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Plays will be rated 1-4* with most being 1's and 4 being a GOY.
In week one, I am focusing on teams that I think may be much better than many realize. I'm adding two prop plays that present strong value.
1* Iowa -12
I rave about Iowa below but there are other reasons for this play. Northern Illinois is listed as the home team but the game will be played in Chicago where Iowa has a lot of alumni and should have big crowd support. Hawkeyes are a veteran team coming off a disappointing season. Northern's Novak usually has his teams ready for these early season non-conf games but this is a strong spot for Iowa.
1* Georgia -6
While Ok State has a lot of returnees, Georgia is poised to rebound from a disappointing season. This is a very small number considering Georgia may be the best team in America's strongest conference while Ok State may be in the lower half of its division in the weaker Big 12. Georgia by double digits.
1* Kansas -7 1/2
Here's another team with a lot of returnees facing an overmatched MAC team with a rookie coach. Central Michigan lost its head coach to Cincinnati and made the mistake of replacing him with one of the coordinators (a move that usually flops). Kansas' offense is much improved this year and could start the season with a rout.
1* Texas -39
Mack Brown has a history of schedulding at least one patsy early in the year and Texas always wins the game big. Ark State is a fair team from the worst conference. They have very little motivation in a game their school is scheduling solely to get a paycheck. Texas leads by 35 at the half and wins by at least 50.
Opinion only: UTEP
Two prop plays:
1* Iowa to win Big Ten +1000
10-1 is a juicy price on the Big Ten's most improved team. The key here is the schedule. Iowa gets to avoid BOTH Ohio State and Michigan and all four conference home games are easy. They do have to travel to Wisconsin, Purdue and Penn State but are capable of winning two of three. The Big Ten is very strong this year and I see 7-1 being enough to win it.
1* Colt Brennan to win Heisman +700
Hawaii's quarterback may break every single season passing record this year. This is Hawaii's strongest June Jones team and Brennan is his best QB and now has two years of starting experience. They're going to pass every play. Heisman voters may recoil at picking a player from a weird program but Brennan's numbers may be so overwhelming they will have no choice but to pick him
Plays will be rated 1-4* with most being 1's and 4 being a GOY.
In week one, I am focusing on teams that I think may be much better than many realize. I'm adding two prop plays that present strong value.
1* Iowa -12
I rave about Iowa below but there are other reasons for this play. Northern Illinois is listed as the home team but the game will be played in Chicago where Iowa has a lot of alumni and should have big crowd support. Hawkeyes are a veteran team coming off a disappointing season. Northern's Novak usually has his teams ready for these early season non-conf games but this is a strong spot for Iowa.
1* Georgia -6
While Ok State has a lot of returnees, Georgia is poised to rebound from a disappointing season. This is a very small number considering Georgia may be the best team in America's strongest conference while Ok State may be in the lower half of its division in the weaker Big 12. Georgia by double digits.
1* Kansas -7 1/2
Here's another team with a lot of returnees facing an overmatched MAC team with a rookie coach. Central Michigan lost its head coach to Cincinnati and made the mistake of replacing him with one of the coordinators (a move that usually flops). Kansas' offense is much improved this year and could start the season with a rout.
1* Texas -39
Mack Brown has a history of schedulding at least one patsy early in the year and Texas always wins the game big. Ark State is a fair team from the worst conference. They have very little motivation in a game their school is scheduling solely to get a paycheck. Texas leads by 35 at the half and wins by at least 50.
Opinion only: UTEP
Two prop plays:
1* Iowa to win Big Ten +1000
10-1 is a juicy price on the Big Ten's most improved team. The key here is the schedule. Iowa gets to avoid BOTH Ohio State and Michigan and all four conference home games are easy. They do have to travel to Wisconsin, Purdue and Penn State but are capable of winning two of three. The Big Ten is very strong this year and I see 7-1 being enough to win it.
1* Colt Brennan to win Heisman +700
Hawaii's quarterback may break every single season passing record this year. This is Hawaii's strongest June Jones team and Brennan is his best QB and now has two years of starting experience. They're going to pass every play. Heisman voters may recoil at picking a player from a weird program but Brennan's numbers may be so overwhelming they will have no choice but to pick him