AlanCashman.com Daily Plays Thread

[AlanCashman]

MLB
Pirates at Cardinals 7:45 pm
Cahill vs Flaherty

Pick: STL -1.5 (+102) LEAN

STL batting .368 vs Cahill
STL -1.5 has won in all 4 meetings this season
STL won 12-5 on May 1 when these 2 pitchers faced each other

PIT batting .195 vs Flaherty


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Another Sunday play


MLB
OAK at MIN 2:10
Bassitt vs Maeda

Pick: OAK +105 LEAN

Going with the A’s as a slight dog here


Maeda allowed 7 runs in 3 IP in first start against OAK this season
Maeda has allowed 8 HR in last 33.1 IP
MIN bullpen 5.82 ERA last 10 games

Bassitt has allowed only 2 runs in each of his last 6 starts
OAK 40-18 last 58 vs MIN

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MLB
SF at PIT 1:05 pm
Wood vs Keller

Pick: SF -165 First 5 LEAN

Wood has allowed 2 or fewer runs in last 5 starts
Keller 7.81 ERA this season
PIT batting .170 vs LHP last 10 games



MLB
CHC at Det 1:10 pm
Hendricks vs Boyd

Pick: DET +0.5 (-130) First 5 LEAN

Hendricks has allowed 6 or more runs in 3 of his last 5 starts
Hendricks 6.23 ERA last 7 starts
Cubs 4-9 last 13 at DET

Boyd 1.94 ERA last 7 starts
DET won 5 of last 6 overall
DET batting .286 last 10 games

[AlanCashman]

MLB
Yankees at Orioles
Kluber vs Kremer

PICK: NYY -174 LEAN

BAL 5-13 at home
Kremer 9.49 ERA at home, 3.29 ERA on the road

Kluber 3.07 ERA last 7 starts
Kluber 3-0, 2.45 ERA last 5 starts vs BAL
NYY 21-6 last 27 at BAL



MLB
Indians at Mariners 10:10
Civale vs Flexen

Pick: CLE -113 LEAN

Indians have won 9 of 10. I still think Flexen is who I thought he was coming into this season. Despite a couple of good starts, Flexen has allowed 40 hits in his 33.1 IP this season.

Indians are not killing the ball so downgraded to a LEAN.

Civale has been strong for the Tribe, 5-0, 2.91 ERA last 7 starts

SEA bullpen 6.63 ERA last 10 games

[AlanCashman]

MLB
Blue Jays at Braves 12:20 pm
Stripling vs Morton

Pick: TOR Over 3.5 (-115) LEAN

TOR scored 4 or more runs in 9 of last 10 games
TOR batting .308 vs Morton
TOR scored 4 or more runs in all 5 games vs ATL this season
Morton allowed 4 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts
Morton 5.33 ERA last 5 vs TOR

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[BettorsChat]

Good Luck!

[AlanCashman]

Off of a 3-0-1 Tue.

Took Baltimore +116 this afternoon, in progress

Adding Bettors Chat back into post rotation. 3 MLB Plays for tonight

MLB
Diamondbacks at Marlins 6:40
Weaver vs Detwiler (Opener?)

Pick: MIA Over 3.5 SMALL

Lopez was original listed starter for Miami, which made me like the Marlins but going with the potential Opener role for Detwiler keeps me off of Miami, but I do think it is very reasonable that the Marlins can get to Weaver and this bad Arizona bullpen to score 4 runs

Weaver has allowed 5 HR in 25.2 IP this season
Weaver 5.25 ERA last 7 starts
Weaver 1-9, 6.58 ERA last season
Weaver has allowed 3 or more runs in 6 of last 7 starts
ARI bullpen 11.37 ERA last 3 games
ARI bullpen 7.68 ERA last 7 games
Opponent have scored 5 or more runs in 3 of Weaver’s last 4 starts
Weaver 1.286 WHIP this season


MLB
Braves at Nationals 7:05
Fried vs Fedde

Pick: Nats Over 3.5 SMALL

Fried has struggled vs this National team. He has a 6.45 ERA over his last 5 starts vs WAS and the Nationals are batting .450 while Slugging .675 vs the Braves lefty.

ATL bullpen 28th in MLB in WHIP
WAS batting .305 vs LHP this season, #2 in MLB


MLB
Astros at Yankees 7:05
Garcia vs Montgomery

Pick: HOU +0.5 First 5 Innings

Montgomery has a 5.01 ERA in his last 3 starts vs HOU, he only went 1 inning and did not exit due to performance in one of those, so basically just 2 starts.

HOU slugging .704 vs Montgomery
Montgomery 4.91 ERA last 7 starts
Montgomery has allowed 3 or more runs in 3 of last 4 and 5 of last 7 starts
Montgomery has a 7.20 ERA in the 1st inning and a 5.40 ERA in the 2nd inning this season



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