Tweet
BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 35 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
Sunday January 22
5***** Gold Key Pick, Baltimore +7.5 over NEW ENGLAND (NFL Playoffs, 3 et) (Weather)
We won with our Gold Key Basketball Picks yesterday on the Jazz and on Montana in the NCAA! We have Gold Key Basketball Specials starting as low as $59 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Gold Key Football Pick released here for free.
The Ravens won the AFC North Division for their fourth-year Head Coach John Harbaugh, then defeated the Texans last week to reach the AFC Championship Game here as the second seed. They stand at 13-4 Straight Up, and 8-8-1 Against The Spread on the season. While this will be a tough environment to succeed as the Road team, the Ravens can keep this one closer than expected this afternoon. Positive trends include 20-12 ATS versus the AFC East, 5-1 ATS versus winning teams, and 40-29 ATS under Coach Harbaugh. These two teams were our pre-season wagers on Super Bowl Futures at 6-1 and 14-1, so we go into the Big Dance with the AFC Champion.
The AFC East Champion Patriots under their long-tenured Head Coach Bill Belichick earned the top seed in the AFC and walloped the Broncos last week to get here. They hold a record of 14-3 SU, and 10-6-1 ATS on the year, are well-Coached, have a great Quarterback and Receivers, and must be respected. Negative trends for the Pats today include 0-2 SU and ATS in the Playoffs, and 1-2 ATS as Home Favorites in this point range.
The line opened at Patriots -7.5. We'll take those points and the Road Ravens to cover for us here today in a Gold Key Pick.
For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
2011 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion - The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Tom O'Brien, and Bill Belichick among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games - Be careful of 'sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say San Francisco, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against San Francisco, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the 'sandwich' game, laying way too much 'wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement - Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move 1/2 to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for 'middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% 'juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2011 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Rich Green is the editor of FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 35 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
Sunday January 22
5***** Gold Key Pick, Baltimore +7.5 over NEW ENGLAND (NFL Playoffs, 3 et) (Weather)
We won with our Gold Key Basketball Picks yesterday on the Jazz and on Montana in the NCAA! We have Gold Key Basketball Specials starting as low as $59 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Gold Key Football Pick released here for free.
The Ravens won the AFC North Division for their fourth-year Head Coach John Harbaugh, then defeated the Texans last week to reach the AFC Championship Game here as the second seed. They stand at 13-4 Straight Up, and 8-8-1 Against The Spread on the season. While this will be a tough environment to succeed as the Road team, the Ravens can keep this one closer than expected this afternoon. Positive trends include 20-12 ATS versus the AFC East, 5-1 ATS versus winning teams, and 40-29 ATS under Coach Harbaugh. These two teams were our pre-season wagers on Super Bowl Futures at 6-1 and 14-1, so we go into the Big Dance with the AFC Champion.
The AFC East Champion Patriots under their long-tenured Head Coach Bill Belichick earned the top seed in the AFC and walloped the Broncos last week to get here. They hold a record of 14-3 SU, and 10-6-1 ATS on the year, are well-Coached, have a great Quarterback and Receivers, and must be respected. Negative trends for the Pats today include 0-2 SU and ATS in the Playoffs, and 1-2 ATS as Home Favorites in this point range.
The line opened at Patriots -7.5. We'll take those points and the Road Ravens to cover for us here today in a Gold Key Pick.
For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
2011 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion - The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Tom O'Brien, and Bill Belichick among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games - Be careful of 'sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say San Francisco, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against San Francisco, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the 'sandwich' game, laying way too much 'wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement - Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move 1/2 to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for 'middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% 'juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2011 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks