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Wisconsin covered their last home game in eleven of last thirteen seasons; they won last two home games vs this foe by 41-20/49-31 scores. Gophers lost three of last four games, including bad loss at Indiana last week; they covered just four of last sixteen November road games, and are 4-10 in last fourteen tries as road dog.
Michigan State lost its QB last week; they lost eleven of last fifteen week after playing Michigan, and that OT loss is tough one to bounce back from. Buckeyes are 2-0 with Smith at QB; they're 5-1 when they score 21+ pts, but just 1-4 in last five tries as dog. Spartans are 3-0 at home and have 692 rushing yards in last two games.
Purdue is 0-5-1 vs spread in final road game last six yrs; they've also lost last three games, and have QB Orton with banged-up hip. Iowa covered 17 of last 21 as home favorite. Boilers are 3-11-1 as road dog since '97. Fave is 11-5 vs spread in last sixteen series games.
Clemson allowed just 11 ppg in winning last three games while Miami's defense has struggled, allowing 33.3 ppg in last three games, losing last week in Chapel Hill. Three Clemson losses this year are by 19-21-20 points, so the 17 doesn't entice us much, but 'canes are just 2-9 in last eleven tries as home favorite.
Missouri lost last three games, scoring just 13.3 ppg, and K-State lost four of last five, although they are 3-0 when they allow less than 31 points. Wildcats are 0-2 on road this year, but 6-1-1 in last eight tries as dog. Mizzou has covered seven of last ten as home fave, but is 2-5 as the favorite so far this season.
Virginia Tech is 2-0 as road favorite in '04, after beign 3-8 in previous eleven tries; they're 10-3 vs spread when playing on road second week in row. Carolina upset the 'canes last week; they're 4-4, but all four losses are by 22+ points, and three are by 30+. Heels covered two of last ten home finales; they waxed Hokies 42-3 in bowl game back in '97; think Beamer remembers?
Utah is playing for BCS points; they've scored 160 pts in last three games and are killing people, with only two of their eight wins by less than 20 points. Lubick covered seven of last 11 on carpet, and his Rams covered five of last six vs Utes, but this is once-in-lifetime year for Utah.
Maryland upset Florida State next week, now catches Virginia looking ahead to Miami; Terps covered nine of last 12 trips to this site, and allowed just 13.3 ppg in last three games, but they did lose last two here, 31-23 and 48-13. Last four Maryland games stayed under the total.
Tennessee has had nutcracker of schedule, with five very tough SEC games in row; they clinched SEC East for the most part, last week, now face Notre Dame squad that had last week off after 24-23 loss to Boston College, a game they led 20-7. Vols won last two meetings, 38-14 and 28-18; they covered four of last five series games.
Sylvester Croom was first black player at Alabama; now he returns to Tuscaloosa as coach of Miss State, when he really wanted the Bama job- this is emotional game for Croom and his players, make no mistake about it. State won their last two games, upsetting Florida. Also big game for 5-3 Bama club, which has not won game by less than 21 points this season.
Oregon covered seven of its last nine games vs Cal, but just two of last ten November road games. Have sneaky feeling that Cal is really best team in country, based on how they pushed USC around in LA, losing on blunders in kicking game. Ducks scored 29 ppg in winning last 4 in row; they forced seven turnovers last week. Since the USC loss, Cal is 3-0, outscoring foes 110-28; neither Arizona or Arizona State scored against them.
USC has pounded last three foes by combined score of 125-19; they covered six of last seven November road games, scoring 45 ppg, but they lost last visit to this site, 31-21. Beavers scored 31.7 ppg in winning last three in row, but they're 0-3 as dog since near-miss at LSU in season opener. Trojans are plus-14 in turnover margin.
Average total in last six Stanford-Arizona State games is 72, but Sun Devils got shut out last week in Berkeley, as Stanford was being blanked at UCLA. Cardinal is 2-7 vs spread in last three games of last three years, but three of their four '04 losses are by eight or less points. ASU allowed 38 ppg in last three games; they're 3-1 as fave this season, but how do they react to being waxed by Cal Bears last week?
Oklahoma State missed 49-yard FG on last play a week ago, and lost 38-35 to arch-rival Sooners; now they go to Austin site where they've lost last four visits by 40-14 average. Road team covered five of last six series games but five of seven Texas wins this year are by 22+ points. That said, Horns 6-11 in last 17 tries as home favorite.
Other games of interest
-- Boston College covered eight of last nine vs Rutgers
-- Florida St is 6-0 vs spread and Duke if spread is 32 or less, 1-5 if it more than 32.
-- Illinois is favored despite losing its last six games and being outscored 64-8 in second half of last three.
