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  • AlanCashman.com Daily Plays Thread

    Off of a 3-0-1 Tue.

    Took Baltimore +116 this afternoon, in progress

    Adding Bettors Chat back into post rotation. 3 MLB Plays for tonight

    MLB
    Diamondbacks at Marlins 6:40
    Weaver vs Detwiler (Opener?)

    Pick: MIA Over 3.5 SMALL


    Lopez was original listed starter for Miami, which made me like the Marlins but going with the potential Opener role for Detwiler keeps me off of Miami, but I do think it is very reasonable that the Marlins can get to Weaver and this bad Arizona bullpen to score 4 runs

    Weaver has allowed 5 HR in 25.2 IP this season
    Weaver 5.25 ERA last 7 starts
    Weaver 1-9, 6.58 ERA last season
    Weaver has allowed 3 or more runs in 6 of last 7 starts
    ARI bullpen 11.37 ERA last 3 games
    ARI bullpen 7.68 ERA last 7 games
    Opponent have scored 5 or more runs in 3 of Weaver’s last 4 starts
    Weaver 1.286 WHIP this season


    MLB
    Braves at Nationals 7:05
    Fried vs Fedde

    Pick: Nats Over 3.5 SMALL

    Fried has struggled vs this National team. He has a 6.45 ERA over his last 5 starts vs WAS and the Nationals are batting .450 while Slugging .675 vs the Braves lefty.

    ATL bullpen 28th in MLB in WHIP
    WAS batting .305 vs LHP this season, #2 in MLB


    MLB
    Astros at Yankees 7:05
    Garcia vs Montgomery

    Pick: HOU +0.5 First 5 Innings


    Montgomery has a 5.01 ERA in his last 3 starts vs HOU, he only went 1 inning and did not exit due to performance in one of those, so basically just 2 starts.

    HOU slugging .704 vs Montgomery
    Montgomery 4.91 ERA last 7 starts
    Montgomery has allowed 3 or more runs in 3 of last 4 and 5 of last 7 starts
    Montgomery has a 7.20 ERA in the 1st inning and a 5.40 ERA in the 2nd inning this season



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  • #2
    Good Luck!

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    • #3
      MLB
      Blue Jays at Braves 12:20 pm
      Stripling vs Morton

      Pick: TOR Over 3.5 (-115) LEAN

      TOR scored 4 or more runs in 9 of last 10 games
      TOR batting .308 vs Morton
      TOR scored 4 or more runs in all 5 games vs ATL this season
      Morton allowed 4 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts
      Morton 5.33 ERA last 5 vs TOR

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      • #4
        MLB
        Yankees at Orioles
        Kluber vs Kremer

        PICK: NYY -174 LEAN

        BAL 5-13 at home
        Kremer 9.49 ERA at home, 3.29 ERA on the road

        Kluber 3.07 ERA last 7 starts
        Kluber 3-0, 2.45 ERA last 5 starts vs BAL
        NYY 21-6 last 27 at BAL



        MLB
        Indians at Mariners 10:10
        Civale vs Flexen

        Pick: CLE -113 LEAN

        Indians have won 9 of 10. I still think Flexen is who I thought he was coming into this season. Despite a couple of good starts, Flexen has allowed 40 hits in his 33.1 IP this season.

        Indians are not killing the ball so downgraded to a LEAN.

