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Week 11 Action and FREE PLAYs

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  • Week 11 Action and FREE PLAYs

    AC is releasing 4 NCAAF plays and 3 NFL Plays, including a best bet grade on Saturday afternoon.
    We are hitting 56% in NCAAF, 63% in NFL, and 63% on our best bets.

    We have our $99 offer for the rest of the season, and basketball thru the SuperBowl. This also includes a free copy of my e-book "The Winning Edge", which covers the fundamentals of football and basketball, money management, and tips for selecting a handicapper. The book is available for $5.99

    visit ACDinero.com - Home Page - Sports Handicapping Service - Handicapping the NFL, NBA, and NCAA. for more information

    NCAAF Free Play

    UCF vs UTEP
    Play on UCF - 14

    UCF comes into this game on a nice roll, and the favorite to win C-USA in its final year. The Knights are solid in all aspects of the game, particularly on offense:

    5.1 YPC
    7.9 YPA
    48.7% converting 3rd downs

    UTEP is having a rough year, especially after that good showing against Oklahoma in the first game of the year. They don't do anything well, and are particularly weak at stoping the run and converting 3rd downs:

    5.1 YPC
    36% 3rd down

    In addition, they turn the ball over. 2 TD's is a big number to lay on the road, but UTEP isn't exactly a daunting place to play. We will back UCF in this game.

    NFL Free Play

    KC vs Pittsburgh
    Play on Pittsburgh -11.5

    Here we have a situation where stats can be misleading. The Chiefs have been pretty good running the ball (4.7 YPC) and on 3rd down:

    Offense: 44%
    Defense: 35%

    But RB Jamal Charles is likely out for this game and the Chiefs have been horrible over the past 3 games. Meanwhile, the Steelers come in on a bit of a roll and, as you may suspect, have a nice edge on defense:

    4.0 YPC
    5.6 YPA

    The Chiefs are also the worst team in the NFL at turning the ball over. We will fade them and lay the points with Pittsburgh.
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