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Pac-12 football trends…….
Arizona— Wildcats are 22-28 SU last four years; since ’13, they’re 5-16 ATS as road underdogs. Average total in their last five bowls (3-2) is 76.2. Senior QB Tate has 20 career starts; they don’t play Washington State this year- they lost 69-28 to the Coogs LY.
Arizona State— Sun Devils lost four of last five bowls, giving up 38.8 ppg; they’re 10-4-1 in last 15 games as an underdog. Last two years, ASU is 7-2-1 vs spread coming off a loss; they’ll have a new QB this year, playing behind an experienced OL.
California— Golden Bears made only 2nd bowl since 2011 LY; they’ve got only 4 starters back on offense this year. Cal lost to arch-rival Stanford last five years, by average score of 32-19 (1-4 vs spread). Under Wilcox, Cal is 11-5 ATS as an underdog, 2-5-1 as a favorite.
Colorado— Last year’s 5-0 start turned into an injury-riddled 5-7 debacle that cost MacIntyre his job. Buffs have been to one bowl since 2007; their last bowl win was 33-28 over UTEP in the 2004 Houston Bowl. Mel Tucker is a long-time DC; this is his first head coaching job.
Oregon— This is first time since 2016 that Ducks have same HC two years in row; they lost three of last four bowls, winning LY’s bowl 7-6 over Michigan State. Last three years, under three HCs, Oregon is 1-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Oregon State— Last four years, Beavers are 9-39 SU, 6-11 ATS as a home underdog, 9-13-1 as a road dog- their last bowl was in 2013, when Mike Riley was HC. In their last 25 games, OSU is -24 in turnovers; they’re very experienced this year, should show improvement.
USC— Trojans were 5-7 LY; they’re 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games as a home favorite. USC is 3-2 in its last five bowls, scoring 45-45-52 in the wins, 21-7 in losses. Since 2012, Trojans are 3-12 as a road underdog.
Stanford— Won 8+ games every year for last decade; their last three bowls (2-1) were decided by total of five points. Cardinal is 8-3 in last 11 games as a road favorite; over last decade, they’re 5-0 ATS as a home underdog.
UCLA— Bruins are 13-24 SU the last three years; since 2014, they’re 8-15 as a home favorite. Over last decade, they’re 39-53 ATS (42.4%) in Pac-12 games. In their last three bowls, UCLA allayed 35-37-35 points, losing two of three.
Utah— Last two years, Utes are 8-2 vs spread as home favorites; since 2014, they’re 11-2 as a road underdog. Whittingham is 11-2 SU in his career in bowl games. Senior QB Huntley has 19 career starts.
Washington— Huskies are 32-9 SU last three years, but went 0-3 in bowls; they’ll have a new QB this year (Georgia transfer Eason- 13 starts for Dawgs). Washington has + turnover ratio the last seven years, going +51 the last five years.
Washington State— From 2009-14, Coogs were 19-54; from 2015-18, they’re 37-15; Mike Leach is a damn good coach. Since 2013, WSU is 16-5 ATS as a road underdog. This year’s QB is Gage Gubrud, a grad transfer from I-AA Eastern Washington.
Arizona— Wildcats are 22-28 SU last four years; since ’13, they’re 5-16 ATS as road underdogs. Average total in their last five bowls (3-2) is 76.2. Senior QB Tate has 20 career starts; they don’t play Washington State this year- they lost 69-28 to the Coogs LY.
Arizona State— Sun Devils lost four of last five bowls, giving up 38.8 ppg; they’re 10-4-1 in last 15 games as an underdog. Last two years, ASU is 7-2-1 vs spread coming off a loss; they’ll have a new QB this year, playing behind an experienced OL.
California— Golden Bears made only 2nd bowl since 2011 LY; they’ve got only 4 starters back on offense this year. Cal lost to arch-rival Stanford last five years, by average score of 32-19 (1-4 vs spread). Under Wilcox, Cal is 11-5 ATS as an underdog, 2-5-1 as a favorite.
Colorado— Last year’s 5-0 start turned into an injury-riddled 5-7 debacle that cost MacIntyre his job. Buffs have been to one bowl since 2007; their last bowl win was 33-28 over UTEP in the 2004 Houston Bowl. Mel Tucker is a long-time DC; this is his first head coaching job.
Oregon— This is first time since 2016 that Ducks have same HC two years in row; they lost three of last four bowls, winning LY’s bowl 7-6 over Michigan State. Last three years, under three HCs, Oregon is 1-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Oregon State— Last four years, Beavers are 9-39 SU, 6-11 ATS as a home underdog, 9-13-1 as a road dog- their last bowl was in 2013, when Mike Riley was HC. In their last 25 games, OSU is -24 in turnovers; they’re very experienced this year, should show improvement.
USC— Trojans were 5-7 LY; they’re 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games as a home favorite. USC is 3-2 in its last five bowls, scoring 45-45-52 in the wins, 21-7 in losses. Since 2012, Trojans are 3-12 as a road underdog.
Stanford— Won 8+ games every year for last decade; their last three bowls (2-1) were decided by total of five points. Cardinal is 8-3 in last 11 games as a road favorite; over last decade, they’re 5-0 ATS as a home underdog.
UCLA— Bruins are 13-24 SU the last three years; since 2014, they’re 8-15 as a home favorite. Over last decade, they’re 39-53 ATS (42.4%) in Pac-12 games. In their last three bowls, UCLA allayed 35-37-35 points, losing two of three.
Utah— Last two years, Utes are 8-2 vs spread as home favorites; since 2014, they’re 11-2 as a road underdog. Whittingham is 11-2 SU in his career in bowl games. Senior QB Huntley has 19 career starts.
Washington— Huskies are 32-9 SU last three years, but went 0-3 in bowls; they’ll have a new QB this year (Georgia transfer Eason- 13 starts for Dawgs). Washington has + turnover ratio the last seven years, going +51 the last five years.
Washington State— From 2009-14, Coogs were 19-54; from 2015-18, they’re 37-15; Mike Leach is a damn good coach. Since 2013, WSU is 16-5 ATS as a road underdog. This year’s QB is Gage Gubrud, a grad transfer from I-AA Eastern Washington.