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A terrific start to the second half of the NBA season for PRO INFO SPORTS clients as we finished 4-2 with our Tuesday Money Plays, including sweeping our top 4 plays. Highlights of those winners and today's FREE Money Play follow.
7 STAR SELECTION (5% of Bankroll)
San Antonio +4½ over PORTLAND
...Portland has won the first tow meetings with San Antonio this season after losing six of the previous seven. The Blazers have not won three straight against the Spurs since a six-game winning streak in the series from April of 1996 through December of 1997. It will be tough for them to beat Tim Duncan and company for a third straight time here as well. The Blazers are a horrible 0-7 ATS at home vs. teams playing with revenge, while San Antonio is a fantastic 14-2 ATS when playing with revenge on the road. When playing teams with a double-revenge motive, Portland is 0-4 ATS, losing to the spread by 11 points a game.
San Antonio will be playing with a chip on their shoulder here, and they have the confidence to beat Portland, even on the road. The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last half-dozen visits to the Rose City, and with added motive of revenge they should perform strongly here. They are 4-1 ATS on the road when playing to avenge an earlier close loss of 1-3 points, and since the 1999 season they are 5-1 ATS on the road when looking to even the score for an earlier road loss vs. the same opponent. We expect the Spurs to get over the hump this time, and come away with the SU victory.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: SAN ANTONIO 94 PORTLAND 91
ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: SAN ANTONIO 116 PORTLAND 111 (OT)!
6 STAR SELECTION (4.75% of Bankroll)
MINNESOTA +4 over Dallas
...The Mavericks escaped with a 112-109 home victory against the Timberwolves on January 30 so Minnesota will be looking for revenge here. At home, playing to even the score with an opponent for a road SU loss/ATS win, Minnesota is 3-0 ATS, while Dallas is 0-3 ATS vs. such competition. The T-Wolves are also 6-0 SU/ATS since 1998 as a home underdog playing with revenge for a road loss. In fact, Minny is a rock solid 12-1 ATS as a home underdog overall. The Timberwolves nearly got the job done recently in Dallas. Tonight they should finish the task.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: MINNESOTA 102 DALLAS 101
ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: MINNESOTA 100 DALLAS 98
5 STAR SELECTION (4.5% of Bankroll)
Detroit -5 over CHICAGO
...Detroit has won its last five road games against Chicago, including an 86-76 victory on December 12. The Pistons have not lost at the United Center since January 22, 2000. In fact, the Pistons have won 14 of the last 16 meetings with the Bulls since the start of the 1998-99 season, including eight of nine games at Chicago. Spread-wise, Detroit is 10-1 ATS at Chicago in their last 11 visits, and an incredible 16-3 ATS overall vs. the Bulls. It's just in Chicago where Detroit plays well on the road, as they are 14-10 SU away from the Palace of Auburn Hills this season and are the only Eastern Conference team that is over .500 on the road. They play 10 of their next 13 games on the road so it will be important for them to get off to a good start here in the Windy City. As a road favorite off a rest of 3+ days, Detroit is 4-0 ATS, beating the spread by 11 points a game on average. As a road favorite with another road game the following day, the Pistons do a remarkable job of taking care of business, going 7-1-1 ATS.
The Bulls have little confidence or momentum limping in off 5 road losses and will have a tough time competing against this determined Detroit squad. Since the 2000 season, Chicago is 0-4 ATS as a home dog looking to avenge an earlier home dog loss. They may keep this one close for awhile, but look for the Pistons defense to create turnovers and easy points down the stretch.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: DETROIT 95 CHICAGO 87
ACTUAL FINAL SCOREE: DETROIT 89 CHICAGO 79
4 STAR SELECTION (4.25% of Bankroll)
SACRAMENTO -8 over Washington
...Sacramento has lost its last two home games but is 18-4 at Arco Arena for the league's sixth-best home record. With some days off to get some players healthy, we look for an explosive effort from the Kings here. They are, in fact, a commanding 10-2 ATS off a rest of at least 3 days, while the Wizards are a horrid 1-6 ATS vs. such rested opposition. When playing on the road with such rest, it's evidently more luck RUST for Washington, as they are a pathetic 1-10 ATS away with 3+ days rest. Sacramento is a perfect 3-0 ATS vs. such teams since the start of last season. When playing with such rest for both teams, the Wizards are 0-6 ATS, while the Kings are 2-0 ATS in just 2 opportunities since the start of the 2000 season.
