Tweet
BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 35 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2013 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2013 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 6-0 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 5-0 ATS at Home versus Unlv, 2-10 ATS after scoring Single Digits
Akron -- 4-0 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-6 ATS after playing Kent
Alabama -- 25-11 ATS as Road Favorites, 41-23 ATS last 5 seasons
UAB -- 4-0 ATS versus Southern Miss, 0-5 ATS as Favorites greater than 11 points
Arizona -- 7-1 ATS vs Usc, 1-7 ATS after playing Usc
Arizona State -- 5-0 ATS before playing Oregon, 0-7 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS versus Texas A&M, 1-8 ATS before playing Alabama
Arkansas State -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS in Game One, 0-4 ATS vs Western Kentucky
Army -- 11-1 ATS as Dogs in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-10 ATS on the Road with Rest
Auburn -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after allowing >35 points, 1-4 ATS versus Arkansas
Ball State -- 7-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-6 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
Baylor -- 5-1 ATS versus Texas, 1-5 ATS versus Tcu
Boise State -- 7-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 0-5 ATS vs Nevada
Boston College -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 1-7 ATS after playing Clemson
Bowling Green -- 6-0 ATS as before playing Eastern Michigan, 1-8 ATS with Rest
BYU -- 5-0 ATS before playing Utah, 1-6 ATS vs Utah State
Buffalo -- 3-0 ATS vs Toledo, 1-8 ATS on weekdays
California -- New Head Coach, 9-2 ATS in first lined Game, 2-10 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Central Florida -- 5-1 ATS in first line Game, 2-11 ATS in Conference Play
Central Michigan -- 7-0 ATS on the Road after scoring Single Digits, 0-5 ATS after playing Northern Illinois
Cincinnati -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-6 ATS at Home vs Lousville
Clemson -- 5-0 ATS after playing Florida State, 2-10 ATS after playing NC State
Colorado -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Arizona, 0-9 ATS as Favs versus the Pac 12
Colorado State -- 6-2 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-8 ATS vs opponents with Revenge
Connecticut -- 14-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-7 ATS vs Temple
Duke -- 5-0 ATS vs Virginia, 1-6 ATS vs Georgia Tech
East Carolina -- 14-1 ATS as Conference Road Dogs of six or less points, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Eastern Michigan -- 8-0 ATS in last Road Game, 1-5 ATS off a SU Dog win
Florida -- 6-0 ATS after allowing less than a Touchdown, 1-5 ATS versus Miami
Florida Atlantic -- 4-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-4 ATS vs Middle Tennessee State
Florida International -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS on the Road after scoring 35 or more points, 1-7 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home Games
Florida State -- 9-0 ATS in Bowl Games, 1-10 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 5-1 ATS with Rest, 0-7 ATS vs Boise State
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-6 ATS vs South Carolina
Georgia Tech -- 7-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-8 ATS on the Road vs opponents off a SU Dog win
Hawaii -- 5-1 ATS vs Unlv, 0-6 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Houston -- 6-1 ATS after playing Rice, 0-5 ATS after scoring 3 or less points
Idaho -- New Head Coach, 6-2 ATS in their first lined Game, 0-8 ATS on the Road with Rest
Illinois -- 8-0 ATS as Dogs off back-to-back Straight Up wins, 1-8 ATS vs Michigan State
Indiana -- 5-1 ATS after playing Illinois, 2-14 ATS before playing Purdue
Iowa -- 5-1 ATS after playing Ohio State, 0-10 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs
Iowa State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Oklahoma State, 1-6 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs
Kansas -- 10-1 ATS at Home versus below avg opponents, 1-11 ATS after playing Oklahoma
Kansas State -- 8-1 ATS after playing Texas, 1-6 ATS as Road Favs >6 points
Kent State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Bowling Green, 0-5 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS before playing Georgia, 0-6 ATS vs Florida
UL-Lafayette -- 8-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, Home team is 1-9 ATS in La-Monroe series
UL-Monroe -- 11-0 ATS of back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 1-4 ATS with Rest
LSU -- 7-0 ATS as Dogs off SU and ATS loss, 1-5 ATS vs Arkansas
Louisiana Tech -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS in Conference Play, 1-4 ATS vs Rice
Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 2-8 ATS with Rest versus below avg opponents
Marshall -- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs > 12 points
Maryland -- 4-0 ATS after playing Virginia Tech, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Memphis -- 12-0 ATS in last Road Game, 0-9 ATS as Single Digit Favs
Miami -- 6-1 ATS at Florida State, 1-13 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS wins
Miami OH -- 6-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-6 ATS vs Cincinnati
Michigan -- 5-0 ATS before playing Northwestern, 5-12 ATS as Road Dogs
Michigan State -- 8-1 ATS vs Illinois, 0-5 ATS vs Nebraska
MTSU -- 6-0 ATS as Favs off a SU Dog win, 0-6 ATS as Home Dogs
Minnesota -- 4-0 ATS after playing Indiana, 1-6 ATS as Dogs
Mississippi -- 4-0 ATS after playing Georgia, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs off a SU win
Mississippi State -- 4-0 ATS vs Kentucky, 2-10 ATS after playing Auburn
Missouri -- 45-3 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 7-12 ATS as Home Favs
Navy -- 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-6 ATS off a SU Dog win
Nebraska -- 5-0 ATS vs Michigan State, 1-6 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home Games
Nevada -- New Head Coach, 12-2 ATS at Home in Conference Play, 2-8 ATS at Utep
New Mexico -- 6-1 ATS after playing New Mexico State, Home team in New Mexico State series is 0-5 ATS
New Mexico State -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS at New Mexico, 0-14 ATS at Home vs opponents with Revenge
North Carolina -- 6-0 ATS vs East Carolina, 0-4 ATS versus Georgia Tech
North Carolina State -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS after scoring Single Digits, 1-5 ATS after playing North Carolina
North Texas -- 5-1 ATS vs Idaho, 0-5 ATS as non-Conference Favs
Northern Illinois -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS vs Western Michigan, Home team in Ball State series is 0-4 ATS
Northwestern -- 16-2 ATS before playing Michigan, 0-8 ATS at Home vs Minnesota
Notre Dame -- 5-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-5 ATS before playing Navy
Ohio State -- 7-1 ATS vs Michigan, 0-6 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games
Ohio U -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Marshall, 0-6 ATS after scoring at least 35 points
Oklahoma -- 9-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 1-7 ATS as Road Favs off back-to-back Straight Up wins
Oklahoma State -- 5-0 ATS before playing Baylor, 0-5 ATS as Home Dogs
Oregon -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games, 1-8 ATS before playing Oregon State
Oregon State -- 10-1 ATS after playing Washington State, 1-7 ATS as Home Dogs off back-to-back Road Games
Penn State -- 8-1 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Illinois
Pittsburgh -- 8-1 ATS off a SU Dog win, 1-8 ATS as Favs >21.5 pts
Purdue -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS before playing Illinois, 0-6 ATS after playing Ohio State
Rice -- 27-4 ATS as Home Dogs in Conference Play, 1-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games
Rutgers -- 6-1 ATS after playing UConn, 0-3 ATS vs Louisville
San Diego State -- 4-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-10 ATS vs New Mexico
San Jose State -- New Head Coach, 8-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-5 ATS with Rest
SMU -- 4-0 ATS on weekdays, 0-3 ATS vs Texas A&M
South Alabama -- 4-0 ATS first four Road Games, 0-5 ATS to finish the season
