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BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 40 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
YOU CAN GET THE COMPLETE 2015 NFL AND NCAA FOOTBALL ATS TRENDS BY GOING HERE: https://tinyurl.com/px7m92x
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2015 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2015 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 12-3 ATS vs Army, 0-6 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-7 ATS vs Bowling Green
Alabama -- 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <28.,5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses
Appalachian State -- 4-1 ATS after scoring at least 28 points, 0-2 ATS vs non-Conference foes
Arizona -- 4-1 ATS vs Utah, 1-7 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win
Arizona State -- 9-0 ATS vs Washington, 2-8 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas -- 5-1 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win, 2-9 ATS before playing Alabama
Arkansas State -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conf Home Dogs, 1-6 ATS vs UL-Lafayette
Army -- 5-1 ATS as Home Favs, 0-14 ATS on the Road
Auburn -- 8-2 ATS after allowing >34.5 points, 1-6 ATS at Home after allowing <10.5 pts
Ball State -- 9-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 1-6 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
Baylor -- 5-0 ATS versus Texas, 1-7 ATS versus Tcu
Boise State -- 9-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 0-4 ATS vs New Mexico
Boston College -- 7-1 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 1-9 ATS as Road Favs >3.5 pts
Bowling Green -- 6-1 ATS on Weekdays, 0-7 ATS at Home with Rest
Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS after playing Kent, 0-5 ATS as Weekday Road Dogs
BYU -- 6-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS vs Mountain West Conf
California -- 5-1 ATS after playing Oregon State, 1-5 ATS vs Usc
Central Michigan -- New Head Coach, 17-3 ATS as Conf Favs less than a TD, 0-5 ATS vs Toledo
Charlotte -- First lined year, out of the C-USA East Div
Cincinnati -- 4-0 ATS vs UConn, 0-6 ATS vs Miami
Clemson -- 6-1 ATS after playing Florida State, 0-3 ATS at South Carolina
Colorado -- 5-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-9 ATS as Favs versus the Pac 12
Colorado State -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs poor opponents, 1-9 ATS before playing San Diego State
Connecticut -- 5-1 ATS as Road Favs vs poor opponents, 1-8 ATS vs Temple
Duke -- 7-0 ATS vs Virginia, 2-7 ATS vs Georgia Tech
East Carolina -- 6-1 ATS after playing Tulsa, 1-9 ATS with Rest
Eastern Michigan -- 5-0 ATS after playing Toledo, 0-7 ATS off Double-Digit Straight Up win
Florida -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 0-7 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown
Florida Atlantic -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-4 ATS vs Florida International
Florida International -- 6-1 ATS on the Road after scoring 35 or more points, 1-5 ATS off Weekday Play
Florida State -- 5-1 ATS vs Wake Forest, 0-7 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 4-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 1-5 ATS in the first of back-to-back Road events
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 1-9 ATS with Rest
Georgia Southern -- 5-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 1-3 ATS on the Road off back-to-back SU wins
Georgia State -- 5-0 ATS in non-Conference Play, 1-4 ATS as Home Dogs
Georgia Tech -- 5-0 ATS vs Florida State, 0-8 ATS on the Road vs opponents off a SU Dog win
Hawaii -- 4-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-7 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Houston -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS vs Tulane, 0-5 ATS after scoring 3 or less points
Idaho -- 7-3 ATS in first lined game, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Illinois -- 6-0 ATS at Penn State, 0-4 ATS vs Nebraska
Indiana -- 6-1 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS at Michigan State
Iowa -- 12-1 ATS before playing Indiana, 0-8 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State -- 7-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 1-10 ATS after playing Texas Tech
