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The college football week continues with a full card of Saturday action!! It was another Winning week last week for the Advisors as they continue their solid NCAAF campaign!!
In the pros, 5 of 6 Advisors nailed Buffalo on Monday as they ended the NFL weekend with a SPECTACULAR 27-7 ATS record (79.4%)!! That brings the season total to 109-60 ATS (64.5%)!!
The ALCS continues tonight with Game Two between Cleveland and Boston!! It has been a successful season thus far and the Advisors carry the momentum into the playoffs!!
Sharp Sports Advisors Gold Club Consensus!!
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Each and every day, you can listen to Matt’s Minutes, Matt Fargo’s daily audio report featuring wagering advice, daily specials and a free play. You can also listen to Ness Noise, Larry Ness’ unique perspective on the world of sports and wagering plus a free winner every day. New to the site is Tony George and you can listen to his daily podcast Tony Talk each and every day.
Saturday’s Feature Plays
Matt Fargo – Saturday **89.3% Big XII Game of the Year**
Larry Ness – 20* Big 10 GOY (11-3 w/FB 20*s!)
Steve Merril – Big 12 Game of the Week!
Tom Stryker – 5-Star BCS Game of the Year
Scott Rickenbach – CFB High Noon Upset Special - 67%
Big AI – 100% NON-CONFERENCE FAVORITE OF THE YEAR
Tony George – Saturday 4-Pack of NCAA Winners. SEC Top Play!
Today’s FREE Play From Matt Fargo
Wisconsin Badgers at Penn St. Nittany Lions 3:30 PM ET
Penn St. Nittany Lions -7 -105
Wisconsin finally went down last Saturday at Illinois and that was a long time coming. I expect the Badgers to continue the losing here as they travel yet again this time to an even more hostile environment. Four of their last five games have been close games that could have gone either way and they were fortunate to win three of those over UNLV, Iowa and Michigan St. The 14-game winning streak came to an end last weekend and that will be tough to recover from.
Penn St. did a number on Iowa last Saturday as it dominated from start to finish holding the Hawkeyes to just 194 total yards and eight first downs. 86 of those yards came on the lone Iowa touchdown drive as the Hawkeye’s longest drive in 10 possessions prior to that was 18 yards, all resulting in punts. The Nittany Lions are now in a revenge situation as they remember what Wisconsin did to them last season. Penn St. scored just three points, the lowest output in its last 38 games.
The offensive line struggled against Illinois and it needs a rushing game to be successful. Tailback P.J. Hill is far from 100 percent while Lance Smith, the team's second-string running back, doesn't travel with the Badgers. Quarterback Tyler Donovan has a great game against the Illini but losing receiver Luke Swan, the second-leading receiver with 25 receptions for 451 yards and two touchdowns, is a huge blow for the passing game. Penn St. is 10th in rushing defense and 20th in passing efficiency defense (5th overall).
Wisconsin’s former strength is now its weakness as the defense is no where to be found. The Badgers defense has been porous much of the season and has given up 17 plays of 20 yards or longer in the past two weeks alone. Wisconsin's defense gives up 369 ypg which is 8th in the Big Ten, and the Badgers are last in the conference in red-zone defense as opponents have scored on 19 of 21 trips inside Wisconsin's 20-yard line. Wisconsin has allowed an incredible 591 rushing yards over the last two games (7.3 ypc).
Penn St. has to take advantage of that porous rushing defense which will also take some of the pressure off quarterback Anthony Morelli although he looked very good against the Hawkeyes last Saturday. Morelli completed 18 of 31 passes for 233 yards and a touchdown for the Nittany Lions as he looked more confident and engaged on the field and shook off negative plays better. The loss of Austin Scott stings but Rodney Kinlaw is a solid backup after rushing for 168 yards on 28 carries (6.0 ypc) against Iowa.
The Nittany Lions are calling this their biggest game of the season and an almost must-win situation. It is homecoming in State College and rarely does Penn St. play bad in front of the alumni. The Nittany Lions are 62-20-5 all-time and have won 36 of 41 homecoming games under head coach Joe Paterno. Beaver Stadium has turned into a house of horrors for the opposition as the Nittany Lions have moved their home record to 18-1 since the end of the 2004 season.
Penn St. is 32-8 ATS in their last 40 games after gaining 200 or more yards rushing in its previous game and after the Badgers recent problems, we could see it again. The recent play on both sides set up a solid situation favoring Penn St. Play against road underdogs after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after a win by 17 or more points. This situation is 42-12 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons with the average point differential being a whopping +26.2 ppg. Play Penn St. Nittany Lions 1.5 Units
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