South Carolina -- 9-1 ATS at Home off a Double Digit ATS loss, 2-8 ATS at Arkansas
South Florida -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Double Digit Dogs with Revenge, 0-6 ATS vs Rutgers
Southern Mississippi -- New Head Coach, 8-0 ATS at East Carolina, 1-6 ATS after playing Marshall
Stanford -- 8-0 ATS before playing Oregon State, 0-5 ATS as Single Digit Road Dogs
Syracuse -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 2-11 ATS on the Road as beaten Favs
TCU -- 4-0 ATS before playing Smu, 0-8 ATS off SU Dog win vs below avg opponents
Temple -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS vs UConn, 1-7 ATS on Weekdays
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS at Tcu, 0-7 ATS as Home Dogs
Texas -- 4-1 ATS with Rest, 1-8 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts
Texas A&M -- 5-0 ATS after playing Smu, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- 2-0 ATS first and last Games of the season, 0-3 ATS on the Road
Texas Tech -- New Head Coach, 12-2 ATS before playing Texas, 2-6 ATS as Home Favs
Toledo -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Eastern Michigan, 2-10 ATS on the Road vs better than avg non-Conference opponents
Troy -- 6-1 ATS on weekdays, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Tulane -- 4-0 ATS on the Road after scoring <10.5 pts, 0-8 ATS versus Tulsa
Tulsa -- 10-2 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS versus the Big Twelve
UCLA -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Arizona State, 0-5 ATS at Arizona
UMASS -- 2-0 ATS of an ATS cover, 4-8 ATS
UNLV -- 11-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-5 ATS at Air Force
USC -- 7-1 ATS versus Cal, 1-6 ATS before playing Stanford
Utah -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs below avg opponents, 2-10 ATS on the Road vs the Pac 12
Utah State -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS after playing Utah, 1-7 ATS vs Boise State
UTEP -- New Head Coach, 8-2 ATS versus New Mexico, 0-9 ATS after playing Tulsa
UTSA -- 4-0 ATS to finish the season
Vanderbilt -- 10-2 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-9 ATS before playing Georgia
Virginia -- 11-2 ATS on the Road in Conference Play off back-to-back ATS losses, 0-5 ATS versus Duke
Virginia Tech -- 18-4 ATS as Road Favs of eight or less points, 0-6 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Wake Forest -- NC State series Host is 6-0 ATS, 0-12 ATS as Favs >13 pts
Washington -- 6-0 ATS with Rest, 0-7 ATS Arizona State
Washington State -- 10-2 ATS after playing Cal, 0-7 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts
West Virginia -- 13-1 ATS as Conference Dogs of two or more points, 3-12 ATS Home vs opponents off a Double Digit SU loss
Western Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Arkansas State, 0-4 ATS as Favs > a TouchDown
Western Michigan -- New Head Coach, 1-6 ATS on the Road vs the Big Ten, 0-6 ATS before playing Eastern Michigan
Wisconsin -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS after playing Northwestern, 2-7 ATS vs Iowa
Wyoming -- 5-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 1-5 ATS as Double Digit Favs
Here is a look before the 2013 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS before Seattle, 8-2 ATS Home vs NFC North, 0-5 ATS a MNF Favs, 1-4 ATS after playing Seattle
Atlanta -- 6-0 ATS before playing New Orleans, 8-0 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 1-4 ATS at New Orleans, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Tampa Bay
Baltimore -- 10-1 ATS with Rest, 6-1 ATS as Division Dogs, 1-5 ATS as Dogs > a TouchDown, 0-4 ATS at Detroit
Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 5-1 vs AFC North, 4-0 ATS as Favs with Rest, 1-7 ATS after playing New England, 1-5 ATS before Bye
Carolina -- 10-2 ATS after allowing at least 35 points, 10-1 ATS as Home Dogs > a TouchDown, 0-5 ATS before Bye, 1-6 ATS after playing New Orleans
Chicago -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS before playing Detroit, 8-1 ATS as Road Favs off a SU Dog win, 2-9 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-7 ATS before playing Minnesota
