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BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 40 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
Click HERE for Final 2017-18 Gold Key Football write-ups https://tinyurl.com/ya3yc7c6
Click HERE for Final 2016-17 Gold Key Football write-ups https://tinyurl.com/y74enoya
YOU CAN SEE THE COMPLETE ARTICLE AND LIST OF TEAMS HERE: https://tinyurl.com/yd8uqary
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2018 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2018 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 8-1 ATS as Dogs >=7 pts, 0-9 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- 3-0 ATS vs Miami-Ohio, 1-9 ATS as Favorites >10 pts
Alabama -- 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <21.5 pts, 0-7 ATS Home off non-Conference Play
Appalachian State -- 3-0 ATS versus Georgia Southern, 0-5 ATS off a shutout win
Arizona -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Road Dogs >=15 pts, 0-8 ATS after playing UCLA
Arizona State -- New Head Coach, 12-0 ATS vs Washington, 0-8 ATS on weekdays
Arkansas -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 0-5 ATS after allowing 10 or less pts
Arkansas State -- 8-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 1-5 ATS off a Double Digit ATS loss
Army -- 4-0 ATS vs Navy, 0-6 ATS before playing Navy
Auburn -- 3-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-6 ATS before playing Tennessee
Ball State -- 12-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-4 ATS vs Western Michigan
Baylor -- 6-0 ATS versus Kansas, 0-4 ATS after playing Kansas State
Boise State -- 4-0 ATS as Dogs off a SU and ATS loss, 1-6 ATS vs New Mexico
Boston College -- 5-0 ATS vs Temple, 0-4 ATS vs opponents with Revenge
Bowling Green -- 3-0 ATS vs Kent, 1-7 ATS at Home with Rest
Buffalo -- 4-0 ATS vs Bowling Green, 0-3 ATS vs Miami-Ohio
BYU -- 7-1 ATS before playing Utah, 1-7 ATS with Rest
California -- 5-0 ATS vs Arizona, 1-6 ATS vs Oregon
Central Michigan -- 6-0 ATS after playing Ball State, 0-8 ATS vs Toledo
Charlotte -- 3-1 ATS with Rest, 1-8 ATS in non-Conference Play
Cincinnati -- 9-0 ATS at Home vs East Carolina, 1-8 ATS before playing East Carolina
Clemson -- 4-1 ATS vs Georgia Tech, 0-4 ATS vs Wake Forest
Coastal Carolina -- 4-2 ATS last six games, 0-2 ATS as Home Favorites
Colorado -- 4-0 ATS vs Cal, 0-8 ATS vs Washington
Colorado State -- 5-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-4 ATS as Bowlers
Connecticut -- 3-1 vs UCF, 1-8 ATS as beaten Favorites
Duke -- 4-0 ATS as Bowlers, 0-4 ATS vs Miami
East Carolina -- 4-1 ATS in Game Four, 2-11 ATS with Rest
Eastern Michigan -- 7-0 ATS after playing Toledo, 0-5 ATS after playing Ball State
Florida -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before playing LSU, 1-7 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown
Florida Atlantic -- 4-1 ATS vs Western Kentucky, 2-8 ATS after allowing at least 35 pts
Florida International -- 5-0 ATS off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-5 ATS in last game of season
Florida State -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs below .500 opponents, 0-8 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 6-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 1-4 ATS vs UNLV
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 2-11 ATS with Rest
Georgia Southern -- 4-0 ATS vs Troy, 1-7 ATS as Favs
Georgia State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Troy, 2-7 ATS as Home Dogs
Georgia Tech -- 6-0 ATS first lined game, 2-11 ATS after playing Duke
Hawaii --6-0 ATS vs Army and Navy, 0-5 ATS vs Colorado State
Houston -- 13-0 ATS as Dogs, 2-9 ATS after playing Tulsa
Illinois -- 8-0 ATS as Conference Dogs off back to back SU wins, 4-13 ATS vs Northwestern
Indiana -- 6-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conference Play, 0-4 ATS vs Ball State
Iowa -- 4-0 ATS at Purdue, 0-8 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State -- 8-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 0-4 ATS vs West Virginia