We also note that Sac is 10-1 ATS at home when starting a homestand of at least 3 games, and 12-3 ATS at home with at least 2 days rest before and following the game. At home off a double-digit loss, the Kings are an outstanding 15-1 ATS. Washington is just 2-9 ATS as a road underdog off a home win, and 3-12 ATS as a road dog with another road game the following day. Since the start of last season, they are 0-3-1 ATS as a road dog when starting a Western Conference swing. Sacramento is a perfect 5-0 ATS when hosting such non-conference competition.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: SACRAMENTO 102 WASHINGTON 88
ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: SACRAMENTO 99 WASHINGTON 80
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7 STAR SELECTION (5% of Bankroll)
San Antonio +4½ over PORTLAND
...Portland has won the first tow meetings with San Antonio this season after losing six of the previous seven. The Blazers have not won three straight against the Spurs since a six-game winning streak in the series from April of 1996 through December of 1997. It will be tough for them to beat Tim Duncan and company for a third straight time here as well. The Blazers are a horrible 0-7 ATS at home vs. teams playing with revenge, while San Antonio is a fantastic 14-2 ATS when playing with revenge on the road. When playing teams with a double-revenge motive, Portland is 0-4 ATS, losing to the spread by 11 points a game.
San Antonio will be playing with a chip on their shoulder here, and they have the confidence to beat Portland, even on the road. The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last half-dozen visits to the Rose City, and with added motive of revenge they should perform strongly here. They are 4-1 ATS on the road when playing to avenge an earlier close loss of 1-3 points, and since the 1999 season they are 5-1 ATS on the road when looking to even the score for an earlier road loss vs. the same opponent. We expect the Spurs to get over the hump this time, and come away with the SU victory.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: SAN ANTONIO 94 PORTLAND 91
ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: SAN ANTONIO 116 PORTLAND 111 (OT)!
6 STAR SELECTION (4.75% of Bankroll)
MINNESOTA +4 over Dallas
...The Mavericks escaped with a 112-109 home victory against the Timberwolves on January 30 so Minnesota will be looking for revenge here. At home, playing to even the score with an opponent for a road SU loss/ATS win, Minnesota is 3-0 ATS, while Dallas is 0-3 ATS vs. such competition. The T-Wolves are also 6-0 SU/ATS since 1998 as a home underdog playing with revenge for a road loss. In fact, Minny is a rock solid 12-1 ATS as a home underdog overall. The Timberwolves nearly got the job done recently in Dallas. Tonight they should finish the task.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: MINNESOTA 102 DALLAS 101
ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: MINNESOTA 100 DALLAS 98
5 STAR SELECTION (4.5% of Bankroll)
Detroit -5 over CHICAGO
...Detroit has won its last five road games against Chicago, including an 86-76 victory on December 12. The Pistons have not lost at the United Center since January 22, 2000. In fact, the Pistons have won 14 of the last 16 meetings with the Bulls since the start of the 1998-99 season, including eight of nine games at Chicago. Spread-wise, Detroit is 10-1 ATS at Chicago in their last 11 visits, and an incredible 16-3 ATS overall vs. the Bulls. It's just in Chicago where Detroit plays well on the road, as they are 14-10 SU away from the Palace of Auburn Hills this season and are the only Eastern Conference team that is over .500 on the road. They play 10 of their next 13 games on the road so it will be important for them to get off to a good start here in the Windy City. As a road favorite off a rest of 3+ days, Detroit is 4-0 ATS, beating the spread by 11 points a game on average. As a road favorite with another road game the following day, the Pistons do a remarkable job of taking care of business, going 7-1-1 ATS.
The Bulls have little confidence or momentum limping in off 5 road losses and will have a tough time competing against this determined Detroit squad. Since the 2000 season, Chicago is 0-4 ATS as a home dog looking to avenge an earlier home dog loss. They may keep this one close for awhile, but look for the Pistons defense to create turnovers and easy points down the stretch.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: DETROIT 95 CHICAGO 87
ACTUAL FINAL SCOREE: DETROIT 89 CHICAGO 79
4 STAR SELECTION (4.25% of Bankroll)
SACRAMENTO -8 over Washington
...Sacramento has lost its last two home games but is 18-4 at Arco Arena for the league's sixth-best home record. With some days off to get some players healthy, we look for an explosive effort from the Kings here. They are, in fact, a commanding 10-2 ATS off a rest of at least 3 days, while the Wizards are a horrid 1-6 ATS vs. such rested opposition. When playing on the road with such rest, it's evidently more luck RUST for Washington, as they are a pathetic 1-10 ATS away with 3+ days rest. Sacramento is a perfect 3-0 ATS vs. such teams since the start of last season. When playing with such rest for both teams, the Wizards are 0-6 ATS, while the Kings are 2-0 ATS in just 2 opportunities since the start of the 2000 season.
We also note that Sac is 10-1 ATS at home when starting a homestand of at least 3 games, and 12-3 ATS at home with at least 2 days rest before and following the game. At home off a double-digit loss, the Kings are an outstanding 15-1 ATS. Washington is just 2-9 ATS as a road underdog off a home win, and 3-12 ATS as a road dog with another road game the following day. Since the start of last season, they are 0-3-1 ATS as a road dog when starting a Western Conference swing. Sacramento is a perfect 5-0 ATS when hosting such non-conference competition.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: SACRAMENTO 102 WASHINGTON 88
ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: SACRAMENTO 99 WASHINGTON 80
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