Cincinnati -- 5-1 ATS vs AFC West, 6-1 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 0-6 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 6-16 ATS as Home Favs
Cleveland -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS as Home Favs versus AFC East, 6-1 ATS as Road Favs, 1-6 ATS at Home vs non-Conference opponents, 1-5 ATS after playing Cincinnati
Dallas -- 7-1 ATS with Rest, 5-1 ATS at Home vs NFC West, 17-134 ATS when they lose Straight Up, 0-4 ATS after playing Washington
Denver -- 7-1 ATS vs Cowboys, 10-2 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 0-6 ATS at Home vs San Diego, 1-5 ATS before playing Oakland
Detroit -- 6-1 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 5-0 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-9 ATS on the Road off non-Conference Play, 0-6 ATS at Arizona
Green Bay -- 10-2 ATS before playing Minnesota, 7-0 ATS with Rest, 2-9 ATS versus NFC South, 0-6 ATS as Road Favs >6 pts
Houston -- 8-0 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 4-0 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-4 vs San Diego, 1-4 ATS vs AFC West
Indianapolis -- 8-2 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 4-0 ATS vs Denver, 0-7 ATS as Favs in last Home Game, 0-5 ATS on the Road as beaten Favs
Jacksonville -- New Head Coach, 18-4 ATS before playing Tennessee, 5-0 ATS vs Oakland, 2-6 ATS after playing Indianapolis, 1-4 ATS on the Road vs AFC North
Kansas City -- New Head Coach, 12-3 ATS second of back-to-back Road Games, 8-0 ATS as non-Division Favs >7.5 pts, 0-11 ATS as Division Favs, 0-9 ATS vs AFC East
Miami -- 4-0 ATS after scoring >35 pts, 4-0 vs Carolina, 2-8 ATS after playing the Jets, 1-8 ATS as Home Favs >6.5 pts
Minnesota -- 6-1 ATS vs Dallas, 4-0 ATS as Favs with Rest, 2-10 ATS as Favs before playing Green Bay, 2-8 ATS on MNF
New England -- 5-0 ATS on MNF, 9-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-7 ATS vs New Orleans, 3-5 ATS as Favs >11 pts
New Orleans -- 4-0 ATS on MNF, 5-1 ATS as non-Division Dogs six or greater points, 0-5 ATS on Thursdays, 2-10 ATS at Home vs Carolina
NY Giants -- 11-2 ATS after playing Washington, 11-2 ATS as Favs vs NFC West, 0-5 ATS vs Washington, 1-4 ATS before Bye
NY Jets -- 7-1 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 7-0 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 1-10 ATS when Favs as beaten Favs, 1-8 ATS vs Baltimore
Oakland -- 4-0 ATS vs Philadelphia, 10-2 ATS on the Road before Bye, 1-8 ATS after playing San Diego, 1-9 ATS with Rest
Philadelphia -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Kansas City, 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 0-6 ATS vs NFC North, 0-5 ATS before playing Giants
Pittsburgh -- 12-3 ATS vs Jets, 5-0 ATS on the Road vs >.500 Div opponent, 1-11 ATS as Favs before playing Cincinnati, 0-5 ATS vs AFC West
St. Louis -- 5-1 ATS vs San Francisco, 9-0 ATS after scoring 35 or > points, 0-4 ATS on MNF, 2-9 ATS after playing San Francisco
San Diego -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS before playing San Francisco, 6-0 ATS at Denver, 1-10 ATS as Favs >10 pts, 1-9 ATS on the Road after allowing Single Digits
San Francisco -- 6-1 ATS with Rest, 7-1 ATS at Arizona, 0-5 ATS before Bye, 0-4 ATS on MNF
Seattle -- 4-0 ATS on MNF, 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 2-11 ATS after scoring >35 pts, 1-7 ATS after MNF
Tampa Bay -- 5-1 ATS with Rest, 8-1 ATS as Div Favs, 8-21 ATS at Home, 0-4 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Favorites, 5-0 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 0-7 ATS vs Chargers, 2-8 ATS after scoring >35 pts
Washington -- 12-2 ATS before playing Giants, 6-1 ATS after playing Dallas, 0-5 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-4 ATS Home vs NFC West
2013 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games Be careful of sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say San Francisco, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against San Francisco, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the sandwich' game, laying way too much wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2013 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Rich Green is the editor of FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 35 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2013 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2013 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 6-0 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 5-0 ATS at Home versus Unlv, 2-10 ATS after scoring Single Digits
