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  • Friday Free Play @ Kc-wolf.com

    Today's free plays of the day
    YTD 73-57 +24.46 Unit



    Some "EZ" Analysis

    Det @ Mil 2-14-03



    -The lines for this contest currently reside at
    Det -2 and 185...indicating the linesmen see a
    close one here. In fact, this is only one of
    two tilts tonight that doesn't have one team
    or the other laying less at least 6 points!

    -That's one of the reasons I tend to like an
    over in this game.....a fight to the wire??

    -First of all....you have Det coming in on a
    back-to-back situation after beating the Magic
    last night. I think that hurts their defense
    more than their offense tonight. I also feel
    George Karl will have his team play their
    usual "up-tempo" and test the Piston's legs
    late game.

    -However, Carlisle has a great bench and should
    still be able to hang regardless of the game's
    pace.....and.....I see a Bucks team in the mode
    to come out running after that score-fest with
    the Mavs on Wednesday night.

    -I realize these Central Division rivals played
    to an 89-87 Mil win at Auburn Hills back on Jan.
    11th. But.....tonight we're at Mil where the
    home town fans will want their usual up and down
    the court action they are accustomed to.

    -With Rip and Chauncey scoring well of late...I
    feel the Buck's guard combo of Allen and Cassell
    will accommodate them by putting up enough points
    to go over this line of 185.

    -The combined team numbers play out like this:

    Seasonal ppg scored........189'
    Home/Away ppg scored.......191
    Last 5 games ppg scored....203

    Seasonal ppg allowed.......184
    Home/Away ppg allowed......185'
    Last 5 games ppg allowed...178

    -However...keep in mind...figured into that last
    5 game average is that HUGE "blow-out" win the
    Pistons had at Boston by 52 points where the
    Celts managed a whopping 66 for the entire game!

    -Looking at the scoring by these two teams over
    their last 5 games you have to like the chances
    of tonight's over:

    *Det averaged 100 ppg
    *Mil averaged 103 ppg

    -Again.....I'm less concerned about the last 5
    ppg allowed:

    *Det averaged 79' ppg <--includes 66 by Bost
    *Mil averaged 98' ppg

    -Also....Det has won their last 6 game by an
    average of 19+ ppg. I see a tighter game
    tonight that forces both teams to keep the
    pressure on the opposition with bucket after
    bucket.....making "empty trips" very undesirable!

    -I just like the way the numbers shake out for
    this tilt and believe Mil dictates the tempo
    on their home court. Karl's team has better
    chances for the win in a full-court affair
    verses a "body-on-body" defensive half-court
    war of attrition!

    -Should the Buck's 3-balls find the range by Redd,
    Cassell and Allen......the Pistons Rip and Billups
    have exhibited enough offensive fire-power of recent
    to carry us over this total of 185 and to a winning
    ticket tonight!


    Playing Det @ Mil over 185 x3


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