-- Home side covered six of last seven games between Northwestern and Penn State.
-- Temple covered its last six trips to West Virginia.
-- Georgia is in Florida-Auburn sandwich; they won last two trips to Kentucky, 34-30, 52-24.
-- Army has improved, but they're 1-14 in last fifteen vs Air Force, going 4-11 vs spread in those games.
-- Syracuse covered 18 of last 24 as home favorite and 12 of last 13 when playing at home for second week in a row. Pitt won its last three games overall.
-- Kent is favored despite being 0-4 on road, and giving up 34.5 ppg on foreign soil.
-- Home team covered ten of last 12 Nebraska-Iowa St games; Huskers are 2 for last 24 on third down.
-- Colorado scored 103 points in winning last two years vs Kansas, which lost its QB for season last week.
-- Favorite covered eight of last nine Baylor-Texas Tech games, with Tech scoring 62 in each of last two meetings
-- Florida is 0-5 as road favorite under Coach Zook.
-- BYU is 4-8 in last dozen tries as home favorite.
-- Wyoming covered one of last eight games on carpet.
-- Rice is 12-1-1 in last 14 tries as home dog; Fresno is 4-11 in last fifteen tries as road favorite.
-- Tulsa lost its last two visits to SMU, 24-20, 24-21; this is first time they've been favored this season.
-- Dog covered six of last seven Cincy-Southern Miss games, with Bearcats losing last two at this site by 8,9.
-- Georgia Tech is 13-32-1 vs spread in last 46 games played in November; they're 2-0 as road dog in '04.
-- Average total in the last seven Arizona-Washington games is 63, but both teams playing like season is over already. Huskies were outscored 62-10 in second half of last three games.
-- UCLA won its last three home games by average of 30-9; home team covered six of their last seven games vs Washington State.
-- Western Michigan covered eight of its last 11 games vs Bowling Green.
-- Ohio lost its last four games, Central Florida is 0-8; home side won both previous series meetings.
-- Eastern Michigan is 0-6 vs spread in last two games of the last three seasons.
-- East Carolina covered just four of last 17 games when they won their previous game.
-- Favorite is 9-1 vs spread in last ten Arkansas-South Carolina games. Razorbacks lost their last three overall.
-- Favorite covered last four Nevada-San Jose games, with average of 84 points scored in the games.
-- Hawaii covered ten of last 15 November home games
-- Arkansas State is favored for first time this year, even though they're 1-5 on road.
-- New Mexico State is 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games played in November.
Michigan State lost its QB last week; they lost eleven of last fifteen week after playing Michigan, and that OT loss is tough one to bounce back from. Buckeyes are 2-0 with Smith at QB; they're 5-1 when they score 21+ pts, but just 1-4 in last five tries as dog. Spartans are 3-0 at home and have 692 rushing yards in last two games.
Purdue is 0-5-1 vs spread in final road game last six yrs; they've also lost last three games, and have QB Orton with banged-up hip. Iowa covered 17 of last 21 as home favorite. Boilers are 3-11-1 as road dog since '97. Fave is 11-5 vs spread in last sixteen series games.
Clemson allowed just 11 ppg in winning last three games while Miami's defense has struggled, allowing 33.3 ppg in last three games, losing last week in Chapel Hill. Three Clemson losses this year are by 19-21-20 points, so the 17 doesn't entice us much, but 'canes are just 2-9 in last eleven tries as home favorite.
Missouri lost last three games, scoring just 13.3 ppg, and K-State lost four of last five, although they are 3-0 when they allow less than 31 points. Wildcats are 0-2 on road this year, but 6-1-1 in last eight tries as dog. Mizzou has covered seven of last ten as home fave, but is 2-5 as the favorite so far this season.
Virginia Tech is 2-0 as road favorite in '04, after beign 3-8 in previous eleven tries; they're 10-3 vs spread when playing on road second week in row. Carolina upset the 'canes last week; they're 4-4, but all four losses are by 22+ points, and three are by 30+. Heels covered two of last ten home finales; they waxed Hokies 42-3 in bowl game back in '97; think Beamer remembers?
Utah is playing for BCS points; they've scored 160 pts in last three games and are killing people, with only two of their eight wins by less than 20 points. Lubick covered seven of last 11 on carpet, and his Rams covered five of last six vs Utes, but this is once-in-lifetime year for Utah.
Maryland upset Florida State next week, now catches Virginia looking ahead to Miami; Terps covered nine of last 12 trips to this site, and allowed just 13.3 ppg in last three games, but they did lose last two here, 31-23 and 48-13. Last four Maryland games stayed under the total.
