Wednesday’s 6-pack
Interesting spreads for this week’s college games:
— Iowa (-3.5) @ Maryland
— USC (-7) @ Colorado
— Cincinnati (-2) @ Notre Dame
— Ole Miss @ Alabama (-14.5)
— Texas (-5) @ TCU
— Auburn @ LSU (-3.5)
Quote of the Day
“The first half, just with how that went — those numbers get skewed at times. I know they are what they are, but when you don’t have that many plays in the first half, whether that’s because you have penalties that stop drives, defense was on the field quite a bit, and then you’re in position in the second half where you’re down two scores the whole time. That’s where that kind of comes into play.”
Eagles coach Nick Sirianni, on why his best RB had two carries Monday night
Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the Seattle Mariners’ manager, last time they made the playoffs?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, Stu (Ed Helms) is a dentist.
Monday’s quiz
Jay Cutler (102) has started the most games at QB for the Chicago Bears.
**********************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
13) If you’re a talking head on national TV on college football Saturdays, could please learn what the term “upset” means? It is pretty simple.
Can’t remember who said it, but Kansas State (ranked #19) lost at Oklahoma State last week; a studio host called the loss “an upset” because the ranked team lost.
Here’s the thing: Oklahoma State was FAVORED by six points; not only did the favorite win, they covered the spread. “Upsets” are when the underdog wins.
Just do better, it isn’t difficult.
12) Arkansas football coach Sam Pittman has an interesting resume; from 1984-2019, before he got the head coaching job with the Razorbacks, he was the offensive line coach at 15 different high schools, colleges. Imagine moving 14 times in 35 years?
11) Why do big time college football teams play I-AA opponents? It is gutless and makes for very boring games. Everyone in the SEC does it.
— Penn State-Villanova
— Alabama-Mercer (seriously???)
— LSU-McNeese State (Ed Orgeron’s son plays QB for McNeese)
— Ole Miss-Austin Peay (Governors might beat ‘em in basketball)
I could go on for an hour about this, but there are enough stiff teams in Sun Belt/MAC that you can play and beat easily. Playing a I-AA team cheats the fans out of good entertainment- these are mostly terrible games.
10) There is a Survivor Pool at the Circa casino in Las Vegas; you pick an NFL team to win SU every week- they lose, and you’re out. Think you can only pick the same team once a season.
There are 2,917 people left in the pool; of those 2,917 people, 340 of them had the Ravens last week, when Justin Tucker made an NFL-record 66-yard FG at the gun. Tough pool to win- that kick in Detroit doesn’t go thru the uprights, they’re down to 2,577 possible winners.
9) College football coaches who have been in their current job the longest:
— Kirk Ferentz, 23 years at Iowa
— Gary Patterson, 21 years at TCU
8) If Seattle Mariners make the playoffs, their excellence late in games will be the reason; they’re 38-16 this season in games where the winning scored in last three innings.
7) NFC East is only division in NFL where all four teams have won a Super Bowl.
6) Why can’t I get the Pac-12 Network on DirecTV? Only time I’ve seen it was when I was staying at the Aria hotel in Las Vegas- they had it in their rooms. Seems like lot of people can’t see this channel; don’t they want exposure for their teams? Seems like bad business.
5) Didn’t know that longtime umpire Joe West is retiring after this season; guy has been in the major leagues since 1976— he is 68 years old. West was in the majors when he was 24, which has to be really hard to do. Think Edwin Moscoso is 28- he is a rookie umpire this year.
4) Braves 2, Phillies 1— Will Smith stranded the tying run on 3rd in last inning; Atlanta leads the NL East by 3.5 games.
3) Detroit Tigers have had 367 IP by rookie starting pitchers this season, most in MLB.
2) Cardinals 6, Brewers 2— St Louis has won 17 games in a row; whoever loses the NL West is going to have their hands full in the Wild Card game. Cardinals clinched their playoff spot with the win.
1) Christmas/New Year’s Day are Saturdays this year: solid card of college hoop on January 1:
— Villanova @ Seton Hall
— West Virginia @ Texas
— Duke @ Notre Dame
— San Diego State @ UNLV
— Butler @ UConn
— Virginia @ Syracuse
— Cal-Santa Barbara @ Cal-Irvine
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MLB September Record Opinions & Best Bets !!
