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College Football Picks (& Trends) Week 11

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  • College Football Picks (& Trends) Week 11

    Here are the Top-25 and Double-Digit Favorites Trends breakdown of Week 10:

    Top-25 Teams
    Week 10 SU: 13-3
    Running Total SU: 161-52
    Week 10 ATS: 7-9
    Running Total ATS: 104-104-5

    Double-Digit Spreads (FBS vs FBS)
    Week 10 SU: 19-1
    Running Total SU: 226-26
    Week 10 ATS: 10-10
    Running Total ATS: 141-108-3

    Totals in Games with Double-Digit Spreads (FBS vs FBS)
    Week 10: 7 Overs (longest streak: 2 'Over' games) 11 Unders (longest streak: 3 'Under' games) 2 Push
    Thru 11/3: 108 Overs (longest streak: 4 games) 137 Unders (longest streak: 8 games) 7 Pushes

    Overview: Over the last two weeks, the Top-25 teams are below .500 ATS. Now that the rankings abide by the College Football Playoffs Rankings from this week on, I predict that we will begin to see even more ranked teams fail to cover the number. In FBS vs FBS games with a double-digit spread, it was another week (now 5 straight) with Unders coming out on top. During this span, this distribution is 45-72-4 (O-U-P) - that's over 63% Unders!

    Note: Lines are according to Covers closing lines. Order of games is determined by time of kick-off. If time of kickoff is the same, I sort by Rotation Number... just to clarify...

    On to the plays...

    #109 UL Lafayette -13 1/2 5 units
    #110 UL Lafayette/ Coastal Carolina u58 1/2 1 unit
    #111 Temple/ South Florida o50 1 unit
    #112 South Florida +1 3 units

    From a sparse 2-play week to betting every line on the card today... Here goes nothing! Good Luck All!
    2019 SEASON
    NCAAF
    42-34-1 +4.30 units

    NFL
    11-11 +2.60 units
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