Tennessee has had nutcracker of schedule, with five very tough SEC games in row; they clinched SEC East for the most part, last week, now face Notre Dame squad that had last week off after 24-23 loss to Boston College, a game they led 20-7. Vols won last two meetings, 38-14 and 28-18; they covered four of last five series games.
Sylvester Croom was first black player at Alabama; now he returns to Tuscaloosa as coach of Miss State, when he really wanted the Bama job- this is emotional game for Croom and his players, make no mistake about it. State won their last two games, upsetting Florida. Also big game for 5-3 Bama club, which has not won game by less than 21 points this season.
Oregon covered seven of its last nine games vs Cal, but just two of last ten November road games. Have sneaky feeling that Cal is really best team in country, based on how they pushed USC around in LA, losing on blunders in kicking game. Ducks scored 29 ppg in winning last 4 in row; they forced seven turnovers last week. Since the USC loss, Cal is 3-0, outscoring foes 110-28; neither Arizona or Arizona State scored against them.
USC has pounded last three foes by combined score of 125-19; they covered six of last seven November road games, scoring 45 ppg, but they lost last visit to this site, 31-21. Beavers scored 31.7 ppg in winning last three in row, but they're 0-3 as dog since near-miss at LSU in season opener. Trojans are plus-14 in turnover margin.
Average total in last six Stanford-Arizona State games is 72, but Sun Devils got shut out last week in Berkeley, as Stanford was being blanked at UCLA. Cardinal is 2-7 vs spread in last three games of last three years, but three of their four '04 losses are by eight or less points. ASU allowed 38 ppg in last three games; they're 3-1 as fave this season, but how do they react to being waxed by Cal Bears last week?
Oklahoma State missed 49-yard FG on last play a week ago, and lost 38-35 to arch-rival Sooners; now they go to Austin site where they've lost last four visits by 40-14 average. Road team covered five of last six series games but five of seven Texas wins this year are by 22+ points. That said, Horns 6-11 in last 17 tries as home favorite.
Other games of interest
-- Boston College covered eight of last nine vs Rutgers
-- Florida St is 6-0 vs spread and Duke if spread is 32 or less, 1-5 if it more than 32.
-- Illinois is favored despite losing its last six games and being outscored 64-8 in second half of last three.
-- Home side covered six of last seven games between Northwestern and Penn State.
-- Temple covered its last six trips to West Virginia.
-- Georgia is in Florida-Auburn sandwich; they won last two trips to Kentucky, 34-30, 52-24.
-- Army has improved, but they're 1-14 in last fifteen vs Air Force, going 4-11 vs spread in those games.
-- Syracuse covered 18 of last 24 as home favorite and 12 of last 13 when playing at home for second week in a row. Pitt won its last three games overall.
-- Kent is favored despite being 0-4 on road, and giving up 34.5 ppg on foreign soil.
-- Home team covered ten of last 12 Nebraska-Iowa St games; Huskers are 2 for last 24 on third down.
-- Colorado scored 103 points in winning last two years vs Kansas, which lost its QB for season last week.
-- Favorite covered eight of last nine Baylor-Texas Tech games, with Tech scoring 62 in each of last two meetings
-- Florida is 0-5 as road favorite under Coach Zook.
-- BYU is 4-8 in last dozen tries as home favorite.
-- Wyoming covered one of last eight games on carpet.
-- Rice is 12-1-1 in last 14 tries as home dog; Fresno is 4-11 in last fifteen tries as road favorite.
-- Tulsa lost its last two visits to SMU, 24-20, 24-21; this is first time they've been favored this season.
-- Dog covered six of last seven Cincy-Southern Miss games, with Bearcats losing last two at this site by 8,9.
-- Georgia Tech is 13-32-1 vs spread in last 46 games played in November; they're 2-0 as road dog in '04.
-- Average total in the last seven Arizona-Washington games is 63, but both teams playing like season is over already. Huskies were outscored 62-10 in second half of last three games.
-- UCLA won its last three home games by average of 30-9; home team covered six of their last seven games vs Washington State.
-- Western Michigan covered eight of its last 11 games vs Bowling Green.
-- Ohio lost its last four games, Central Florida is 0-8; home side won both previous series meetings.
-- Eastern Michigan is 0-6 vs spread in last two games of the last three seasons.
-- East Carolina covered just four of last 17 games when they won their previous game.
-- Favorite is 9-1 vs spread in last ten Arkansas-South Carolina games. Razorbacks lost their last three overall.
-- Favorite covered last four Nevada-San Jose games, with average of 84 points scored in the games.
-- Hawaii covered ten of last 15 November home games
-- Arkansas State is favored for first time this year, even though they're 1-5 on road.
-- New Mexico State is 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games played in November.