Kansas -- 5-1 ATS after playing Baylor, 0-9 ATS with Rest
Kansas State -- 6-1 ATS vs Oklahoma State, 0-3 ATS vs Iowa State
Kent State -- New Head Coach, 3-1 ATS vs Akron, 0-6 ATS as Home Favs off SU loss
Kentucky -- 5-0 ATS vs South Carolina, 0-5 ATS vs Georgia
UL-Lafayette -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Texas State, 1-6 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
UL-Monroe -- 9-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-8 ATS vs Arkansas State
Liberty -- First lined season, 27-20 SU last four years
Louisiana Tech -- 8-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 0-4 ATS vs Wake Forest
LSU -- 7-0 ATS vs Texas A&M, 0-4 ATS vs Mississippi State
Marshall -- 9-1 ATS last game of season, 0-4 ATS vs Western Kentucky
Maryland -- 5-1 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beaten Favs, 0-11 ATS off a SU and ATS win
Memphis -- 4-0 ATS vs SMU, 1-7 ATS as Weekday Favs
Miami -- 4-0 ATS vs Duke, 1-6 ATS before playing Pittsburgh
Miami OH -- 6-1 ATS in first of back to back Road games, 0-3 ATS vs Ohio U
Michigan -- 4-0 ATS vs Ohio State, 0-10 ATS vs Michigan State
Michigan State -- 10-0 ATS vs Michigan, 0-4 ATS vs Purdue
MTSU -- 4-0 ATS after playing Marshall, 0-8 ATS after playing Florida International
Minnesota -- 5-0 ATS after playing Ohio State, 3-11 ATS as Home Favorites
Mississippi -- 8-2 ATS at Home in non-Conference Play, 0-5 ATS vs Arkansas
Mississippi State -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Lsu, 0-6 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Missouri -- 57-5 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 0-8 ATS as Favorites off a SU Dog win
Navy -- 5-0 ATS vs Smu, 0-4 ATS vs Army
Nebraska -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS vs Michigan State, 0-4 ATS vs Ohio State
Nevada -- 4-0 ATS after playing Colorado State, 1-6 ATS before playing Hawaii
New Mexico -- 6-0 ATS vs Air Force, 0-6 vs Fresno State
New Mexico State -- 4-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 2-10 ATS with Rest
North Carolina -- 5-0 ATS after playing Virginia Tech, 0-5 ATS vs Virginia Tech
North Carolina State -- 12-0 ATS as Conf Dogs with Rest, 1-5 ATS after playing Florida State
North Texas -- 4-0 ATS before playing UTEP, 0-11 ATS after playing Florida Atlantic
Northern Illinois -- 5-1 ATS vs Ball State, 0-4 ATS vs Central Michigan
Northwestern -- 13-4 ATS vs Illinois, 1-3 ATS at Iowa
Notre Dame -- 8-1 ATS with Revenge off a win, 2-6 ATS at USC
Ohio State -- 4-0 vs Nebraska, 0-4 ATS vs Michigan
Ohio U -- 4-0 ATS vs Kent, 2-9 ATS on the Road with Rest
Oklahoma -- 4-0 ATS vs West Virginia, 0-5 ATS vs Texas
Oklahoma State -- 6-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 1-6 ATS vs Kansas State
Old Dominion -- 4-0 ATS as Favorites with Revenge, 0-10 ATS as Dogs >12.5 pts
Oregon -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs California, 0-8 ATS vs Washington State
Oregon State -- 16-3 ATS after playing Washington State, 0-4 ATS after Stanford
Penn State -- 5-1 ATS at Rutgers, 0-5 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh -- 4-0 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 4-11 ATS as Home Favorites
Purdue -- 11-0 ATS as Road Dogs >=11 pts, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Iowa
Rice -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS vs Louisiana Tech
Rutgers -- 7-1 ATS on the Road vs above .500 teams with Revenge, 0-4 ATS vs Ohio State
San Diego State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Fresno State, 0-5 ATS as Favs < TD with Revenge
San Jose State -- 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-5 ATS vs San Diego State
SMU -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS at Tulsa, 0-13 ATS before playing Tulsa
South Alabama -- 4-1 ATS as Road Favorites <= 9 pts, 0-4 ATS vs Georgia Southern
South Carolina -- 5-0 ATS last game of season, 0-5 ATS vs Kentucky
South Florida -- 6-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 2-8 ATS as Dogs >5 pts with Revenge