Kansas -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Tcu, 1-13 ATS after playing Oklahoma
Kansas State -- 8-0 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Oklahoma
Kent State -- 6-0 ATS after playing Bowling Green, 1-8 ATS as Home Favs off SU loss
Kentucky -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conf Favs of at least two TDs, 1-7 ATS vs Tennessee
UL-Lafayette -- 6-1 ATS vs Arkansas State, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
UL-Monroe -- Visiting team is 11-1 ATS in UL-Lafayette series, 1-8 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Louisiana Tech -- 6-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 1-9 ATS on the Road after scoring a TD or less
Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 2-11 ATS as Conf Dogs after allowing >34.5 pts
LSU -- 7-1 ATS in non-Conference Play, 1-7 ATS vs Arkansas
Marshall -- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 2-8 ATS at Home off back-to-back ATS wins
Maryland -- 5-0 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beaten Favs, 0-6 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Memphis -- 13-1 ATS in last Road game, 0-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
Miami -- 6-0 ATS vs Cincinnati, 2-15 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS wins
Miami OH -- 5-0 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 2-6 ATS vs Buffalo
Michigan -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS at Home with Rest, 1-8 ATS after playing Indiana
Michigan State -- 7-0 ATS vs Michigan, 1-6 ATS after playing Nebraska
MTSU -- 5-1 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses
Minnesota -- 5-1 ATS vs Northwestern, 0-6 ATS after playing Purdue
Mississippi -- 6-0 ATS before playing Alabama, 1-8 ATS as Road Favs off a SU win
Mississippi State -- 6-1 ATS in last Home game, 2-9 ATS on the Road off a Double-Digit ATS win
Missouri -- 55-3 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 1-9 ATS as Road Favs off DD ATS win
Navy -- 11-1 ATS at Notre Dame, 0-6 ATS as Favs of at least two TDs
Nebraska -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Michigan State, 0-4 ATS vs and after Wisconsin
Nevada -- 9-3 ATS vs San Jose State, 1-4 ATS vs Fresno State
New Mexico -- 4-0 ATS vs Boise State, 1-8 ATS at Home after scoring <10.5 pts
New Mexico State -- 4-1 ATS at Home after scoring 35 or more points, 0-11 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games
North Carolina -- 6-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS as DD Dogs off a DD SU win
North Carolina State -- 12-1 ATS with Rest, 0-9 ATS at Wake Forest
North Texas -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs beaten Favs, 2-11 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Northern Illinois -- 10-2 ATS vs Western Michigan, 0-5 ATS vs Miami-Ohio
Northwestern -- 7-0 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 1-7 ATS before playing Iowa
Notre Dame -- 5-0 ATS with Rest versus below avg opponents, 1-11 ATS at Home vs Navy
Ohio State -- 15-1 ATS after playing Penn State, 0-4 ATS vs Indiana
Ohio U -- 6-1 ATS vs Akron, 1-10 ATS after scoring at least 35 points
Oklahoma -- 9-1 ATS before playing Baylor, 1-5 ATS vs Baylor
Oklahoma State -- 8-0 ATS at Home vs Baylor, 0-4 ATS vs Kansas State
Old Dominion -- 4-0 ATS as Dogs off a SU win, 1-7 ATS after allowing at least 35 points
Oregon -- 13-2 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games, 0-5 ATS vs Washington State
Oregon State -- New Head Coach, 12-1 ATS after playing Washington State, 1-9 ATS as Home Dogs off back-to-back Road Games
Penn State -- 6-1 ATS after playing Indiana, 1-7 ATS as Dogs after scoring at least 35 pts
Pittsburgh -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Road Dogs, 2-11 ATS on the Road vs the ACC
Purdue -- 8-0 ATS as Conf Favs >12.5 pts, 0-9 ATS vs Wisconsin
Rice -- 12-0 ATS as Conf Home Dogs off a SU win, 1-6 ATS as non-Conf Home Favs less than 15 pts
Rutgers -- 9-0 ATS as Dogs in the second of back-to-back Road games, 1-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games
San Diego State -- 15-3 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-4 ATS as Favs < TD with Revenge
San Jose State -- 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 1-8 ATS with Rest
