted Final: Washington 17 Seattle 13
Game: Buffalo vs. New Orleans 1:00 p.m. ET
Sport: NFL - National Football League
Line: New Orleans Pk -110
Prediction: New Orleans Pk -110
Explanation: 3 Units
FINAL SCORE: New Orleans 19 Buffalo 7 WIN +($300) UNITS
The Bills do not look like a very good team right now. The JP Losman experiment at quarterback simply isn’t working. Losman has a quarterback rating of 60, ahead of only Kyle Orton, Joey Harrington and David Carr in the first three weeks of play. Buffalo hasn’t broken 100 yards through the air in each of the last two weeks, leaving Willis McGahee struggling to carry the one dimensional offense. The Bills managed just three points in their lone other road game this season. And Buffalo’s defense took a major hit with the loss of pro bowl LB Takeo Spikes, an emotional leader both on the field and in the locker room. I’m not ready to ask this team to win a road game against a hungry Saints club primed for a good ballgame.
New Orleans has been in disastrous spots for the last two weeks. They lost their only September home game when the league moved it to New York following Hurricane Katrina. The Saints have fumbled the opening kickoff in each of their last two games, trailing 7-0 before the 14:00 minute mark of the first quarter each time. A tired, emotionally spent team plagued with turnovers (-9 in turnovers the last two weeks alone!) is not likely to cover many pointspreads.
But this is a home game for New Orleans, the first favorable crowd that they’ll have had since Week 3 of the preseason – the San Antonio crowd will matter more to the Saints than any crowd to any home team this season. And it’s not to hard to picture a turnaround with that type of fan support – all they have to do is avoid the turnovers that have plagued them for the last two weeks. We know this offense is potent, and the Bills offense isn’t strong enough to expose the flaws in the Saints D. This spot screams for a bet on the home team, and we are listening.
Play New Orleans Pk
Predicted Final: New Orleans 20 Buffalo