Southern Mississippi -- 8-2 ATS on the Road with Revenge, 1-6 ATS versus UAB
Stanford -- 5-0 ATS vs Ucla, 0-3 ATS vs Utah
Syracuse -- 8-4 ATS as Road Dogs,0-4 ATS vs Louisville
TCU -- 6-0 ATS after playing Iowa State, 0-6 ATS before playing Texas
Temple -- 6-0 ATS before playing Navy, 0-9 ATS as Favs <=14 pts with Rest
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-7 ATS after playing Florida
Texas -- 10-0 ATS before playing Iowa State, 0-4 ATS vs TCU
Texas A&M -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-12 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- 4-0 ATS after playing UL-Lafayette, 0-5 ATS vs UL-Lafayette
Texas Tech -- 7-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Texas
Toledo -- 8-0 ATS vs Central Michigan, 2-10 ATS before playing Central Michigan
Troy -- 6-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 0-4 ATS vs Georgia Southern
Tulane -- 5-0 ATS before playing Memphis, 0-5 ATS after playing Tulsa
Tulsa -- 8-0 ATS at Memphis, 1-5 ATS at Home vs SMU
UAB -- 6-1 ATS vs Southern Miss, 1-11 ATS as Favorites <=10 pts
UCF -- New Head Coach, 5-2 ATS as Road Favorites, 1-9 ATS as Dogs >10.5 pts
UCLA -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS at Home vs Arizona, 0-5 ATS vs Stanford
UMASS -- 7-0 ATS vs the SEC, 1-6 ATS after scoring <7 pts
UNLV -- 4-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-10 ATS last game of season
USC -- 9-0 ATS off a SU non-Conference loss, 0-8 ATS as Dogs <=8 pts
Utah -- 3-0 ATS vs Stanford, 0-6 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Utah State -- 5-0 ATS away with Rest, 0-6 ATS off a Weekday game
UTEP -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS before playing Southern Mississippi, 1-6 ATS vs Rice
UTSA -- 4-1 ATS in first lined game, 1-9 ATS as beaten Favs
Vanderbilt -- 5-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 2-15 ATS in Game Six
Virginia -- 4-1 ATS vs Miami, 0-4 ATS at Georgia Tech
Virginia Tech -- 5-0 ATS vs North Carolina, 0-4 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Wake Forest -- 7-0 ATS before playing Clemson, 0-10 ATS as Favs >14 pts
Washington -- 7-0 ATS before playing Oregon, 0-12 ATS vs Arizona State
Washington State -- 8-0 ATS vs Oregon, 0-4 ATS vs Washington
West Virginia -- 4-0 ATS vs Iowa State, 0-4 ATS vs Oklahoma
Western Kentucky -- 4-0 ATS vs Marshall, 1-4 ATS vs Florida Atlantic
Western Michigan -- 4-0 ATS vs Ball State, 0-7 ATS at Home off of back to back SU losses
Wisconsin -- 8-0 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-9 ATS before playing Penn State
Wyoming -- 9-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-7 ATS on weekdays
Here is a look before the 2018 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- New Head Coach, 12-0 ATS off a Double Digit ATS loss, 11-1 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs <7 pts, 4-11 ATS at Home, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays vs above average rivals
Atlanta -- 11-2 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS as Favorites off MNF, 0-5 ATS before playing on Thursday, 0-7 ATS after playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore -- 5-0 ATS as Division Dogs >3 pts, 5-0 ATS vs Cleveland, 1-7 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 0-5 ATS Home vs the AFC West
Buffalo -- 6-1 ATS before playing New England, 5-1 ATS as Favorites, 0-4 ATS at Home vs New England, 1-9 ATS at Home off a Double Digit ATS win
Carolina -- 4-0 ATS vs Washington, 7-1 ATS before playing on Thursday, 0-6 ATS vs Pittsburgh, 1-5 ATS before playing Tampa Bay
Chargers -- 16-1 ATS vs AFC South, 4-0 ATS vs San Francisco, 0-9 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 0-4 ATS before Bye Week
Chicago -- New Head Coach, 16-4 ATS before playing Detroit, 6-1 ATS after playing Minnesota, 1-8 ATS at San Francisco, 1-11 ATS before playing Minnesota
