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  • Tampa Bay Bucs vs. New York Jets

    American Bowl, Tokyo

    New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers


    Two years ago Herman Edwards took over as HC of the Jets and brought some zest to the table. New York became the first team in NFL history to win their division after a 2-5 start. But now in the big apple--the media capital of the world--the criticism has begun.

    After amassing the troops and going to the Playoffs two straight years, Yorkers are a little uneasy about the GM's allowing the release of 4 key players including WR Coles and OG Randy Thomas. Even some magazines are picking the Jets to finish 3rd or even last in their division.

    But I'm not sold. I don't buy it. The days of the Jets collapsing just when they are expected to do something are history under Herman Edwards, and the criticism will merely add fuel to the overall team incentive. I'm high on the Jets this season and figure them to be a Superbowl contender. In fact, they are my choice to go the the Superbowl (against the still hungry, still awesome Bucs). In any event, I don't want to get into my NFL Preview right now.

    I figure the Jets to still be chomping at the bits. And those are the kinds of teams I look at during pre-season. Second, anyone who has followed Pre-Season the last few years knows that Pennington is the KING of pre-season. While Chad won't play nearly as long as he has the last 2 years as a backup, he's probably good for an early score against a vanilla Bucs defense not out to break records (or bones).

    Third, the Jets have enough depth at the QB position w/Testaverde & Pennington to match the Buc's Brad Johnson (1 series?), Shawn King, and Jim Miller. The last quarter and a half will most likely belong to Simms and Bollinger, and it would be mere speculation to guess who does better.

    John Gruden's once winning pre-season record has become spotty the last 4 years, his fifty-fifty mark suggesting he puts little emphasis on the outcome. With the Bucs and Gruden coming off a Superbowl win, expect them to play soft in their pre-season opener with (obviously) nothing to prove. History backs that up as the Superbowl winners in the last 10 years are 1-4 ATS playing away from home in their 1st Pre-Season game the following season.

    The Jets on the other hand, well, you gotta' wonder if they don't wanna win this one. Besides the fact that Edwards (7-1 ATS pre-season), much like Parcells, prefers to keep the winning attitude in pre-season, add to that the possibility that just maybe the Jets would like to beat the team they could've played in the Superbowl. Maybe? Probably--even if it is pre-season.

    The thing that stands out to me is a team that is chomping at the bits to get back on the field and silence their critics vs last year's Superbowl winner. Sure it's only pre-season, but a quick score (or two) from Pennington to Curtis Conway against last year's Superbowl Champs certainly would not hurt. Watch Bollinger.

    2* New York Jets +3 over Tampa Bay Bucs

    -------------------------------------------------------


    Oct 13: RAMS (+8) 28, Raiders 13 WINNER

    Nov 3: Jets (+8') 44, CHARGERS 13 WINNER

    Nov 10: Colts (+9') 35, EAGLES 13 WINNER

    Nov 17: VIKINGS (+7) 31, Packers 21 WINNER

    Dec 1: Panthers (+7') 13, BROWNS 6 WINNER

    Dec 15: BEARS (+6') 20, Jets 13 WINNER

    Dec 22: Steelers (+4') 17, BUCS 7 WINNER


    These plays are from one of my latest research projects, the ATS Formula--just one of Six New Formulas and Systems slated for this year's Spread Report Online. Check out the huge margins of "Cover" in route to a perfect sweep last year while upping its 4-year mark to 26-7 ATS.


    Six New Formulas for this Season:

    *NEW: Turnover Super System: 25-4 ATS!
    *NEW: Rushing Yardage System: 31-11 ATS!
    *NEW: ATS Formula: 10-0 ATS
    *NEW: Pass Yardage System: 54-17 ATS
    *NEW: Yds Per Pass Cmp Formula: 50-14 ATS
    *NEW: Rush Defense System: 29-5 ATS

    The CONSENSUS of the Six New Formulas above combined for a 111-27 ATS record last season:

    4* Plays: 9-0 ATS
    3* Plays: 12-1 ATS
    2* Plays: 25-5 ATS
    1* Plays: 65-21 ATS

    Total: 111-27 ATS (80.1%)


    Back "again" in this year's Spread Report Online are:

    -NCAA ASR's (weighted average spread ratings): 30-17 ATS!
    -NFL Real Number Line: 64-46 ATS!
    -NFL Turnover Formula: 119-79 ATS! (2 years)
    -NFL Yardage Formula: 86-41 ATS! (2 years)

    That's a total of 10 Formulas for this year's version of the Spread Report Online--now in its 3rd year. And as you can see, there's an entire wealth of exciting stuff there.

    For more information regarding my background, credentials and additional specifics about the Systems, Formulas, and the Spread Report Online, feel Free to stop by for a visit! Thank you for your time...


    Sincerely,
    David K. Toop
    http://www.FootballFormulas.com
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