SMU -- New Head Coach, 8-2 ATS with Rest, 0-11 ATS vs Baylor
South Alabama -- 6-1 ATS on the Road vs rivals off a SU loss, 1-4 ATS vs opponents off a SU Dog win
South Carolina -- 7-1 ATS vs Georgia, 1-5 ATS after playing Vanderbilt
South Florida -- 8-1 ATS as non-Conf Road Dogs of at least a Touchdown, 2-9 ATS vs Cincinnati
Southern Mississippi -- 7-1 ATS on the Road after scoring >34.5 pts, 2-10 ATS on Weekdays
Stanford -- 5-0 ATS vs Oregon State, 2-9 ATS off a Double Digit SU loss
Syracuse -- 12-2 ATS as Home Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 1-5 ATS vs Pittsburgh
TCU -- 7-1 ATS vs Baylor, 0-8 ATS off SU Dog win vs below avg opponents
Temple -- 8-1 ATS vs UConn, 0-10 ATS as Favs with Rest
Tennessee -- 7-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 0-6 ATS at Alabama
Texas -- 5-0 ATS vs Texas Tech, 2-8 ATS after allowing >39.5 pts
Texas A&M -- 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-9 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- 7-0 ATS after allowing 35 or more pts vs non-Conf rivals, 0-4 ATS as Conf Home Favs
Texas Tech -- 5-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 3-10 ATS as Home Favs
Toledo -- 7-1 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 2-11 ATS on the Road vs better than avg non-Conference opponents
Troy -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 1-9 ATS off back-to-back SU wins
Tulane -- 4-1 ATS on the Road after SU Dog win, 1-9 ATS on Weekdays
Tulsa -- New Head Coach, 8-0 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 0-9 ATS versus the Big Twelve
UCF -- 9-0 ATS as Weekday Favs <27.5 pts, 2-7 ATS as Road Favs
UCLA -- 6-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-7 ATS after playing Cal
UMASS -- 6-0 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS with Revenge off Conf Play
UNLV -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS Weekday Home games, 1-8 ATS after playing Nevada
USC -- 5-0 ATS at Cal, Fav in Stanford series is 0-7 ATS
Utah -- 6-1 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts, 1-8 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Utah State -- 7-1 ATS Weekday Road games, 1-9 ATS vs Boise State
UTEP -- 5-0 ATS before playing Southern Mississippi, 1-11 ATS vs Rice
UTSA -- 6-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conf Play, 0-4 ATS as beaten Favs
Vanderbilt -- 7-1 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 2-8 as Favs vs beaten Favs
Virginia -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs Georgia Tech, 0-7 ATS versus Duke
Virginia Tech -- Visitor is 5-0 ATS in Georgia Tech series, 0-4 ATS as Weekday Favs
Wake Forest -- 5-0 ATS at Army, 0-12 ATS as Favs >13 pts
Washington -- 8-0 ATS with Rest in Conf Play, 0-9 ATS vs Arizona State
Washington State -- 5-0 ATS vs Oregon, 1-11 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road games
West Virginia -- 11-0 ATS vs rivals who were beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS as Home Favs <10 pts
Western Kentucky -- 4-0 ATS Weekday Road games, 1-8 ATS as Favs vs above avg rivals
Western Michigan -- 4-0 ATS vs Bowling Green, 2-10 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Wisconsin -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS with Rest, 4-13 ATS last four games of season
Wyoming -- 6-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-7 ATS as Favs >10 pts
Here is a look before the 2015 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- Coach is 11-0 ATS as Dog <4.5 points and 9-1 ATS off non-Division Play vs above avg rivals, 0-5 ATS on MNF, 1-8 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Atlanta -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 6-1 ATS off MNF, 0-5 ATS on the Road after scoring at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS in the first of back-to-back Home games
Baltimore -- 5-0 ATS vs Miami, 6-1 ATS with Rest, 0-5 ATS as Dogs of at least a Touchdown, 1-6 ATS before playing Cleveland
Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 10-2 ATS versus Cincinnati, 9-2 ATS as Div Favs of at least a Field Goal, 1-8 ATS after playing New England, 0-6 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Carolina -- 9-1 ATS with Conf Revenge, 11-3 ATS at New Orleans, 0-5 ATS before their Bye Week, 0-7 ATS after playing New Orleans