Cincinnati -- 13-1 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs, 6-0 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 2-9 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 1-8 ATS at the AFC East
Cleveland -- 3-0 ATS vs Kansas City, 6-0 ATS vs the Chargers, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Baltimore, 1-11 ATS versus the NFC
Dallas -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs, 10-1 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-9 ATS vs the NFC South, 1-7 ATS in Thursday Home games
Denver -- 9-2 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS as Division Road Favorites >3 pts, 0-5 vs Kansas City, 1-6 ATS after playing Chargers
Detroit -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS on the Road off a Double Digit ATS loss, 9-1 ATS Home Dogs vs Division foe off SU loss, 0-10 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 1-8 ATS before playing Green Bay
Green Bay -- 7-1 ATS after playing Chicago, 5-0 ATS Home vs NFC West, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 1-10 ATS as Dogs with Revenge
Houston -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 7-2 ATS vs Tennessee, 1-6 ATS on Thursdays, 1-6 ATS after playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after playing Houston, 9-1 ATS as Favorites after allowing at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 0-5 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
Jacksonville -- 7-1 ATS with Rest, 7-1 ATS after playing Tennessee, 1-7 ATS vs the AFC West, 1-9 ATS before playing Indianapolis
Kansas City -- 5-0 ATS before playing Chargers, 5-0 ATS vs Denver, 1-5 ATS at Pittsburgh, 0-5 ATS as Dogs vs the AFC North
Miami -- 4-0 ATS vs Oakland, 4-0 ATS before playing Jets, 2-10 ATS off MNF, 1-6 ATS vs Jets
Minnesota -- 9-0 ATS before Bye Week, 16-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-11 ATS as Road Favorites as beaten Favorites, 0-7 ATS on the Road on MNF
New England -- 12-1 ATS after playing Miami, 10-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 2-8 ATS vs Jets, 0-6 ATS as Division Road Favorites >=8 pts
New Orleans -- 9-0 ATS as Division Dogs >= 3 pts, 8-2 ATS after playing Tampa Bay, 0-6 ATS vs Washington, 0-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games
NY Giants -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS off Thursday games, 6-0 ATS Home as beaten Favorites, 0-7 ATS Home vs NFC West, 2-10 ATS after allowing >= 35pts
NY Jets -- 5-0 ATS vs Cleveland, 8-2 ATS vs New England, 1-7 ATS off Thursday games, 0-8 ATS on the Road vs AFC West
Oakland -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after scoring a TD or less, 6-0 ATS vs the AFC South, 2-9 ATS before playing the Chargers, 0-4 ATS vs Miami
Philadelphia -- 5-0 ATS vs the Rams, 8-1 ATS off 3+ SU losses, 1-6 ATS off non-Division ATS loss, 1-6 ATS on the Road vs the NFC West
Pittsburgh -- 6-0 ATS vs Carolina, 7-1 ATS as Dogs vs opponents off a Double Digit ATS win, 1-6 ATS after playing Cincinnati, 2-9 ATS before MNF
Rams-- 5-0 ATS as Favorites vs the NFC South, 4-0 ATS vs Oakland, 0-5 ATS on the Road on MNF, 2-9 ATS on Thursdays
San Francisco -- 11-1 ATS on MNF, 5-0 ATS vs the Rams, 0-6 ATS with Rest, 2-11 ATS vs Seattle
Seattle -- 7-0 ATS on Thursdays, 11-2 ATS vs San Francisco, 1-6 ATS vs the NFC South, 0-6 ATS before playing San Francisco
Tampa Bay -- 6-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC East, 4-0 ATS vs Cincinnati, 1-8 ATS on Thursdays, 0-4 ATS as beaten Favorites
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS as Double Digit Favs, 6-0 ATS on MNF, 0-9 ATS before Thursday Play, 1-9 ATS off MNF
Washington -- 7-0 ATS before Thursday play, 6-0 ATS vs New Orleans, 0-5 ATS on MNF, 2-8 ATS with Rest
2018 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Chicago, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Chicago, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2018 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
Click HERE for Final 2017-18 Gold Key Football write-ups https://tinyurl.com/ya3yc7c6
Click HERE for Final 2016-17 Gold Key Football write-ups https://tinyurl.com/y74enoya