Akron -- 4-0 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-6 ATS after playing Kent
Alabama -- 25-11 ATS as Road Favorites, 41-23 ATS last 5 seasons
UAB -- 4-0 ATS versus Southern Miss, 0-5 ATS as Favorites greater than 11 points
Arizona -- 7-1 ATS vs Usc, 1-7 ATS after playing Usc
Arizona State -- 5-0 ATS before playing Oregon, 0-7 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS versus Texas A&M, 1-8 ATS before playing Alabama
Arkansas State -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS in Game One, 0-4 ATS vs Western Kentucky
Army -- 11-1 ATS as Dogs in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-10 ATS on the Road with Rest
Auburn -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after allowing >35 points, 1-4 ATS versus Arkansas
Ball State -- 7-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-6 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
Baylor -- 5-1 ATS versus Texas, 1-5 ATS versus Tcu
Boise State -- 7-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 0-5 ATS vs Nevada
Boston College -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 1-7 ATS after playing Clemson
Bowling Green -- 6-0 ATS as before playing Eastern Michigan, 1-8 ATS with Rest
BYU -- 5-0 ATS before playing Utah, 1-6 ATS vs Utah State
Buffalo -- 3-0 ATS vs Toledo, 1-8 ATS on weekdays
California -- New Head Coach, 9-2 ATS in first lined Game, 2-10 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Central Florida -- 5-1 ATS in first line Game, 2-11 ATS in Conference Play
Central Michigan -- 7-0 ATS on the Road after scoring Single Digits, 0-5 ATS after playing Northern Illinois
Cincinnati -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-6 ATS at Home vs Lousville
Clemson -- 5-0 ATS after playing Florida State, 2-10 ATS after playing NC State
Colorado -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Arizona, 0-9 ATS as Favs versus the Pac 12
Colorado State -- 6-2 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-8 ATS vs opponents with Revenge
Connecticut -- 14-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-7 ATS vs Temple
Duke -- 5-0 ATS vs Virginia, 1-6 ATS vs Georgia Tech
East Carolina -- 14-1 ATS as Conference Road Dogs of six or less points, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Eastern Michigan -- 8-0 ATS in last Road Game, 1-5 ATS off a SU Dog win
Florida -- 6-0 ATS after allowing less than a Touchdown, 1-5 ATS versus Miami
Florida Atlantic -- 4-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-4 ATS vs Middle Tennessee State
Florida International -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS on the Road after scoring 35 or more points, 1-7 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home Games
Florida State -- 9-0 ATS in Bowl Games, 1-10 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 5-1 ATS with Rest, 0-7 ATS vs Boise State
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-6 ATS vs South Carolina
Georgia Tech -- 7-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-8 ATS on the Road vs opponents off a SU Dog win
Hawaii -- 5-1 ATS vs Unlv, 0-6 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Houston -- 6-1 ATS after playing Rice, 0-5 ATS after scoring 3 or less points
Idaho -- New Head Coach, 6-2 ATS in their first lined Game, 0-8 ATS on the Road with Rest
Illinois -- 8-0 ATS as Dogs off back-to-back Straight Up wins, 1-8 ATS vs Michigan State
Indiana -- 5-1 ATS after playing Illinois, 2-14 ATS before playing Purdue
Iowa -- 5-1 ATS after playing Ohio State, 0-10 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs
Iowa State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Oklahoma State, 1-6 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs
Kansas -- 10-1 ATS at Home versus below avg opponents, 1-11 ATS after playing Oklahoma