Chicago -- New Head Coach, 12-2 ATS before playing Detroit, 8-1 ATS as Road Favs off a SU Dog win, 1-14 ATS off non-Conference Play, 1-7 ATS before playing Minnesota
Cincinnati -- 9-0 ATS as non-Conference Home Dogs, 9-1 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 1-6 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 2-10 ATS vs Buffalo
Cleveland -- 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 5-0 ATS after scoring <13.5 pts, 1-6 ATS at Home vs Baltimore, 2-7 ATS after playing Cincinnati
Dallas -- 10-0 ATS as non-Conference Dogs, 5-0 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-9 ATS as Home Favs TD or greater, 0-5 ATS on MNF
Denver -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs Oakland, 5-0 ATS with Rest, 1-5 ATS on MNF, 0-8 ATS vs Indianapolis
Detroit -- 8-1 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 7-1 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-8 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 0-5 ATS vs New Orleans
Green Bay -- 7-0 ATS before playing on MNF, 9-0 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 0-5 ATS off MNF
Houston -- 9-1 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 7-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-4 ATS on Thursdays, 2-9 ATS after playing Tennessee
Indianapolis -- 11-1 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS vs Denver, 3-17 ATS at Home vs. New England, 0-6 ATS as Road Dogs with Revenge
Jacksonville -- 4-1 ATS with Rest, 4-1 ATS after playing Houston, 0-5 ATS as Favs of at least a TD, 0-5 ATS before playing Indianapolis
Kansas City -- 5-0 ATS vs AFC East, 9-0 ATS as non-Division Favs >7.5 pts, 1-11 ATS as Division Favs <6.5 points, 0-6 ATS after playing Oakland
Miami -- 7-1 ATS vs AFC West, 7-2 ATS vs San Diego, 0-6 ATS on MNF, 1-10 ATS as Home Favs >6.5 pts
Minnesota -- 6-0 ATS before Bye Week, 12-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-5 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS on MNF
New England -- 9-3 ATS vs Pittsburgh, 10-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-5 ATS vs Jets, 2-16 ATS as Favs >11.5 pts
New Orleans -- 9-0 ATS vs NFC North, 6-1 ATS after playing Tampa Bay, 1-6 ATS vs NFC West, 0-6 ATS in 2nd of back-to-back Road games
NY Giants -- 6-1 ATS vs NFC North, 5-0 ATS vs Jets, 1-7 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games, 1-5 ATS as Home Dogs
NY Jets -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS before Bye Week, 8-2 ATS as Dogs vs AFC South, 1-6 ATS with Rest, 0-11 ATS as beaten Favs
Oakland -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after scoring a TD or less, 5-1 ATS vs poor Conf rivals, 0-5 ATS before playing San Diego, 0-4 ATS before Bye Week
Philadelphia -- 6-1 ATS on the Road on MNF, 9-4 ATS vs Atlanta, 1-8 ATS vs NFC West, 1-8 ATS before playing Giants
Pittsburgh -- 9-1 ATS vs above avg opponents, 6-1 ATS before playing Cleveland, 1-7 ATS before playing Cincinnati, 1-6 ATS vs AFC West
St. Louis -- 6-1 ATS vs Washington, 13-0 ATS as Favs after scoring 35 or > points, 1-7 ATS on Thursdays, 1-8 ATS at Home vs NFC North
San Diego -- 11-0 ATS vs AFC South, 7-1 ATS at Denver, 0-7 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 1-6 ATS before playing Denver
San Francisco -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS on MNF, 8-2 ATS at Arizona, 0-8 ATS after allowing >27.5 pts, 1-6 ATS before playing St. Louis
Seattle -- 8-1 ATS on MNF, 11-0 ATS before playing San Francisco, 7-0 ATS vs San Francisco, 2-9 ATS on the Road in non-Conf Play, 0-3 ATS at St. Louis
Tampa Bay -- 5-1 ATS of Thursday Play, 7-0 ATS as Road Dogs after scoring at least 35 pts, 0-7 ATS before Bye Week, 1-7 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee -- 5-1 ATS of Thursday Play, 5-0 ATS on MNF, 0-6 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-7 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
Washington -- 12-3 ATS before playing Giants, 5-1 ATS before playing Dallas, 1-13 ATS at Home on MNF, 1-6 ATS with Rest
2015 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Atlanta, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Atlanta, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2015 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 40 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