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 40 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
Click HERE for Final 2017-18 Gold Key Football write-ups https://tinyurl.com/ya3yc7c6
Click HERE for Final 2016-17 Gold Key Football write-ups https://tinyurl.com/y74enoya
YOU CAN SEE THE COMPLETE ARTICLE AND LIST OF TEAMS HERE: https://tinyurl.com/yd8uqary
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2018 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2018 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 8-1 ATS as Dogs >=7 pts, 0-9 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- 3-0 ATS vs Miami-Ohio, 1-9 ATS as Favorites >10 pts
Alabama -- 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <21.5 pts, 0-7 ATS Home off non-Conference Play
Appalachian State -- 3-0 ATS versus Georgia Southern, 0-5 ATS off a shutout win
Arizona -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Road Dogs >=15 pts, 0-8 ATS after playing UCLA
Arizona State -- New Head Coach, 12-0 ATS vs Washington, 0-8 ATS on weekdays
Arkansas -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 0-5 ATS after allowing 10 or less pts
Arkansas State -- 8-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 1-5 ATS off a Double Digit ATS loss
Army -- 4-0 ATS vs Navy, 0-6 ATS before playing Navy
Auburn -- 3-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-6 ATS before playing Tennessee
Ball State -- 12-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-4 ATS vs Western Michigan
Baylor -- 6-0 ATS versus Kansas, 0-4 ATS after playing Kansas State
Boise State -- 4-0 ATS as Dogs off a SU and ATS loss, 1-6 ATS vs New Mexico
Boston College -- 5-0 ATS vs Temple, 0-4 ATS vs opponents with Revenge
Bowling Green -- 3-0 ATS vs Kent, 1-7 ATS at Home with Rest
Buffalo -- 4-0 ATS vs Bowling Green, 0-3 ATS vs Miami-Ohio
BYU -- 7-1 ATS before playing Utah, 1-7 ATS with Rest
California -- 5-0 ATS vs Arizona, 1-6 ATS vs Oregon
Central Michigan -- 6-0 ATS after playing Ball State, 0-8 ATS vs Toledo
Charlotte -- 3-1 ATS with Rest, 1-8 ATS in non-Conference Play
Cincinnati -- 9-0 ATS at Home vs East Carolina, 1-8 ATS before playing East Carolina
Clemson -- 4-1 ATS vs Georgia Tech, 0-4 ATS vs Wake Forest
Coastal Carolina -- 4-2 ATS last six games, 0-2 ATS as Home Favorites
Colorado -- 4-0 ATS vs Cal, 0-8 ATS vs Washington
Colorado State -- 5-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-4 ATS as Bowlers
Connecticut -- 3-1 vs UCF, 1-8 ATS as beaten Favorites
Duke -- 4-0 ATS as Bowlers, 0-4 ATS vs Miami
East Carolina -- 4-1 ATS in Game Four, 2-11 ATS with Rest
Eastern Michigan -- 7-0 ATS after playing Toledo, 0-5 ATS after playing Ball State
Florida -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before playing LSU, 1-7 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown
Florida Atlantic -- 4-1 ATS vs Western Kentucky, 2-8 ATS after allowing at least 35 pts
Florida International -- 5-0 ATS off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-5 ATS in last game of season
Florida State -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs below .500 opponents, 0-8 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 6-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 1-4 ATS vs UNLV
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 2-11 ATS with Rest
Georgia Southern -- 4-0 ATS vs Troy, 1-7 ATS as Favs
Georgia State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Troy, 2-7 ATS as Home Dogs
Georgia Tech -- 6-0 ATS first lined game, 2-11 ATS after playing Duke
Hawaii --6-0 ATS vs Army and Navy, 0-5 ATS vs Colorado State
Houston -- 13-0 ATS as Dogs, 2-9 ATS after playing Tulsa
Illinois -- 8-0 ATS as Conference Dogs off back to back SU wins, 4-13 ATS vs Northwestern
Indiana -- 6-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conference Play, 0-4 ATS vs Ball State
Iowa -- 4-0 ATS at Purdue, 0-8 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State -- 8-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 0-4 ATS vs West Virginia