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
09/28/2021,,,,,,,,,8-6-0,,,,,,57.14%,,,,,,,+3.05
09/27/2021.........3-2-0......60.00%........+2.05
09/26/2021.........9-6-0......60.00%......+18.15
09/25/2021.........8-7-0.......53.33%.......+6.10
09/24/2021.......10-5-0.......66.66%......+25.90
09/23/2021.........4-7-0.......36.36%.......-22.55
09/22/2021.......10-2-0.......83.33%......+46.80
09/21/2021........7-5-0.......58.33%.......+19.10
09/20/2021........6-5-0.......54.54%........+5.75
09/19/2021........8-7-0.......53.33%......+13.50
09/18/2021........8-7-0.......53.33%.......-10.55
09/17/2021........9-5-0.......64.29%......+19.15
09/16/2021........2-5-0.......28.57%........-25.75
09/15/2021........6-9-0.......40.00%........-22.75
09/14/2021.......6-10-0.......37.50%.......-39.90
09/13/2021........4-3-0.......57.14%..........-4.65
09/12/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-36.25
09/11/2021........8-8-0.......50.00%.........-17.95
09/10/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-30.85
09/09/2021........6-2-0.......75.00%........+20.75
09/08/2021........9-6-0.......60.00%........+13.90
09/07/2021........9-7-0.......56.25%........+24.75
09/06/2021........7-5-0.......58.33%........+12.30
09/05/2021......12-4-0........75.00%.......+32.60
09/04/2021......11-5-0........68.75%.......+36.00
09/03/2021......11-8-1........57.89%.......+14.40
09/02/2021........3-8-0........27.27%........-29.05
09/01/2021......4-12-0.......25.00%........-51.70
Totals:.........191-169-1.......53.05%........+ 3,20
Best Bets:
09/28/2021.......3-4-0........42,85%......- 3.85
09/27/2021.......0-1-0........00.00%.......- 5.00
09/26/2021.......3-4-0........42.85%.......+1.40
09/25/202.........2-5-0........28.57%.......-9.60
09/24/2021.......1-4-0........20.00%......-13.60
09/23/2021.......4-1-0........60.00%......+21.00
09/22/2021.......5-0-0......100.00%......+31.80
09/21/2021.......4-3-0.......57.14%.......+15.25
09/20/2021.......3-2-0.......54.54%.......+16.40
09/19/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%........+18.55
09/18/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%..........+4.55
09/17/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%.........- 0.10
09/16/2021.......0-3-0........00.00%........-15.00
09/15/2021.......2-4-0........33.33%.........- 3.30
09/14/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%........+ 2.25
09/13/2021.......1-3-0........25.00%.........- 9.65
09/12/2021.......1-3-0 .......25.00%........- 12.40
09/11/2021.......3-3-0........50.00%........+ 3.95
09/10/2021.......2-5-0........28.57%........- 13.25
09/09/2021.......3-0-0......100.00%.......+ 20.05
09/08/2021.......5-1-0.......83.33%........+ 26.60
09/07/2021.......4-4-0.......50.00%........+ 16.85
09/06/2021.......5-3-0.......62.50%........+ 15.90
09/05/2021.......4-0-0.....100.00%........+ 31.35
09/04/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%.........+ 9.80
09/03/2021.......5-6-0.......45.45%.........- .0.75
09/02/2021.......1-7-0.......12.50%........- 31.50
09/01/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%........- 10.70
Totals.............73-84-0.......46.49%.......+ 91.75Leave a comment:
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TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 28
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
MIA at NYM 04:10 PM
NYM -195
+500
CHC at PIT 06:35 PM
PIT -102
+500
BOS at BAL 07:05 PM
BOS -253
+500
NYY at TOR 07:07 PM
NYY +114
+500
PHI at ATL 07:20 PM
PHI +111
+500
MIL at STL 07:45 PM
STL +104
+500
LAA at TEX 08:05 PM
LAA -109
+500
CLE at KC 08:10 PM
CLE +108
+500
CIN at CHW 08:10 PM
CHW -177
+500
TB at HOU 08:10 PM
TB +119
+500
WAS at COL 08:40 PM
COL -128
+500
ARI at SF 09:45 PM
SF -248
+500
SD at LAD 10:10 PM
SD +163
+500
OAK at SEA 10:10 PM
SEA +105
+500
Leave a comment:
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Diamond Trends for Tuesday September 28
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at L.A. Dodgers (10:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Dodgers are 16-0 since May 17, 2019 in the first game of a series when they swept a three-game, same-season series in their last meeting between these teams, with the last win by multiple runs.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cincinnati at Chi. White Sox (8:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Reds are 0-8 since June 2017 when they are not more than -140 favorites after they had more than 15 hits last game.