YOU CAN GET THE COMPLETE 2015 NFL AND NCAA FOOTBALL ATS TRENDS BY GOING HERE: https://tinyurl.com/px7m92x
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2015 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2015 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 12-3 ATS vs Army, 0-6 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-7 ATS vs Bowling Green
Alabama -- 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <28.,5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses
Appalachian State -- 4-1 ATS after scoring at least 28 points, 0-2 ATS vs non-Conference foes
Arizona -- 4-1 ATS vs Utah, 1-7 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win
Arizona State -- 9-0 ATS vs Washington, 2-8 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas -- 5-1 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win, 2-9 ATS before playing Alabama
Arkansas State -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conf Home Dogs, 1-6 ATS vs UL-Lafayette
Army -- 5-1 ATS as Home Favs, 0-14 ATS on the Road
Auburn -- 8-2 ATS after allowing >34.5 points, 1-6 ATS at Home after allowing <10.5 pts
Ball State -- 9-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 1-6 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
Baylor -- 5-0 ATS versus Texas, 1-7 ATS versus Tcu
Boise State -- 9-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 0-4 ATS vs New Mexico
Boston College -- 7-1 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 1-9 ATS as Road Favs >3.5 pts
Bowling Green -- 6-1 ATS on Weekdays, 0-7 ATS at Home with Rest
Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS after playing Kent, 0-5 ATS as Weekday Road Dogs
BYU -- 6-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS vs Mountain West Conf
California -- 5-1 ATS after playing Oregon State, 1-5 ATS vs Usc
Central Michigan -- New Head Coach, 17-3 ATS as Conf Favs less than a TD, 0-5 ATS vs Toledo
Charlotte -- First lined year, out of the C-USA East Div
Cincinnati -- 4-0 ATS vs UConn, 0-6 ATS vs Miami
Clemson -- 6-1 ATS after playing Florida State, 0-3 ATS at South Carolina
Colorado -- 5-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-9 ATS as Favs versus the Pac 12
Colorado State -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs poor opponents, 1-9 ATS before playing San Diego State
Connecticut -- 5-1 ATS as Road Favs vs poor opponents, 1-8 ATS vs Temple
Duke -- 7-0 ATS vs Virginia, 2-7 ATS vs Georgia Tech
East Carolina -- 6-1 ATS after playing Tulsa, 1-9 ATS with Rest
Eastern Michigan -- 5-0 ATS after playing Toledo, 0-7 ATS off Double-Digit Straight Up win
Florida -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 0-7 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown
Florida Atlantic -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-4 ATS vs Florida International
Florida International -- 6-1 ATS on the Road after scoring 35 or more points, 1-5 ATS off Weekday Play
Florida State -- 5-1 ATS vs Wake Forest, 0-7 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 4-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 1-5 ATS in the first of back-to-back Road events
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 1-9 ATS with Rest
Georgia Southern -- 5-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 1-3 ATS on the Road off back-to-back SU wins
Georgia State -- 5-0 ATS in non-Conference Play, 1-4 ATS as Home Dogs
Georgia Tech -- 5-0 ATS vs Florida State, 0-8 ATS on the Road vs opponents off a SU Dog win
Hawaii -- 4-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-7 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Houston -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS vs Tulane, 0-5 ATS after scoring 3 or less points
Idaho -- 7-3 ATS in first lined game, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Illinois -- 6-0 ATS at Penn State, 0-4 ATS vs Nebraska
Indiana -- 6-1 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS at Michigan State
Iowa -- 12-1 ATS before playing Indiana, 0-8 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State -- 7-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 1-10 ATS after playing Texas Tech
Kansas -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Tcu, 1-13 ATS after playing Oklahoma
