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AlanCashman.com Daily Plays Thread
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We hit both Subscriber Picks last night. 2 MLB Subscriber Plays posted for Tuesday
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MLB
Baltimore at Cleveland 7:10 pm
Harvey vs Quantrill
Pick: CLE Over 4.5 (-127) LEAN
I don’t do a lot of Over 4.5 run totals but a lot of good stuff here
Harvey 11.79 ERA last 7 starts
Harvey 12.86 ERA last 2 starts vs CLE
Opponents have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of last 7 starts by Harvey
Opponents batting .314 vs Harvey this season
Harvey 7.90 ERA in road starts this season
Harvey 7.15 ERA in night starts this season
BAL bullpen 5.04 ERA last 10 games
CLE batting .285 last 10 games vs RHP
MLB
Minnesota at Seattle 10:10 pm
Happ vs Flexen
Pick: SEA over 3.5 (-124) Small
Happ 8.37 ERA last 7 starts
Happ 7.46 ERA in road starts this season
Happ 7.58 ERA in night starts this season
Happ allowed 5 HR In last 2 starts
MIN bullpen 6.18 ERA last 10 games
SEA scored 4 or more runs in 8 of last 9 meetings
Opponents have scored 4 or more runs in Happ’s last 7 starts
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MLB
Cincinnati at Milwaukee 8:10
Gutierrez vs Lauer
Pick: CIN +0.5 First 5 Innings (-114) LEAN
Opponents batting .183, SLG .250 vs Gutierrez
Lauer 6.19 ERA at home, 5.19 ERA at night
Lauer 7.12 ERA last 7 starts
MLB
San Diego at Colorado 8:40 pm
Lamet vs Gomber
Pick: Under 11.5 (-114) LEAN
9 of last 10 meetings have finished Under 11.5
Gomber 1.33 ERA at home
Gomber allowed a total of 2 runs in 11.1 IP vs SD this season
SD batting .196 last 10 vs LHP
Lamet 3.28 ERA last 5 vs COL
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Saturday MLB
MLB
Seattle at Cleveland 4:10 pm
Kikuchi vs McKenzie
Pick: SEA (-120) First 5 Innings/ LEAN
Kikuchi 3.14 ERA last 7 starts
McKenzie 7.45 ERA last 7 starts
Kikuchi 3.71 ERA in road starts
McKenzie 8.27 ERA in home starts
McKenzie has allowed 5 or more runs in 4 of his last 6 starts
CLE batting .189 at home vs LHP
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Sunday MLB Pick #2
MLB
LA Dodgers at Atlanta 1:20
Bauer vs Fried
Pick: LA -126 LEAN
LA 9 for 19, .474 avg, .789 SLG vs Fried
ATL bullpen 5.49 ERA last 10 games
Fried 5.35 ERA last 7 starts
Bauer 2..54 ERA on the road
ATL 3-8 last 11 Sunday games
LA 37-17 last 54 vs ATL
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Sunday MLB
MLB
Miami at Pittsburgh 1:05 pm
Alcantara vs Kuhl
Pick: PIT Over 3.5 (+100) SMALL
Alcantara 4.85 ERA in 2 career starts vs PIT
Alcantara 5.48 ERA in road games this season
PIT batting .400, .633 SLG vs Alcantara
MIA bullpen 5.28 ERA last 10 games
PIT scored 4 runs or more in 7 straight vs MIA and in 9 of last 10 meetings
PIT scored at least 4 runs in 6 of last 8 overall
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MLB
Houston at Toronto 3:07 pm
Urquidy vs Stripling
Pick: HOU -105 First 5 Innings LEAN
Urquidy 1.62 ERA last 3 starts
Urquidy 2.45 ERA last 7 starts
Urquidy 3.27 ERA in road starts
TOR batting .185 vs Urquidy
Stripling 5.93 ERA last 3 starts
Stripling 6.30 ERA last 7 starts
Stripling 5.40 ERA in home starts
HOU batting .364 vs Stripling
HOU 6-2 last 8 at TOR
TOR 2-7 last 9 home games
MLB
Minnesota at Kansas City 4:10 pm
Berrios vs Minor
Pick: KC Over 3.5 LEAN
Kansas City is hitting the ball right now and have hit Berrios in the past. They need 4 runs for us today with the wind blowing out around 11 mph.