        Civale has been strong for the Tribe, 5-0, 2.91 ERA last 7 starts

        SEA bullpen 6.63 ERA last 10 games
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        • #5
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          MLB
          SF at PIT 1:05 pm
          Wood vs Keller

          Pick: SF -165 First 5 LEAN

          Wood has allowed 2 or fewer runs in last 5 starts
          Keller 7.81 ERA this season
          PIT batting .170 vs LHP last 10 games



          MLB
          CHC at Det 1:10 pm
          Hendricks vs Boyd

          Pick: DET +0.5 (-130) First 5 LEAN


          Hendricks has allowed 6 or more runs in 3 of his last 5 starts
          Hendricks 6.23 ERA last 7 starts
          Cubs 4-9 last 13 at DET

          Boyd 1.94 ERA last 7 starts
          DET won 5 of last 6 overall
          DET batting .286 last 10 games
          Last edited by AlanCashman; 05-16-2021, 12:52 PM.
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          • #6
            Another Sunday play


            MLB
            OAK at MIN 2:10
            Bassitt vs Maeda

            Pick: OAK +105 LEAN


            Going with the A’s as a slight dog here


            Maeda allowed 7 runs in 3 IP in first start against OAK this season
            Maeda has allowed 8 HR in last 33.1 IP
            MIN bullpen 5.82 ERA last 10 games

            Bassitt has allowed only 2 runs in each of his last 6 starts
            OAK 40-18 last 58 vs MIN
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            • #7
              MLB
              Pirates at Cardinals 7:45 pm
              Cahill vs Flaherty

              Pick: STL -1.5 (+102) LEAN


              STL batting .368 vs Cahill
              STL -1.5 has won in all 4 meetings this season
              STL won 12-5 on May 1 when these 2 pitchers faced each other

              PIT batting .195 vs Flaherty


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              • #8
                the view pick history does not work

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by scan1265 View Post
                  the view pick history does not work
                  It works on the website from a mobile device.
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                  • #10
                    Sunday 5/23

                    MLB
                    Mets at Marlins 1:10 pm
                    Yamamoto vs Poteet

                    Pick: MIA Over 3.5 (-122) LEAN


                    Marlins are not killing the ball right now but I see enough to go with them to get to at least 4 runs today

                    Yamamoto 6.12 ERA in 18 career starts
                    NYM bullpen 5.57 ERA last 10 games
                    NYM bullpen 4.94 ERA on the road
                    Opponents have scored 4 or more runs in 9 of last 10 games Yamamoto has started
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                    • #11
                      Tuesday 5/25 MLB

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                      MLB
                      Blue Jays at Yankees 7:05
                      Matz vs Kluber

                      Pick: NYY -172 LEAN

                      NYY batting .348, SLG .698 vs Matz
                      Matz 7.18 ERA last 5 starts vs NYY
                      Matz 5.80 ERA last 7 starts
                      Matz 5.80 ERA in night games this season
                      TOR bullpen 6.20 ERA last 10 games

                      Kluber 2.45 ERA last 7 starts
                      Kluber 2.01 ERA at home this season
                      Kluber 2.39 ERA in night games this season



                      MLB
                      Indians at Tigers 7:10
                      Civale vs Skubal

                      Pick: CLE -132 LEAN


                      Civale 4-0 , 2.80 ERA last 5 vs DET
                      CLE batting .303 last 10 games vs LHP
                      CLE slugging .650 vs Skubal

                      Skubal 6.94 ERA in 3 starts vs CLE
                      Skubal 5.85 ERA last 7 starts
                      Skubal 3.27 ERA in day games, 6.35 ERA in night games

                      In his last 8 starts, Skubal has allowed exactly 2 runs in starts only to follow that start by allowing 4 or more runs. He allowed 2 runs in his last start.

                      CLE 37-14 last 51 at DET
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                      • #12
                        MLB
                        Rangers at Mariners 10:10 pm
                        Foltynewicz vs Dunn

                        Pick: SEA -115 LEAN


                        -Foltynewicz allowed 3 or more runs in 3 of last 4 starts
                        -Foltynewicz 6.31 ERA in night games this season. 4.80 career ERA at night, 3.09 in day games
                        -Dunn 3-0, 2.00 ERA in 3 starts vs TEX last season
                        -TEX 5-17 last 22 at SEA





                        MLB
                        Padres at Astros 4:10
                        Darvish vs Odorizzi

                        PICK: SD -145 LEAN


                        Darvish 1.23 ERA last 7 starts
                        HOU batting .200 vs Darvish (13 for 65)

                        Odorizzi 7.89 ERA last 7 starts
                        HOU bullpen 5.45 ERA last 10 games
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                        • #13
                          MLB
                          LA Angels at Giants 4:05
                          Bundy vs Cueto

                          Pick: SF -145 LEAN



                          Bundy 7.49 ERA last 7 games
                          LAA bullpen 4.89 ERA last 10 games
                          LAA 2-8 last 10 meetings

                          Cueto 3-0, 1.35 ERA last 5 starts vs LAA
                          SF bullpen 2.96 home
                          SF 7-2 last 9 games following a win
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                          • #14
                            MLB
                            Det at Chw 8:10
                            Mize vs Lynn

                            Pick: Under 8 (-105) LEAN



                            8 or fewer total runs in 9 of last 10 starts by Mize
                            Mize 2.72 ERA at night
                            Mize has allowed 3 or fewer runs in all 3 games vs CHW
                            Det bullpen 2.48 ERA last 10 games

                            Lynn 1.46 ERA at home
                            CHW bullen 1.73 ERA last 10 games





                            MLB
                            Min at KC 8:10
                            Happ vs Bubic

                            KC -108 LEAN

                            Happ 5.73 ERA last 7 starts
                            Happ 7.08 ERA on the road
                            Happ 7.32 ERA at night

                            Bubic 2.31 ERA last 7 starts
                            Bubic 1.02 ERA at home
                            Bubic 0.51 ERA at night






                            MLB
                            Cin at STL 8:15
                            Gutierrez vs Wainwright

                            CIN Over 3.5 (-112) LEAN


                            CIN has scored 4 or more runs in 9 of last 10 games Wainwright has started against them

                            STL bullpen 4.99 ERA last 10 games
                            Wainwright 7.36 ERA last 5 starts vs CIN
                            Wainwright 5.35 career ERA vs CIN in 35 games





                            MLB
                            Sea at LAA 9:38
                            Sheffield vs Canning

                            Pick: LAA (-160) First 5 Innings LEAN


                            Don’t trust the Angel’s bullpen so going with LA first 5 innings

                            Sheffield 6.75 ERA on the road
                            Sheffield 5.06 ERA last 3 starts
                            Sheffield 5.62 ERA at night
                            Sheffield allowed 10 runs in 2 starts at LAA last season

                            Canning 3-0, 3.28 ERA at night, 1-3, 8,80 ERA in day starts
                            Canning 1-0, 1.47 ERA in 3 starts vs SEA

                            LAA batting .280 at home vs LHP






                            MLB
                            CHC at SF 9:45
                            Davies vs DeSclafani

                            Cubs Over 3.5 (-128) LEAN


                            Wanted to back the Cubs on the moneyline tonight but Davies’ numbers at night and on the road are not good despite pretty good numbers overall.

                            Wind blowing out at 11 mph

                            SF has allowed 4 or more runs in 6 of last 7 games, 8 of last 10
                            CHC scored 4 or more runs in 4 of last 5 games, 7 of last 10

                            DeSclafani 6.19 career ERA in SF
                            CHC slugging .678 vs DeSclafani
                            CHC scored 4 or more runs in 6 of last 7 vs SF

                            Davies 2.63 ERA last 5 starts vs SF
                            Davies 2.83 ERA last 7 starts
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                            • #15
                              MLB
                              Reds at Cardinals 8:15
                              Castillo vs Kim

                              Pick: STL -139


                              Castillo 7.81 ERA last 5 starts vs STL
                              Castillo 7.91 ERA last 7 starts
                              Castillo 0-4, 8.74 ERA on the road
                              Castillo 0-3, 8.31 ERA at night

                              Kim 3-0, 0.54 ERA in 3 starts vs CIN
                              Kim 1.84 ERA at home this season
                              Kim 2.70 ERA at night
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