Kansas -- 5-1 ATS after playing Baylor, 0-9 ATS with Rest
Kansas State -- 6-1 ATS vs Oklahoma State, 0-3 ATS vs Iowa State
Kent State -- New Head Coach, 3-1 ATS vs Akron, 0-6 ATS as Home Favs off SU loss
Kentucky -- 5-0 ATS vs South Carolina, 0-5 ATS vs Georgia
UL-Lafayette -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Texas State, 1-6 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
UL-Monroe -- 9-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-8 ATS vs Arkansas State
Liberty -- First lined season, 27-20 SU last four years
Louisiana Tech -- 8-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 0-4 ATS vs Wake Forest
LSU -- 7-0 ATS vs Texas A&M, 0-4 ATS vs Mississippi State
Marshall -- 9-1 ATS last game of season, 0-4 ATS vs Western Kentucky
Maryland -- 5-1 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beaten Favs, 0-11 ATS off a SU and ATS win
Memphis -- 4-0 ATS vs SMU, 1-7 ATS as Weekday Favs
Miami -- 4-0 ATS vs Duke, 1-6 ATS before playing Pittsburgh
Miami OH -- 6-1 ATS in first of back to back Road games, 0-3 ATS vs Ohio U
Michigan -- 4-0 ATS vs Ohio State, 0-10 ATS vs Michigan State
Michigan State -- 10-0 ATS vs Michigan, 0-4 ATS vs Purdue
MTSU -- 4-0 ATS after playing Marshall, 0-8 ATS after playing Florida International
Minnesota -- 5-0 ATS after playing Ohio State, 3-11 ATS as Home Favorites
Mississippi -- 8-2 ATS at Home in non-Conference Play, 0-5 ATS vs Arkansas
Mississippi State -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Lsu, 0-6 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Missouri -- 57-5 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 0-8 ATS as Favorites off a SU Dog win
Navy -- 5-0 ATS vs Smu, 0-4 ATS vs Army
Nebraska -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS vs Michigan State, 0-4 ATS vs Ohio State
Nevada -- 4-0 ATS after playing Colorado State, 1-6 ATS before playing Hawaii
New Mexico -- 6-0 ATS vs Air Force, 0-6 vs Fresno State
New Mexico State -- 4-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 2-10 ATS with Rest
North Carolina -- 5-0 ATS after playing Virginia Tech, 0-5 ATS vs Virginia Tech
North Carolina State -- 12-0 ATS as Conf Dogs with Rest, 1-5 ATS after playing Florida State
North Texas -- 4-0 ATS before playing UTEP, 0-11 ATS after playing Florida Atlantic
Northern Illinois -- 5-1 ATS vs Ball State, 0-4 ATS vs Central Michigan
Northwestern -- 13-4 ATS vs Illinois, 1-3 ATS at Iowa
Notre Dame -- 8-1 ATS with Revenge off a win, 2-6 ATS at USC
Ohio State -- 4-0 vs Nebraska, 0-4 ATS vs Michigan
Ohio U -- 4-0 ATS vs Kent, 2-9 ATS on the Road with Rest
Oklahoma -- 4-0 ATS vs West Virginia, 0-5 ATS vs Texas
Oklahoma State -- 6-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 1-6 ATS vs Kansas State
Old Dominion -- 4-0 ATS as Favorites with Revenge, 0-10 ATS as Dogs >12.5 pts
Oregon -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs California, 0-8 ATS vs Washington State
Oregon State -- 16-3 ATS after playing Washington State, 0-4 ATS after Stanford
Penn State -- 5-1 ATS at Rutgers, 0-5 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh -- 4-0 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 4-11 ATS as Home Favorites
Purdue -- 11-0 ATS as Road Dogs >=11 pts, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Iowa
Rice -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS vs Louisiana Tech
Rutgers -- 7-1 ATS on the Road vs above .500 teams with Revenge, 0-4 ATS vs Ohio State
San Diego State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Fresno State, 0-5 ATS as Favs < TD with Revenge
San Jose State -- 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-5 ATS vs San Diego State
SMU -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS at Tulsa, 0-13 ATS before playing Tulsa
South Alabama -- 4-1 ATS as Road Favorites <= 9 pts, 0-4 ATS vs Georgia Southern
South Carolina -- 5-0 ATS last game of season, 0-5 ATS vs Kentucky
South Florida -- 6-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 2-8 ATS as Dogs >5 pts with Revenge
Southern Mississippi -- 8-2 ATS on the Road with Revenge, 1-6 ATS versus UAB
Stanford -- 5-0 ATS vs Ucla, 0-3 ATS vs Utah
Syracuse -- 8-4 ATS as Road Dogs,0-4 ATS vs Louisville
TCU -- 6-0 ATS after playing Iowa State, 0-6 ATS before playing Texas
Temple -- 6-0 ATS before playing Navy, 0-9 ATS as Favs <=14 pts with Rest
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-7 ATS after playing Florida
Texas -- 10-0 ATS before playing Iowa State, 0-4 ATS vs TCU
Texas A&M -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-12 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- 4-0 ATS after playing UL-Lafayette, 0-5 ATS vs UL-Lafayette
Texas Tech -- 7-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Texas
Toledo -- 8-0 ATS vs Central Michigan, 2-10 ATS before playing Central Michigan
Troy -- 6-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 0-4 ATS vs Georgia Southern
Tulane -- 5-0 ATS before playing Memphis, 0-5 ATS after playing Tulsa
Tulsa -- 8-0 ATS at Memphis, 1-5 ATS at Home vs SMU
UAB -- 6-1 ATS vs Southern Miss, 1-11 ATS as Favorites <=10 pts
UCF -- New Head Coach, 5-2 ATS as Road Favorites, 1-9 ATS as Dogs >10.5 pts
UCLA -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS at Home vs Arizona, 0-5 ATS vs Stanford
UMASS -- 7-0 ATS vs the SEC, 1-6 ATS after scoring <7 pts
UNLV -- 4-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-10 ATS last game of season
USC -- 9-0 ATS off a SU non-Conference loss, 0-8 ATS as Dogs <=8 pts
Utah -- 3-0 ATS vs Stanford, 0-6 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Utah State -- 5-0 ATS away with Rest, 0-6 ATS off a Weekday game
UTEP -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS before playing Southern Mississippi, 1-6 ATS vs Rice
UTSA -- 4-1 ATS in first lined game, 1-9 ATS as beaten Favs
Vanderbilt -- 5-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 2-15 ATS in Game Six
Virginia -- 4-1 ATS vs Miami, 0-4 ATS at Georgia Tech
Virginia Tech -- 5-0 ATS vs North Carolina, 0-4 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Wake Forest -- 7-0 ATS before playing Clemson, 0-10 ATS as Favs >14 pts
Washington -- 7-0 ATS before playing Oregon, 0-12 ATS vs Arizona State
Washington State -- 8-0 ATS vs Oregon, 0-4 ATS vs Washington
West Virginia -- 4-0 ATS vs Iowa State, 0-4 ATS vs Oklahoma
Western Kentucky -- 4-0 ATS vs Marshall, 1-4 ATS vs Florida Atlantic
Western Michigan -- 4-0 ATS vs Ball State, 0-7 ATS at Home off of back to back SU losses
Wisconsin -- 8-0 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-9 ATS before playing Penn State
Wyoming -- 9-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-7 ATS on weekdays
Here is a look before the 2018 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- New Head Coach, 12-0 ATS off a Double Digit ATS loss, 11-1 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs <7 pts, 4-11 ATS at Home, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays vs above average rivals
Atlanta -- 11-2 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS as Favorites off MNF, 0-5 ATS before playing on Thursday, 0-7 ATS after playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore -- 5-0 ATS as Division Dogs >3 pts, 5-0 ATS vs Cleveland, 1-7 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 0-5 ATS Home vs the AFC West
Buffalo -- 6-1 ATS before playing New England, 5-1 ATS as Favorites, 0-4 ATS at Home vs New England, 1-9 ATS at Home off a Double Digit ATS win
Carolina -- 4-0 ATS vs Washington, 7-1 ATS before playing on Thursday, 0-6 ATS vs Pittsburgh, 1-5 ATS before playing Tampa Bay
Chargers -- 16-1 ATS vs AFC South, 4-0 ATS vs San Francisco, 0-9 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 0-4 ATS before Bye Week
Chicago -- New Head Coach, 16-4 ATS before playing Detroit, 6-1 ATS after playing Minnesota, 1-8 ATS at San Francisco, 1-11 ATS before playing Minnesota
Cincinnati -- 13-1 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs, 6-0 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 2-9 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 1-8 ATS at the AFC East