Berrios allowed 4 or more runs in 4 of last 5 starts vs KC
Berrios 6.26 ERA last 5 starts vs KC
Berrios 4.67 Career ERA at Kauffman Stadium
Berrios 4.29 ERA in day starts this season
Berrios 4.55 ERA career in road starts
MIN bullpen 5.21 ERA on the road
KC scored 4 or more runs last 6 vs MIN
KC scored 4 or more runs last 7 overall
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MLB
Reds at Cardinals 8:15
Castillo vs Kim
Pick: STL -139
Castillo 7.81 ERA last 5 starts vs STL
Castillo 7.91 ERA last 7 starts
Castillo 0-4, 8.74 ERA on the road
Castillo 0-3, 8.31 ERA at night
Kim 3-0, 0.54 ERA in 3 starts vs CIN
Kim 1.84 ERA at home this season
Kim 2.70 ERA at night
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MLB
Det at Chw 8:10
Mize vs Lynn
Pick: Under 8 (-105) LEAN
8 or fewer total runs in 9 of last 10 starts by Mize
Mize 2.72 ERA at night
Mize has allowed 3 or fewer runs in all 3 games vs CHW
Det bullpen 2.48 ERA last 10 games
Lynn 1.46 ERA at home
CHW bullen 1.73 ERA last 10 games
MLB
Min at KC 8:10
Happ vs Bubic
KC -108 LEAN
Happ 5.73 ERA last 7 starts
Happ 7.08 ERA on the road
Happ 7.32 ERA at night
Bubic 2.31 ERA last 7 starts
Bubic 1.02 ERA at home
Bubic 0.51 ERA at night
MLB
Cin at STL 8:15
Gutierrez vs Wainwright
CIN Over 3.5 (-112) LEAN
CIN has scored 4 or more runs in 9 of last 10 games Wainwright has started against them
STL bullpen 4.99 ERA last 10 games
Wainwright 7.36 ERA last 5 starts vs CIN
Wainwright 5.35 career ERA vs CIN in 35 games
MLB
Sea at LAA 9:38
Sheffield vs Canning
Pick: LAA (-160) First 5 Innings LEAN
Don’t trust the Angel’s bullpen so going with LA first 5 innings
Sheffield 6.75 ERA on the road
Sheffield 5.06 ERA last 3 starts
Sheffield 5.62 ERA at night
Sheffield allowed 10 runs in 2 starts at LAA last season
Canning 3-0, 3.28 ERA at night, 1-3, 8,80 ERA in day starts
Canning 1-0, 1.47 ERA in 3 starts vs SEA
LAA batting .280 at home vs LHP
MLB
CHC at SF 9:45
Davies vs DeSclafani
Cubs Over 3.5 (-128) LEAN
Wanted to back the Cubs on the moneyline tonight but Davies’ numbers at night and on the road are not good despite pretty good numbers overall.
Wind blowing out at 11 mph
SF has allowed 4 or more runs in 6 of last 7 games, 8 of last 10
CHC scored 4 or more runs in 4 of last 5 games, 7 of last 10
DeSclafani 6.19 career ERA in SF
CHC slugging .678 vs DeSclafani
CHC scored 4 or more runs in 6 of last 7 vs SF
Davies 2.63 ERA last 5 starts vs SF
Davies 2.83 ERA last 7 starts
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MLB
LA Angels at Giants 4:05
Bundy vs Cueto
Pick: SF -145 LEAN
Bundy 7.49 ERA last 7 games
LAA bullpen 4.89 ERA last 10 games
LAA 2-8 last 10 meetings
Cueto 3-0, 1.35 ERA last 5 starts vs LAA
SF bullpen 2.96 home
SF 7-2 last 9 games following a win
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MLB
Rangers at Mariners 10:10 pm
Foltynewicz vs Dunn
Pick: SEA -115 LEAN
-Foltynewicz allowed 3 or more runs in 3 of last 4 starts
-Foltynewicz 6.31 ERA in night games this season. 4.80 career ERA at night, 3.09 in day games
-Dunn 3-0, 2.00 ERA in 3 starts vs TEX last season
-TEX 5-17 last 22 at SEA
MLB
Padres at Astros 4:10
Darvish vs Odorizzi
PICK: SD -145 LEAN
Darvish 1.23 ERA last 7 starts
HOU batting .200 vs Darvish (13 for 65)
Odorizzi 7.89 ERA last 7 starts
HOU bullpen 5.45 ERA last 10 games
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Tuesday 5/25 MLB
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MLB
Blue Jays at Yankees 7:05
Matz vs Kluber
Pick: NYY -172 LEAN
NYY batting .348, SLG .698 vs Matz
Matz 7.18 ERA last 5 starts vs NYY
Matz 5.80 ERA last 7 starts
Matz 5.80 ERA in night games this season
TOR bullpen 6.20 ERA last 10 games
Kluber 2.45 ERA last 7 starts
Kluber 2.01 ERA at home this season
Kluber 2.39 ERA in night games this season
MLB
Indians at Tigers 7:10
Civale vs Skubal
Pick: CLE -132 LEAN
Civale 4-0 , 2.80 ERA last 5 vs DET
CLE batting .303 last 10 games vs LHP
CLE slugging .650 vs Skubal
Skubal 6.94 ERA in 3 starts vs CLE
Skubal 5.85 ERA last 7 starts
Skubal 3.27 ERA in day games, 6.35 ERA in night games
In his last 8 starts, Skubal has allowed exactly 2 runs in starts only to follow that start by allowing 4 or more runs. He allowed 2 runs in his last start.
CLE 37-14 last 51 at DET
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Sunday 5/23
MLB
Mets at Marlins 1:10 pm
Yamamoto vs Poteet
Pick: MIA Over 3.5 (-122) LEAN
Marlins are not killing the ball right now but I see enough to go with them to get to at least 4 runs today
Yamamoto 6.12 ERA in 18 career starts
NYM bullpen 5.57 ERA last 10 games
NYM bullpen 4.94 ERA on the road
Opponents have scored 4 or more runs in 9 of last 10 games Yamamoto has started
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Originally posted by scan1265 View Postthe view pick history does not work
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