Kansas State -- 8-1 ATS after playing Texas, 1-6 ATS as Road Favs >6 points
Kent State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Bowling Green, 0-5 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS before playing Georgia, 0-6 ATS vs Florida
UL-Lafayette -- 8-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, Home team is 1-9 ATS in La-Monroe series
UL-Monroe -- 11-0 ATS of back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 1-4 ATS with Rest
LSU -- 7-0 ATS as Dogs off SU and ATS loss, 1-5 ATS vs Arkansas
Louisiana Tech -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS in Conference Play, 1-4 ATS vs Rice
Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 2-8 ATS with Rest versus below avg opponents
Marshall -- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs > 12 points
Maryland -- 4-0 ATS after playing Virginia Tech, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Memphis -- 12-0 ATS in last Road Game, 0-9 ATS as Single Digit Favs
Miami -- 6-1 ATS at Florida State, 1-13 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS wins
Miami OH -- 6-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-6 ATS vs Cincinnati
Michigan -- 5-0 ATS before playing Northwestern, 5-12 ATS as Road Dogs
Michigan State -- 8-1 ATS vs Illinois, 0-5 ATS vs Nebraska
MTSU -- 6-0 ATS as Favs off a SU Dog win, 0-6 ATS as Home Dogs
Minnesota -- 4-0 ATS after playing Indiana, 1-6 ATS as Dogs
Mississippi -- 4-0 ATS after playing Georgia, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs off a SU win
Mississippi State -- 4-0 ATS vs Kentucky, 2-10 ATS after playing Auburn
Missouri -- 45-3 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 7-12 ATS as Home Favs
Navy -- 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-6 ATS off a SU Dog win
Nebraska -- 5-0 ATS vs Michigan State, 1-6 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home Games
Nevada -- New Head Coach, 12-2 ATS at Home in Conference Play, 2-8 ATS at Utep
New Mexico -- 6-1 ATS after playing New Mexico State, Home team in New Mexico State series is 0-5 ATS
New Mexico State -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS at New Mexico, 0-14 ATS at Home vs opponents with Revenge
North Carolina -- 6-0 ATS vs East Carolina, 0-4 ATS versus Georgia Tech
North Carolina State -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS after scoring Single Digits, 1-5 ATS after playing North Carolina
North Texas -- 5-1 ATS vs Idaho, 0-5 ATS as non-Conference Favs
Northern Illinois -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS vs Western Michigan, Home team in Ball State series is 0-4 ATS
Northwestern -- 16-2 ATS before playing Michigan, 0-8 ATS at Home vs Minnesota
Notre Dame -- 5-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-5 ATS before playing Navy
Ohio State -- 7-1 ATS vs Michigan, 0-6 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games
Ohio U -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Marshall, 0-6 ATS after scoring at least 35 points
Oklahoma -- 9-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 1-7 ATS as Road Favs off back-to-back Straight Up wins
Oklahoma State -- 5-0 ATS before playing Baylor, 0-5 ATS as Home Dogs
Oregon -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games, 1-8 ATS before playing Oregon State
Oregon State -- 10-1 ATS after playing Washington State, 1-7 ATS as Home Dogs off back-to-back Road Games
Penn State -- 8-1 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Illinois
Pittsburgh -- 8-1 ATS off a SU Dog win, 1-8 ATS as Favs >21.5 pts
Purdue -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS before playing Illinois, 0-6 ATS after playing Ohio State
Rice -- 27-4 ATS as Home Dogs in Conference Play, 1-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games
Rutgers -- 6-1 ATS after playing UConn, 0-3 ATS vs Louisville
San Diego State -- 4-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-10 ATS vs New Mexico
San Jose State -- New Head Coach, 8-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-5 ATS with Rest
SMU -- 4-0 ATS on weekdays, 0-3 ATS vs Texas A&M
South Alabama -- 4-0 ATS first four Road Games, 0-5 ATS to finish the season
South Carolina -- 9-1 ATS at Home off a Double Digit ATS loss, 2-8 ATS at Arkansas
South Florida -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Double Digit Dogs with Revenge, 0-6 ATS vs Rutgers
Southern Mississippi -- New Head Coach, 8-0 ATS at East Carolina, 1-6 ATS after playing Marshall
Stanford -- 8-0 ATS before playing Oregon State, 0-5 ATS as Single Digit Road Dogs
Syracuse -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 2-11 ATS on the Road as beaten Favs
TCU -- 4-0 ATS before playing Smu, 0-8 ATS off SU Dog win vs below avg opponents
Temple -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS vs UConn, 1-7 ATS on Weekdays
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS at Tcu, 0-7 ATS as Home Dogs
Texas -- 4-1 ATS with Rest, 1-8 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts
Texas A&M -- 5-0 ATS after playing Smu, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- 2-0 ATS first and last Games of the season, 0-3 ATS on the Road
Texas Tech -- New Head Coach, 12-2 ATS before playing Texas, 2-6 ATS as Home Favs
Toledo -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Eastern Michigan, 2-10 ATS on the Road vs better than avg non-Conference opponents
Troy -- 6-1 ATS on weekdays, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Tulane -- 4-0 ATS on the Road after scoring <10.5 pts, 0-8 ATS versus Tulsa
Tulsa -- 10-2 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS versus the Big Twelve
UCLA -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Arizona State, 0-5 ATS at Arizona
UMASS -- 2-0 ATS of an ATS cover, 4-8 ATS
UNLV -- 11-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-5 ATS at Air Force
USC -- 7-1 ATS versus Cal, 1-6 ATS before playing Stanford
Utah -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs below avg opponents, 2-10 ATS on the Road vs the Pac 12
Utah State -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS after playing Utah, 1-7 ATS vs Boise State
UTEP -- New Head Coach, 8-2 ATS versus New Mexico, 0-9 ATS after playing Tulsa
UTSA -- 4-0 ATS to finish the season
Vanderbilt -- 10-2 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-9 ATS before playing Georgia
Virginia -- 11-2 ATS on the Road in Conference Play off back-to-back ATS losses, 0-5 ATS versus Duke
Virginia Tech -- 18-4 ATS as Road Favs of eight or less points, 0-6 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Wake Forest -- NC State series Host is 6-0 ATS, 0-12 ATS as Favs >13 pts
Washington -- 6-0 ATS with Rest, 0-7 ATS Arizona State
Washington State -- 10-2 ATS after playing Cal, 0-7 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts
West Virginia -- 13-1 ATS as Conference Dogs of two or more points, 3-12 ATS Home vs opponents off a Double Digit SU loss
Western Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Arkansas State, 0-4 ATS as Favs > a TouchDown
Western Michigan -- New Head Coach, 1-6 ATS on the Road vs the Big Ten, 0-6 ATS before playing Eastern Michigan
Wisconsin -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS after playing Northwestern, 2-7 ATS vs Iowa
Wyoming -- 5-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 1-5 ATS as Double Digit Favs
Here is a look before the 2013 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS before Seattle, 8-2 ATS Home vs NFC North, 0-5 ATS a MNF Favs, 1-4 ATS after playing Seattle
Atlanta -- 6-0 ATS before playing New Orleans, 8-0 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 1-4 ATS at New Orleans, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Tampa Bay
Baltimore -- 10-1 ATS with Rest, 6-1 ATS as Division Dogs, 1-5 ATS as Dogs > a TouchDown, 0-4 ATS at Detroit
Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 5-1 vs AFC North, 4-0 ATS as Favs with Rest, 1-7 ATS after playing New England, 1-5 ATS before Bye
Carolina -- 10-2 ATS after allowing at least 35 points, 10-1 ATS as Home Dogs > a TouchDown, 0-5 ATS before Bye, 1-6 ATS after playing New Orleans
Chicago -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS before playing Detroit, 8-1 ATS as Road Favs off a SU Dog win, 2-9 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-7 ATS before playing Minnesota