Kansas State -- 8-0 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Oklahoma
Kent State -- 6-0 ATS after playing Bowling Green, 1-8 ATS as Home Favs off SU loss
Kentucky -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conf Favs of at least two TDs, 1-7 ATS vs Tennessee
UL-Lafayette -- 6-1 ATS vs Arkansas State, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
UL-Monroe -- Visiting team is 11-1 ATS in UL-Lafayette series, 1-8 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Louisiana Tech -- 6-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 1-9 ATS on the Road after scoring a TD or less
Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 2-11 ATS as Conf Dogs after allowing >34.5 pts
LSU -- 7-1 ATS in non-Conference Play, 1-7 ATS vs Arkansas
Marshall -- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 2-8 ATS at Home off back-to-back ATS wins
Maryland -- 5-0 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beaten Favs, 0-6 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Memphis -- 13-1 ATS in last Road game, 0-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
Miami -- 6-0 ATS vs Cincinnati, 2-15 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS wins
Miami OH -- 5-0 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 2-6 ATS vs Buffalo
Michigan -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS at Home with Rest, 1-8 ATS after playing Indiana
Michigan State -- 7-0 ATS vs Michigan, 1-6 ATS after playing Nebraska
MTSU -- 5-1 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses
Minnesota -- 5-1 ATS vs Northwestern, 0-6 ATS after playing Purdue
Mississippi -- 6-0 ATS before playing Alabama, 1-8 ATS as Road Favs off a SU win
Mississippi State -- 6-1 ATS in last Home game, 2-9 ATS on the Road off a Double-Digit ATS win
Missouri -- 55-3 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 1-9 ATS as Road Favs off DD ATS win
Navy -- 11-1 ATS at Notre Dame, 0-6 ATS as Favs of at least two TDs
Nebraska -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Michigan State, 0-4 ATS vs and after Wisconsin
Nevada -- 9-3 ATS vs San Jose State, 1-4 ATS vs Fresno State
New Mexico -- 4-0 ATS vs Boise State, 1-8 ATS at Home after scoring <10.5 pts
New Mexico State -- 4-1 ATS at Home after scoring 35 or more points, 0-11 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games
North Carolina -- 6-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS as DD Dogs off a DD SU win
North Carolina State -- 12-1 ATS with Rest, 0-9 ATS at Wake Forest
North Texas -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs beaten Favs, 2-11 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Northern Illinois -- 10-2 ATS vs Western Michigan, 0-5 ATS vs Miami-Ohio
Northwestern -- 7-0 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 1-7 ATS before playing Iowa
Notre Dame -- 5-0 ATS with Rest versus below avg opponents, 1-11 ATS at Home vs Navy
Ohio State -- 15-1 ATS after playing Penn State, 0-4 ATS vs Indiana
Ohio U -- 6-1 ATS vs Akron, 1-10 ATS after scoring at least 35 points
Oklahoma -- 9-1 ATS before playing Baylor, 1-5 ATS vs Baylor
Oklahoma State -- 8-0 ATS at Home vs Baylor, 0-4 ATS vs Kansas State
Old Dominion -- 4-0 ATS as Dogs off a SU win, 1-7 ATS after allowing at least 35 points
Oregon -- 13-2 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games, 0-5 ATS vs Washington State
Oregon State -- New Head Coach, 12-1 ATS after playing Washington State, 1-9 ATS as Home Dogs off back-to-back Road Games
Penn State -- 6-1 ATS after playing Indiana, 1-7 ATS as Dogs after scoring at least 35 pts
Pittsburgh -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Road Dogs, 2-11 ATS on the Road vs the ACC
Purdue -- 8-0 ATS as Conf Favs >12.5 pts, 0-9 ATS vs Wisconsin
Rice -- 12-0 ATS as Conf Home Dogs off a SU win, 1-6 ATS as non-Conf Home Favs less than 15 pts
Rutgers -- 9-0 ATS as Dogs in the second of back-to-back Road games, 1-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games
San Diego State -- 15-3 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-4 ATS as Favs < TD with Revenge
San Jose State -- 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 1-8 ATS with Rest
SMU -- New Head Coach, 8-2 ATS with Rest, 0-11 ATS vs Baylor