Cleveland -- 3-0 ATS vs Kansas City, 6-0 ATS vs the Chargers, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Baltimore, 1-11 ATS versus the NFC
Dallas -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs, 10-1 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-9 ATS vs the NFC South, 1-7 ATS in Thursday Home games
Denver -- 9-2 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS as Division Road Favorites >3 pts, 0-5 vs Kansas City, 1-6 ATS after playing Chargers
Detroit -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS on the Road off a Double Digit ATS loss, 9-1 ATS Home Dogs vs Division foe off SU loss, 0-10 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 1-8 ATS before playing Green Bay
Green Bay -- 7-1 ATS after playing Chicago, 5-0 ATS Home vs NFC West, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 1-10 ATS as Dogs with Revenge
Houston -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 7-2 ATS vs Tennessee, 1-6 ATS on Thursdays, 1-6 ATS after playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after playing Houston, 9-1 ATS as Favorites after allowing at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 0-5 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
Jacksonville -- 7-1 ATS with Rest, 7-1 ATS after playing Tennessee, 1-7 ATS vs the AFC West, 1-9 ATS before playing Indianapolis
Kansas City -- 5-0 ATS before playing Chargers, 5-0 ATS vs Denver, 1-5 ATS at Pittsburgh, 0-5 ATS as Dogs vs the AFC North
Miami -- 4-0 ATS vs Oakland, 4-0 ATS before playing Jets, 2-10 ATS off MNF, 1-6 ATS vs Jets
Minnesota -- 9-0 ATS before Bye Week, 16-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-11 ATS as Road Favorites as beaten Favorites, 0-7 ATS on the Road on MNF
New England -- 12-1 ATS after playing Miami, 10-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 2-8 ATS vs Jets, 0-6 ATS as Division Road Favorites >=8 pts
New Orleans -- 9-0 ATS as Division Dogs >= 3 pts, 8-2 ATS after playing Tampa Bay, 0-6 ATS vs Washington, 0-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games
NY Giants -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS off Thursday games, 6-0 ATS Home as beaten Favorites, 0-7 ATS Home vs NFC West, 2-10 ATS after allowing >= 35pts
NY Jets -- 5-0 ATS vs Cleveland, 8-2 ATS vs New England, 1-7 ATS off Thursday games, 0-8 ATS on the Road vs AFC West
Oakland -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after scoring a TD or less, 6-0 ATS vs the AFC South, 2-9 ATS before playing the Chargers, 0-4 ATS vs Miami
Philadelphia -- 5-0 ATS vs the Rams, 8-1 ATS off 3+ SU losses, 1-6 ATS off non-Division ATS loss, 1-6 ATS on the Road vs the NFC West
Pittsburgh -- 6-0 ATS vs Carolina, 7-1 ATS as Dogs vs opponents off a Double Digit ATS win, 1-6 ATS after playing Cincinnati, 2-9 ATS before MNF
Rams-- 5-0 ATS as Favorites vs the NFC South, 4-0 ATS vs Oakland, 0-5 ATS on the Road on MNF, 2-9 ATS on Thursdays
San Francisco -- 11-1 ATS on MNF, 5-0 ATS vs the Rams, 0-6 ATS with Rest, 2-11 ATS vs Seattle
Seattle -- 7-0 ATS on Thursdays, 11-2 ATS vs San Francisco, 1-6 ATS vs the NFC South, 0-6 ATS before playing San Francisco
Tampa Bay -- 6-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC East, 4-0 ATS vs Cincinnati, 1-8 ATS on Thursdays, 0-4 ATS as beaten Favorites
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS as Double Digit Favs, 6-0 ATS on MNF, 0-9 ATS before Thursday Play, 1-9 ATS off MNF
Washington -- 7-0 ATS before Thursday play, 6-0 ATS vs New Orleans, 0-5 ATS on MNF, 2-8 ATS with Rest
2018 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Chicago, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Chicago, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2018 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
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http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
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