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Anaheim / Minnesota Twins under 8.5 w/ Explanation

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  • Anaheim / Minnesota Twins under 8.5 w/ Explanation

    www.TheMoneyPicks.com
    07/15/2005
    Yesterday we went 3-1. For the month of July our record is 30-12-2.

    The Money Picks is ready to get your weekend off to a profitable start with four huge MLB plays on Friday night! Don't miss out as we bring you the four best picks on the board, all loaded with value!

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    Today's Free Picks

    1 Unit Anaheim / Minnesota Twins under 8.5

    Game: LA Angels of Anaheim at Minnesota Twins 8:10 p.m. ET

    Sport: MLB - Major League Baseball

    Line: Total 8.5 under +100

    Prediction: Under 8.5 +100

    Explanation: 1 Unit Free Pick

    Arms Must Start: LA Angels - Paul Byrd / Minnesota - Brad Radke

    We have been playing the Angels ‘Under’ with great success this season and will look for another low scoring outcome in today’s match up. After all, we have two pitchers who are in great current form, along with two sensational bullpens and some decent technical factors all supporting our call. Let us quickly review.

    The Twins come in at 36-42 (o/u) for the season, as well as 16-23 (o/u) at home and 17-24 (o/u) when playing inside a dome. Meanwhile, Anaheim comes in at 41-46 (o/u) for the season, as well as 28-35 (o/u) vs. right handed starters. And as mentioned on many occasions, these trends are no fluke. That is, these drastic “Under” trends can be boiled down to one word: PITCHING!

    Consider that the Twins boast a team ERA of 3.80 for the season, which is 5th best in the majors. Moreover, Minnesota’s pen boasts a 3.18 ERA, which is good enough for 4th best in the majors. On the other side of the equation, the Angels comes in with a 3.77 ERA overall (3rd best in baseball) and 3.48 ERA from the pen (8th best in baseball).

    Specific to today, the pitching match up is extremely favorable. Byrd and Radke come in with a combined 7.88 ERA for the season, including a 6.76 combined ERA in the home/away split. Note also that Byrd is now 7-18 (o/u) his past twenty-five starts when the total is set between 8.5 and 10, while Radke is a stunning 1-9 (o/u) his past ten starts vs. AL West opposition. Play the under

    Predicted Final: Minnesota Twins 4 LA Angels of Anaheim 3
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