South Alabama -- 6-1 ATS on the Road vs rivals off a SU loss, 1-4 ATS vs opponents off a SU Dog win
South Carolina -- 7-1 ATS vs Georgia, 1-5 ATS after playing Vanderbilt
South Florida -- 8-1 ATS as non-Conf Road Dogs of at least a Touchdown, 2-9 ATS vs Cincinnati
Southern Mississippi -- 7-1 ATS on the Road after scoring >34.5 pts, 2-10 ATS on Weekdays
Stanford -- 5-0 ATS vs Oregon State, 2-9 ATS off a Double Digit SU loss
Syracuse -- 12-2 ATS as Home Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 1-5 ATS vs Pittsburgh
TCU -- 7-1 ATS vs Baylor, 0-8 ATS off SU Dog win vs below avg opponents
Temple -- 8-1 ATS vs UConn, 0-10 ATS as Favs with Rest
Tennessee -- 7-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 0-6 ATS at Alabama
Texas -- 5-0 ATS vs Texas Tech, 2-8 ATS after allowing >39.5 pts
Texas A&M -- 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-9 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- 7-0 ATS after allowing 35 or more pts vs non-Conf rivals, 0-4 ATS as Conf Home Favs
Texas Tech -- 5-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 3-10 ATS as Home Favs
Toledo -- 7-1 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 2-11 ATS on the Road vs better than avg non-Conference opponents
Troy -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 1-9 ATS off back-to-back SU wins
Tulane -- 4-1 ATS on the Road after SU Dog win, 1-9 ATS on Weekdays
Tulsa -- New Head Coach, 8-0 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 0-9 ATS versus the Big Twelve
UCF -- 9-0 ATS as Weekday Favs <27.5 pts, 2-7 ATS as Road Favs
UCLA -- 6-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-7 ATS after playing Cal
UMASS -- 6-0 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS with Revenge off Conf Play
UNLV -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS Weekday Home games, 1-8 ATS after playing Nevada
USC -- 5-0 ATS at Cal, Fav in Stanford series is 0-7 ATS
Utah -- 6-1 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts, 1-8 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Utah State -- 7-1 ATS Weekday Road games, 1-9 ATS vs Boise State
UTEP -- 5-0 ATS before playing Southern Mississippi, 1-11 ATS vs Rice
UTSA -- 6-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conf Play, 0-4 ATS as beaten Favs
Vanderbilt -- 7-1 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 2-8 as Favs vs beaten Favs
Virginia -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs Georgia Tech, 0-7 ATS versus Duke
Virginia Tech -- Visitor is 5-0 ATS in Georgia Tech series, 0-4 ATS as Weekday Favs
Wake Forest -- 5-0 ATS at Army, 0-12 ATS as Favs >13 pts
Washington -- 8-0 ATS with Rest in Conf Play, 0-9 ATS vs Arizona State
Washington State -- 5-0 ATS vs Oregon, 1-11 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road games
West Virginia -- 11-0 ATS vs rivals who were beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS as Home Favs <10 pts
Western Kentucky -- 4-0 ATS Weekday Road games, 1-8 ATS as Favs vs above avg rivals
Western Michigan -- 4-0 ATS vs Bowling Green, 2-10 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Wisconsin -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS with Rest, 4-13 ATS last four games of season
Wyoming -- 6-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-7 ATS as Favs >10 pts
Here is a look before the 2015 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- Coach is 11-0 ATS as Dog <4.5 points and 9-1 ATS off non-Division Play vs above avg rivals, 0-5 ATS on MNF, 1-8 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Atlanta -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 6-1 ATS off MNF, 0-5 ATS on the Road after scoring at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS in the first of back-to-back Home games
Baltimore -- 5-0 ATS vs Miami, 6-1 ATS with Rest, 0-5 ATS as Dogs of at least a Touchdown, 1-6 ATS before playing Cleveland
Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 10-2 ATS versus Cincinnati, 9-2 ATS as Div Favs of at least a Field Goal, 1-8 ATS after playing New England, 0-6 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Carolina -- 9-1 ATS with Conf Revenge, 11-3 ATS at New Orleans, 0-5 ATS before their Bye Week, 0-7 ATS after playing New Orleans
Chicago -- New Head Coach, 12-2 ATS before playing Detroit, 8-1 ATS as Road Favs off a SU Dog win, 1-14 ATS off non-Conference Play, 1-7 ATS before playing Minnesota
Cincinnati -- 9-0 ATS as non-Conference Home Dogs, 9-1 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 1-6 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 2-10 ATS vs Buffalo
Cleveland -- 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 5-0 ATS after scoring <13.5 pts, 1-6 ATS at Home vs Baltimore, 2-7 ATS after playing Cincinnati
Dallas -- 10-0 ATS as non-Conference Dogs, 5-0 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-9 ATS as Home Favs TD or greater, 0-5 ATS on MNF
Denver -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs Oakland, 5-0 ATS with Rest, 1-5 ATS on MNF, 0-8 ATS vs Indianapolis
Detroit -- 8-1 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 7-1 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-8 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 0-5 ATS vs New Orleans
Green Bay -- 7-0 ATS before playing on MNF, 9-0 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 0-5 ATS off MNF
Houston -- 9-1 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 7-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-4 ATS on Thursdays, 2-9 ATS after playing Tennessee
Indianapolis -- 11-1 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS vs Denver, 3-17 ATS at Home vs. New England, 0-6 ATS as Road Dogs with Revenge
Jacksonville -- 4-1 ATS with Rest, 4-1 ATS after playing Houston, 0-5 ATS as Favs of at least a TD, 0-5 ATS before playing Indianapolis
Kansas City -- 5-0 ATS vs AFC East, 9-0 ATS as non-Division Favs >7.5 pts, 1-11 ATS as Division Favs <6.5 points, 0-6 ATS after playing Oakland
Miami -- 7-1 ATS vs AFC West, 7-2 ATS vs San Diego, 0-6 ATS on MNF, 1-10 ATS as Home Favs >6.5 pts
Minnesota -- 6-0 ATS before Bye Week, 12-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-5 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS on MNF
New England -- 9-3 ATS vs Pittsburgh, 10-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-5 ATS vs Jets, 2-16 ATS as Favs >11.5 pts
New Orleans -- 9-0 ATS vs NFC North, 6-1 ATS after playing Tampa Bay, 1-6 ATS vs NFC West, 0-6 ATS in 2nd of back-to-back Road games
NY Giants -- 6-1 ATS vs NFC North, 5-0 ATS vs Jets, 1-7 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games, 1-5 ATS as Home Dogs
NY Jets -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS before Bye Week, 8-2 ATS as Dogs vs AFC South, 1-6 ATS with Rest, 0-11 ATS as beaten Favs
Oakland -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after scoring a TD or less, 5-1 ATS vs poor Conf rivals, 0-5 ATS before playing San Diego, 0-4 ATS before Bye Week
Philadelphia -- 6-1 ATS on the Road on MNF, 9-4 ATS vs Atlanta, 1-8 ATS vs NFC West, 1-8 ATS before playing Giants
Pittsburgh -- 9-1 ATS vs above avg opponents, 6-1 ATS before playing Cleveland, 1-7 ATS before playing Cincinnati, 1-6 ATS vs AFC West
St. Louis -- 6-1 ATS vs Washington, 13-0 ATS as Favs after scoring 35 or > points, 1-7 ATS on Thursdays, 1-8 ATS at Home vs NFC North
San Diego -- 11-0 ATS vs AFC South, 7-1 ATS at Denver, 0-7 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 1-6 ATS before playing Denver
San Francisco -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS on MNF, 8-2 ATS at Arizona, 0-8 ATS after allowing >27.5 pts, 1-6 ATS before playing St. Louis
Seattle -- 8-1 ATS on MNF, 11-0 ATS before playing San Francisco, 7-0 ATS vs San Francisco, 2-9 ATS on the Road in non-Conf Play, 0-3 ATS at St. Louis
Tampa Bay -- 5-1 ATS of Thursday Play, 7-0 ATS as Road Dogs after scoring at least 35 pts, 0-7 ATS before Bye Week, 1-7 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee -- 5-1 ATS of Thursday Play, 5-0 ATS on MNF, 0-6 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-7 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
Washington -- 12-3 ATS before playing Giants, 5-1 ATS before playing Dallas, 1-13 ATS at Home on MNF, 1-6 ATS with Rest
2015 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Atlanta, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Atlanta, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2015 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
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http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com