Cincinnati -- 5-1 ATS vs AFC West, 6-1 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 0-6 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 6-16 ATS as Home Favs
Cleveland -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS as Home Favs versus AFC East, 6-1 ATS as Road Favs, 1-6 ATS at Home vs non-Conference opponents, 1-5 ATS after playing Cincinnati
Dallas -- 7-1 ATS with Rest, 5-1 ATS at Home vs NFC West, 17-134 ATS when they lose Straight Up, 0-4 ATS after playing Washington
Denver -- 7-1 ATS vs Cowboys, 10-2 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 0-6 ATS at Home vs San Diego, 1-5 ATS before playing Oakland
Detroit -- 6-1 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 5-0 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-9 ATS on the Road off non-Conference Play, 0-6 ATS at Arizona
Green Bay -- 10-2 ATS before playing Minnesota, 7-0 ATS with Rest, 2-9 ATS versus NFC South, 0-6 ATS as Road Favs >6 pts
Houston -- 8-0 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 4-0 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-4 vs San Diego, 1-4 ATS vs AFC West
Indianapolis -- 8-2 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 4-0 ATS vs Denver, 0-7 ATS as Favs in last Home Game, 0-5 ATS on the Road as beaten Favs
Jacksonville -- New Head Coach, 18-4 ATS before playing Tennessee, 5-0 ATS vs Oakland, 2-6 ATS after playing Indianapolis, 1-4 ATS on the Road vs AFC North
Kansas City -- New Head Coach, 12-3 ATS second of back-to-back Road Games, 8-0 ATS as non-Division Favs >7.5 pts, 0-11 ATS as Division Favs, 0-9 ATS vs AFC East
Miami -- 4-0 ATS after scoring >35 pts, 4-0 vs Carolina, 2-8 ATS after playing the Jets, 1-8 ATS as Home Favs >6.5 pts
Minnesota -- 6-1 ATS vs Dallas, 4-0 ATS as Favs with Rest, 2-10 ATS as Favs before playing Green Bay, 2-8 ATS on MNF
New England -- 5-0 ATS on MNF, 9-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-7 ATS vs New Orleans, 3-5 ATS as Favs >11 pts
New Orleans -- 4-0 ATS on MNF, 5-1 ATS as non-Division Dogs six or greater points, 0-5 ATS on Thursdays, 2-10 ATS at Home vs Carolina
NY Giants -- 11-2 ATS after playing Washington, 11-2 ATS as Favs vs NFC West, 0-5 ATS vs Washington, 1-4 ATS before Bye
NY Jets -- 7-1 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 7-0 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 1-10 ATS when Favs as beaten Favs, 1-8 ATS vs Baltimore
Oakland -- 4-0 ATS vs Philadelphia, 10-2 ATS on the Road before Bye, 1-8 ATS after playing San Diego, 1-9 ATS with Rest
Philadelphia -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Kansas City, 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 0-6 ATS vs NFC North, 0-5 ATS before playing Giants
Pittsburgh -- 12-3 ATS vs Jets, 5-0 ATS on the Road vs >.500 Div opponent, 1-11 ATS as Favs before playing Cincinnati, 0-5 ATS vs AFC West
St. Louis -- 5-1 ATS vs San Francisco, 9-0 ATS after scoring 35 or > points, 0-4 ATS on MNF, 2-9 ATS after playing San Francisco
San Diego -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS before playing San Francisco, 6-0 ATS at Denver, 1-10 ATS as Favs >10 pts, 1-9 ATS on the Road after allowing Single Digits
San Francisco -- 6-1 ATS with Rest, 7-1 ATS at Arizona, 0-5 ATS before Bye, 0-4 ATS on MNF
Seattle -- 4-0 ATS on MNF, 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 2-11 ATS after scoring >35 pts, 1-7 ATS after MNF
Tampa Bay -- 5-1 ATS with Rest, 8-1 ATS as Div Favs, 8-21 ATS at Home, 0-4 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Favorites, 5-0 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 0-7 ATS vs Chargers, 2-8 ATS after scoring >35 pts
Washington -- 12-2 ATS before playing Giants, 6-1 ATS after playing Dallas, 0-5 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-4 ATS Home vs NFC West
2013 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games Be careful of sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say San Francisco, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against San Francisco, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the sandwich' game, laying way too much wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2013 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks