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FREE TWO WEEKS IN THE BILLBOARD SECTION!
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WELL NOT A BAD WEEK AS WE FINISHED WITH A SMALL PROFIT BUT JUST LIKE LAST SEASON WE LOST TWO GAMES THAT WE WERE ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF BUT THEY JUST DID NOT COME THROUGH FOR US. AS PREDICTED GEORGIA SHUT DOWN THE BOISE ATTACK BUT WHO WOULD HAVE FORESEEN THEM PUTTING UP A 45 SPOT. THE REFS ALSO COMPLETELY BLEW THE RUTGERS GAME. NOW WE START THE NFL SEASON THIS WEEK, ONE OF MY SPECIALITIES SO LETS GET THIS STARTED OFF RIGHT. I PLAY EVERY GAME WITH MY OWN MONEY AND I BET ABOUT 1/2 OF WHAT I NORMALLY BET THE FIRST FEW WEEKS OF THE SEASON. I WILL ONLY BE BETTING THESE GAMES FOR $100/UNIT SO ADJUST YOUR RATINGS ACCORDINGLY AS YOU SEE FIT. AS ALWAYS, BEST OF LUCK IF YOU DECIDE TO PLAY.
NOTE: IF THE LINE MOVES MORE THEN 2.5 POINTS OFF THE NUMBER THAT IS POSTED THEN IT IS A NO PLAY. THAT MEANS I WILL HAVE HEDGED MY BET.
8* MY TOP PLAY...VERY RARE (23-8 ) LAST 2 YEARS IN FOOTBALL (74%)
6-7* HIGH RATED SELECTION ONLY WHEN ALOT OF GAMES ON THE CARD TO CHOSE FROM (WELL OVER 60%)
5* EXCEPTIONAL PLAY USUALLY HIGHEST WHEN ONLY A FEW GAMES
4* VERY STRONG SELECTION
3* STRONG SELECTION
2* PROBABLE COVER (MOST COMMON RATING)
1* A GAME THAT SHOULD COVER
OPINION PLAY: GAME THAT I THINK MAY WIN BUT OFTEN JUST TO WATCH A GAME OR A LEAN USUALLY 1/2 A UNIT.
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SUMMARY OF NFL SELECTIONS:
(3) BUFFALO -5.5
Opinion: OAKLAND +7.5 Added
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HOUSTON (7 - 9) at BUFFALO (9 - 7)
Week 1 Sunday, 9/11/2005 1:00 PM
http://us.i1.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/i/.../80x60/hou.gif vs http://us.i1.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/i/.../80x60/buf.gif
Analysis
Interesting opener, with two tough, physical defenses battling. The Bills ranked No.2 in overall defense last year and first in takeaways. It’s no fluke. The Bills have solid defensive linemen, playmakers at linebackers and a deep, speedy secondary. Their special teams are excellent and second-year running back Willis McGahee is a superstar in the making. With a new QB, McGahee will bear the brunt of the offense. Buffalo’s rebuilt offensive line was assembled for run-blocking. Losman will also be able to make some plays keeping McGahee from seeing eight-man fronts. Losman has two playmaking receivers in Eric Moulds and Lee Evans. Meanwhile, the Texans enter the season hoping to earn the young franchise's first winning record. However, it’s now year 4 now for the Texans, and they still look like more of an expansion team than playoff contender Houston has made a lot of off-season adjustments, one was to bring in cornerback Aaron Glenn to shore up the pass defense. Another is trying to get QB David Carr to throw the ball quicker to cut down on sacks. He'd better learn fast, as Buffalo has a very strong all-around defense, ranking 2nd in the NFL the last two years. It should be noted that Carr has had an awful preseason: In the final two games, Carr completed just 8 of 24 passes for a measly 56 yards and 4 interceptions.
This contest is a matchup dream for the Bills. Everywhere the Texans appear strong, the Bills are stronger. Houston’s offensive unit is going on the road against a top notch defensive unit, which executes it's aggressive schemes with masterful discipline. Buffalo's front 7 will put plenty of pressure on David Carr. The Bills will put CB Nate Clements on WR Andre Johnson. Clements is one of the most underrated playmaking CBs in the league as he could probably cover Johnson on his own, and has FS Troy Vincent as a safety valve. With this match up advantage, the Bills will simply not be beaten deep by the Johnson/Carr combo. This allows SS Lawyer Milloy to cheat-up to the line to assist in run support. The Bills other CB, Terrence McGee, is more than a match for WR Jabar Gaffney. Buffalo's rushing defense gave up only 100 ypg, and 3.6 ypc last year; (and again we have a match up advantage for Buffalo as Houston’s Offensive Line is poor…very poor). Run stuffing SS Lawyer Milloy is healthy, and supports WLB Takeo Spikes in a very strong run stuffing unit which should hold the Domanick Davis led Texans running game to a manageable number.
Of course the big story here is the debut of new Buffalo starting QB J.P. Losman. Losman had a decent preseason and is surrounded by some very strong weapons, like WR Eric Moulds and RB Willis McGahee (13 TDs, 1,128 yards). Some are uncertain on laying chalk on the rookie QB in his first game. However, consider Losman will be playing at home, and will not have to deal with crowd noise on offensive snaps. Losman plays behind a very underrated offensive line. A defenses best weapon versus a young QB is pressure but Houston just doesn't have the ability to aggressively pursue quarterbacks. Last year this unit only had 19 sacks! While David Carr has shown impressive mettle and decision-making skills in his short career, and RB Domanick Davis and WR Andre Johnson are relatively consistent NFL producers, the Texans’ offense will only go as far as their OL takes them and… Houston’s O-line is a mess. The Texans still don’t know how to win, commit way too many penalties and stupid mistakes. The trend is also our friend as the Bills on 6-1 ATS run, covering by 19.3 ppg, & are a solid 28-16 spread play in Sept. And host is on a 16-8 ATS run in Texas games. Lay it.
Forecast: BUF Bills 24, HOU Texans 10
PLAY 3* UNITS ON BUFFALO -5.5
OAKLAND (5 - 11) at NEW ENGLAND (17 - 2)
Week 1 Thursday, 9/8/2005 9:00 PM
http://us.i1.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/i/.../80x60/oak.gif vs http://us.i1.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/i/.../80x60/nwe.gif
Analysis
NFL Opener and don’t be surprised if Oakland wins this game outright. Despite being on different coasts and divisions, there is a rivalry between these teams. They're both original AFL members and were involved in two thrilling and controversial playoff games (1976, 2002). Throw in the preseason Darryl Stingley tragedy (1978), and these fans always get fired up to beat the opponent. Oakland unveils its new offense with WR Randy Moss. Norv Turner's strategy last season was to wing it down the field with QB Kerry Collins, but now with Moss aboard, with WR Jerry Porter and new RB LaMont Jordan, they have the makings of a better attack. Oakland allowed 125 yards rushing per game in 2004, 21st in the NFL. A defense that ranked 30th a year ago still relies on too many veterans (Warren Sapp, Ted Washington, Charles Woodson) who aren't as good as they once were. Which means they will see a lot of RB Corey Dillon in this one. Oakland QB Kerry Collins passed for 3,495 yards, and had 21 TDs..
The Pats have the "superbowl letdown factor",and after looking at the fundamental unit-on-unit matchups, both teams should be able to move the ball effectively through the air. Patriot's secondary looks a little vulnerable especially against teams that can throw a talented 3-wide at them. Look for Oakland's 3rd receiver (probably Ron Curry) to have a BIG day. Each of Oakland's top 3 receivers have athletic advantages over the Patriots top 3 DB's. Pats SS Harrison is a great hitter, and great against the run, but he's only a so so cover man. The FS Eugene Wilson is good, but not great, and he'll probably be assigned deep cover on Moss - opening up the other side of the field for the flanker and slot receivers. Collins has shown moments of brilliance and is at his best when the pressure is off, and the expectations are low. With the Raiders getting a TD and no respect from the coaches talk show circuit, no one expects them to come in and compete. Take the points against my Pats!
Forecast: NE Patriots 24, OAK Raiders 27
OPINION SELECTION ON OAKLAND +7.5
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WELL NOT A BAD WEEK AS WE FINISHED WITH A SMALL PROFIT BUT JUST LIKE LAST SEASON WE LOST TWO GAMES THAT WE WERE ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF BUT THEY JUST DID NOT COME THROUGH FOR US. AS PREDICTED GEORGIA SHUT DOWN THE BOISE ATTACK BUT WHO WOULD HAVE FORESEEN THEM PUTTING UP A 45 SPOT. THE REFS ALSO COMPLETELY BLEW THE RUTGERS GAME. NOW WE START THE NFL SEASON THIS WEEK, ONE OF MY SPECIALITIES SO LETS GET THIS STARTED OFF RIGHT. I PLAY EVERY GAME WITH MY OWN MONEY AND I BET ABOUT 1/2 OF WHAT I NORMALLY BET THE FIRST FEW WEEKS OF THE SEASON. I WILL ONLY BE BETTING THESE GAMES FOR $100/UNIT SO ADJUST YOUR RATINGS ACCORDINGLY AS YOU SEE FIT. AS ALWAYS, BEST OF LUCK IF YOU DECIDE TO PLAY.
NOTE: IF THE LINE MOVES MORE THEN 2.5 POINTS OFF THE NUMBER THAT IS POSTED THEN IT IS A NO PLAY. THAT MEANS I WILL HAVE HEDGED MY BET.
8* MY TOP PLAY...VERY RARE (23-8 ) LAST 2 YEARS IN FOOTBALL (74%)
6-7* HIGH RATED SELECTION ONLY WHEN ALOT OF GAMES ON THE CARD TO CHOSE FROM (WELL OVER 60%)
5* EXCEPTIONAL PLAY USUALLY HIGHEST WHEN ONLY A FEW GAMES
4* VERY STRONG SELECTION
3* STRONG SELECTION
2* PROBABLE COVER (MOST COMMON RATING)
1* A GAME THAT SHOULD COVER
OPINION PLAY: GAME THAT I THINK MAY WIN BUT OFTEN JUST TO WATCH A GAME OR A LEAN USUALLY 1/2 A UNIT.
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SUMMARY OF NFL SELECTIONS:
(3) BUFFALO -5.5
Opinion: OAKLAND +7.5 Added
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HOUSTON (7 - 9) at BUFFALO (9 - 7)
Week 1 Sunday, 9/11/2005 1:00 PM
http://us.i1.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/i/.../80x60/hou.gif vs http://us.i1.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/i/.../80x60/buf.gif
Analysis
Interesting opener, with two tough, physical defenses battling. The Bills ranked No.2 in overall defense last year and first in takeaways. It’s no fluke. The Bills have solid defensive linemen, playmakers at linebackers and a deep, speedy secondary. Their special teams are excellent and second-year running back Willis McGahee is a superstar in the making. With a new QB, McGahee will bear the brunt of the offense. Buffalo’s rebuilt offensive line was assembled for run-blocking. Losman will also be able to make some plays keeping McGahee from seeing eight-man fronts. Losman has two playmaking receivers in Eric Moulds and Lee Evans. Meanwhile, the Texans enter the season hoping to earn the young franchise's first winning record. However, it’s now year 4 now for the Texans, and they still look like more of an expansion team than playoff contender Houston has made a lot of off-season adjustments, one was to bring in cornerback Aaron Glenn to shore up the pass defense. Another is trying to get QB David Carr to throw the ball quicker to cut down on sacks. He'd better learn fast, as Buffalo has a very strong all-around defense, ranking 2nd in the NFL the last two years. It should be noted that Carr has had an awful preseason: In the final two games, Carr completed just 8 of 24 passes for a measly 56 yards and 4 interceptions.
This contest is a matchup dream for the Bills. Everywhere the Texans appear strong, the Bills are stronger. Houston’s offensive unit is going on the road against a top notch defensive unit, which executes it's aggressive schemes with masterful discipline. Buffalo's front 7 will put plenty of pressure on David Carr. The Bills will put CB Nate Clements on WR Andre Johnson. Clements is one of the most underrated playmaking CBs in the league as he could probably cover Johnson on his own, and has FS Troy Vincent as a safety valve. With this match up advantage, the Bills will simply not be beaten deep by the Johnson/Carr combo. This allows SS Lawyer Milloy to cheat-up to the line to assist in run support. The Bills other CB, Terrence McGee, is more than a match for WR Jabar Gaffney. Buffalo's rushing defense gave up only 100 ypg, and 3.6 ypc last year; (and again we have a match up advantage for Buffalo as Houston’s Offensive Line is poor…very poor). Run stuffing SS Lawyer Milloy is healthy, and supports WLB Takeo Spikes in a very strong run stuffing unit which should hold the Domanick Davis led Texans running game to a manageable number.
Of course the big story here is the debut of new Buffalo starting QB J.P. Losman. Losman had a decent preseason and is surrounded by some very strong weapons, like WR Eric Moulds and RB Willis McGahee (13 TDs, 1,128 yards). Some are uncertain on laying chalk on the rookie QB in his first game. However, consider Losman will be playing at home, and will not have to deal with crowd noise on offensive snaps. Losman plays behind a very underrated offensive line. A defenses best weapon versus a young QB is pressure but Houston just doesn't have the ability to aggressively pursue quarterbacks. Last year this unit only had 19 sacks! While David Carr has shown impressive mettle and decision-making skills in his short career, and RB Domanick Davis and WR Andre Johnson are relatively consistent NFL producers, the Texans’ offense will only go as far as their OL takes them and… Houston’s O-line is a mess. The Texans still don’t know how to win, commit way too many penalties and stupid mistakes. The trend is also our friend as the Bills on 6-1 ATS run, covering by 19.3 ppg, & are a solid 28-16 spread play in Sept. And host is on a 16-8 ATS run in Texas games. Lay it.
Forecast: BUF Bills 24, HOU Texans 10
PLAY 3* UNITS ON BUFFALO -5.5
OAKLAND (5 - 11) at NEW ENGLAND (17 - 2)
Week 1 Thursday, 9/8/2005 9:00 PM
http://us.i1.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/i/.../80x60/oak.gif vs http://us.i1.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/i/.../80x60/nwe.gif
Analysis
NFL Opener and don’t be surprised if Oakland wins this game outright. Despite being on different coasts and divisions, there is a rivalry between these teams. They're both original AFL members and were involved in two thrilling and controversial playoff games (1976, 2002). Throw in the preseason Darryl Stingley tragedy (1978), and these fans always get fired up to beat the opponent. Oakland unveils its new offense with WR Randy Moss. Norv Turner's strategy last season was to wing it down the field with QB Kerry Collins, but now with Moss aboard, with WR Jerry Porter and new RB LaMont Jordan, they have the makings of a better attack. Oakland allowed 125 yards rushing per game in 2004, 21st in the NFL. A defense that ranked 30th a year ago still relies on too many veterans (Warren Sapp, Ted Washington, Charles Woodson) who aren't as good as they once were. Which means they will see a lot of RB Corey Dillon in this one. Oakland QB Kerry Collins passed for 3,495 yards, and had 21 TDs..
The Pats have the "superbowl letdown factor",and after looking at the fundamental unit-on-unit matchups, both teams should be able to move the ball effectively through the air. Patriot's secondary looks a little vulnerable especially against teams that can throw a talented 3-wide at them. Look for Oakland's 3rd receiver (probably Ron Curry) to have a BIG day. Each of Oakland's top 3 receivers have athletic advantages over the Patriots top 3 DB's. Pats SS Harrison is a great hitter, and great against the run, but he's only a so so cover man. The FS Eugene Wilson is good, but not great, and he'll probably be assigned deep cover on Moss - opening up the other side of the field for the flanker and slot receivers. Collins has shown moments of brilliance and is at his best when the pressure is off, and the expectations are low. With the Raiders getting a TD and no respect from the coaches talk show circuit, no one expects them to come in and compete. Take the points against my Pats!
Forecast: NE Patriots 24, OAK Raiders 27
OPINION SELECTION ON OAKLAND +7.5