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(NCAAF) Oklahoma State@UCLA
4* UCLA -1
The traditionally slow starting Cowboys (0-3 in openers under Coach Miles) have an even tougher task Saturday as they are breaking in a new QB on the road vs. a defense that allowed only 19 ppg last year despite getting no help from their offense. Speaking of the Bruin offense, UCLA returns all five starters on the offensive line and we feel this will be a big key to the game. With their new offensive coordinator Tom Cable coming in to install the high octane offense he ran at Idaho, a veteran group is a major plus. UCLA is 26-11 ATS vs. non-Pac 10 teams and 9-1 ATS in home openers, while Oklahoma State is an abysmal 4-14 ATS as an away dog and 6-12 on grass!
(NCAAF) Cincinatti@Ohio State
3* Cincinatti +14.5
This is an experienced Bearcat squad returning 9 starters on offense and 7 starters from the 27th ranked defense in the country. Cincy regularly plays the underdog role well, as they are 8-2 ATS getting points away from Cincy. They are also 5-1 ATS vs. the Big 10 (no respect), and 7-3 ATS on grass. They are the more veteran team with a productive, clutch QB in Guidugli taking on a young (9 starters back) Ohio State team that simply does not take their cross-state rival as serious as they should. Ohio State and Tressel always play games close to the vest, and I can't imagine them busting out offensively with a first time starter at QB, no home run threat at RB, and 3 new starters on the OL. Add in the fact that new HC Dantonio was the DC at Ohio State and should know a thing or two about the Buckeyes, and this rates as a top play.
(NCAAF) Memphis@Mississippi
3* Memphis +3.5
Memphis comes into this weekend's matchup with SEC member Mississippi as one of the most undervalued teams in the NCAA this year. They possess quite a potent offense (hung 44 points on this same Rebel team last year) that is returning 11 starters including All American Canidate RB DeAngerlo Williams. Memphis traditionally gets up when travelling to SEC sites, as witnessed by their 8-4 record ATS. This will Mississippi QB Michael Spurlock's first start, and with a new offensive system in place in Oxford, we don't see the young QB matching points with the potent Tigers. Memphis allowed only 12 sacks all last season, so this is a very balanced, extremely talented group with no weaknesses. With only 4 starters returning on defense, look for an overmatched Mississippi stop unit to have its problems with a potent Tiger outfit and another game that will go right to the wire.
(NCAAF) Wake Forest@Clemson
2* Wake Forest +11.5
Clemson is a sexy pick this fall with a great QB and a big name coach. But if we look back a bit, their last loss was to the Deamon Deacons, 45-17 last year. Wake Forest has the most unique rushing attack in the NCAA as they run speed option, triple option, one back, and power I and do them all well. Clemson's wide-open attack is bound to struggle at times this year, as they lost two game-breaking receivers from last season and lost their starting RB to injury. Wake is a dangerous dog, going 8-3-1 ATS under Grobe, and with Clemson losing 3 DL starters from last season, we'll grab the double digits and watch Wake run the ball all afternoon long.
(NCAAF) Michigan State@Rutgers
2* Rutgers +6
Rutgers was very competitive last season, leaning on a balanced offensive attack to make up for some defensive lapses. Rutgers actually led this matchup last year 21-14 before State went wild, but the Knights still held on to cover. State comes into this one with only 3 returning starters on offense, and they are a poor road chalk, holding a 3-7 ATS mark. Rutgers will be very pumped for this game (and we can't say the same for the Spartans), and the veteran offense should be able to take advantage of the numerous State blitzes and possibly pull off the upset.
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4* UCLA -1
The traditionally slow starting Cowboys (0-3 in openers under Coach Miles) have an even tougher task Saturday as they are breaking in a new QB on the road vs. a defense that allowed only 19 ppg last year despite getting no help from their offense. Speaking of the Bruin offense, UCLA returns all five starters on the offensive line and we feel this will be a big key to the game. With their new offensive coordinator Tom Cable coming in to install the high octane offense he ran at Idaho, a veteran group is a major plus. UCLA is 26-11 ATS vs. non-Pac 10 teams and 9-1 ATS in home openers, while Oklahoma State is an abysmal 4-14 ATS as an away dog and 6-12 on grass!
(NCAAF) Cincinatti@Ohio State
3* Cincinatti +14.5
This is an experienced Bearcat squad returning 9 starters on offense and 7 starters from the 27th ranked defense in the country. Cincy regularly plays the underdog role well, as they are 8-2 ATS getting points away from Cincy. They are also 5-1 ATS vs. the Big 10 (no respect), and 7-3 ATS on grass. They are the more veteran team with a productive, clutch QB in Guidugli taking on a young (9 starters back) Ohio State team that simply does not take their cross-state rival as serious as they should. Ohio State and Tressel always play games close to the vest, and I can't imagine them busting out offensively with a first time starter at QB, no home run threat at RB, and 3 new starters on the OL. Add in the fact that new HC Dantonio was the DC at Ohio State and should know a thing or two about the Buckeyes, and this rates as a top play.
(NCAAF) Memphis@Mississippi
3* Memphis +3.5
Memphis comes into this weekend's matchup with SEC member Mississippi as one of the most undervalued teams in the NCAA this year. They possess quite a potent offense (hung 44 points on this same Rebel team last year) that is returning 11 starters including All American Canidate RB DeAngerlo Williams. Memphis traditionally gets up when travelling to SEC sites, as witnessed by their 8-4 record ATS. This will Mississippi QB Michael Spurlock's first start, and with a new offensive system in place in Oxford, we don't see the young QB matching points with the potent Tigers. Memphis allowed only 12 sacks all last season, so this is a very balanced, extremely talented group with no weaknesses. With only 4 starters returning on defense, look for an overmatched Mississippi stop unit to have its problems with a potent Tiger outfit and another game that will go right to the wire.
(NCAAF) Wake Forest@Clemson
2* Wake Forest +11.5
Clemson is a sexy pick this fall with a great QB and a big name coach. But if we look back a bit, their last loss was to the Deamon Deacons, 45-17 last year. Wake Forest has the most unique rushing attack in the NCAA as they run speed option, triple option, one back, and power I and do them all well. Clemson's wide-open attack is bound to struggle at times this year, as they lost two game-breaking receivers from last season and lost their starting RB to injury. Wake is a dangerous dog, going 8-3-1 ATS under Grobe, and with Clemson losing 3 DL starters from last season, we'll grab the double digits and watch Wake run the ball all afternoon long.
(NCAAF) Michigan State@Rutgers
2* Rutgers +6
Rutgers was very competitive last season, leaning on a balanced offensive attack to make up for some defensive lapses. Rutgers actually led this matchup last year 21-14 before State went wild, but the Knights still held on to cover. State comes into this one with only 3 returning starters on offense, and they are a poor road chalk, holding a 3-7 ATS mark. Rutgers will be very pumped for this game (and we can't say the same for the Spartans), and the veteran offense should be able to take advantage of the numerous State blitzes and possibly pull off the upset.
Check us out at www.EvenYourOdds.com