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Minnesota (7:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Tigers are 0-9-1 OU since May 12 as a dog coming off a game where at least 15 runs were scored anf they didn't win by 5+ runs.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. ET)
-- Chris Sale is 17-0 since June 20, 2017 as a road favorite of at least -180 when the total is between 7.5 and 9.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
Leave a comment:
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MLB
Tuesday, September 28
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Trend Report
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Miami @ NY Mets
Miami
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Miami is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games at home
Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games
NY Yankees @ Toronto
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Miami @ NY Mets
Miami
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Miami is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games at home
Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Angels @ Texas
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Cincinnati @ Chi White Sox
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Tampa Bay @ Houston
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Cleveland @ Kansas City
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Cleveland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Washington @ Colorado
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Diego @ LA Dodgers
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Oakland @ Seattle
Oakland
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
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Leave a comment:
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, September 28
NL games
Miami (64-91) @ Mets (73-81)
— Rogers is 0-2, 5.50 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 11-13 in his starts.
— under 12-9-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-2
— He blanked Mets for 6 IP April 10th.
— bullpen game
— Marlins are 7-10 in last 17 games.
— Miami is 5-18 in last 23 road games.
— under 20-13-2 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-156
— record in first 5 innings: 57-75-24
— Stroman is 0-1, 3.81 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 14-17 in his starts.
— under 9-3-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-32
— record in first 5 innings: 14-15-3
— He is 0-0, 2.13 in three starts vs Miami this year.
— Williams is 0-0, 2.63 in three starts for NY.
— Mets are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 0-1, 4.80 in three starts vs Miami
— Mets are 3-13 in their last 16 games.
— Mets are 1-5 in last six home games.
— over 6-3 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-155
— record in first 5 innings: 58-70-18
Cubs (67-89) @ Pittsburgh (58-98)
— Mills is 0-1, 7.52 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 7-11 in his starts.
— under 10-8
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-3
— He is 0-2, 6.14 in 8 games (3 starts) vs Pittsburgh.
— Cubs are 0-6 in last six games.
— Chicago is 1-4 in last five road games.
— Over is 21-9 in last 30 games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-155
— record in first 5 innings: 60-77-18
— Keller is 1-1, 3.32 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 9-12 in his starts.
— over 8-3-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 11-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-2
— He is 1-1, 2.57 in three starts vs Chicago this year.
— Pirates are 10-9 in last 19 games.
— Pittsburgh is 7-3 in last ten home games.
— over 14-9-1 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-156
— record in first 5 innings: 50-88-18
Philadelphia (81-75) @ Atlanta (83-72)
— Wheeler is 2-2, 5.73 in his last eight starts.
— Phillies are 15-16 in his starts.
— over 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-16-1
— He is 1-1, 4.44 in four starts vs Atlanta this year.
— Phillies are 9-3 in last 12 games.
— Phillies are 47-34 at home, 34-41 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-156
— record in first 5 innings: 65-60-31
— Morton is 1-1, 3.19 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 15-16 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 19-9-3
— He is 2-2, 6.11 in four starts vs Philly this year.
— Braves won seven of last nine games.
— Atlanta is 5-5 in last 10 home games.
— under 20-12-4 last 36 games
— scored run in first inning: 55-155
— record in first 5 innings: 79-52-24
Milwaukee (94-62) @ St Louis (87-69)
— Woodruff is 0-3, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 16-13 in his starts.
— under 16-11-2
— allowed run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-7
— He is 0-1, 4.97 in two starts vs St Louis this year.
— Brewers won their last three games.
— Milwaukee is 6-3 in last nine road games.
— over 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 53-156
— record in first 5 innings: 80-48-28
— Wainwright is 5-0, 2.56 in his last seven starts.
— Cardinals are 17-3 in his last 20 starts.
— under 17-13-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-31
— record in first 5 innings: 15-11-5
— He is 1-1, 4.22 in four starts vs Milwaukee this year.
— Cardinals have won 16 games in row.
— St Louis is 7-1 in its last eight home games.
— Over is 9-4 in last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 59-156
— record in first 5 innings: 74-60-22
Washington (65-92) @ Colorado (71-85)
— Corbin is 2-1, 4.08 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 13-17 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 13-30
— record in first 5 innings: 11-15-4
— He is 10-5, 4.76 in 23 starts vs Colorado.
— Washington is 23-49 in its last 72 games.
— Nationals are 6-10 in last 16 road games.
— over 34-17-3 last 54 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-157
— record in first 5 innings: 67-65-25
— Freeland is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
— Rockies are 11-11 in his starts.
— under 12-5 last 17
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-4
— He is 3-1, 1.95 in five starts vs Washington.
— Colorado is 0-5 in its last five games.
— Rockies are 46-33 at home, 25-52 on road.
— over 8-6 last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 51-156
— record in first 5 innings: 62-71-23
Arizona (50-106) @ San Francisco (102-54)
— Weaver is 0-3, 6.89 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 5-7 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-2
— He is 3-3, 3.16 in six starts vs San Francisco.
— Arizona lost 21 of last 27 games.
— Arizona is 1-5 in its last six road games.
— over 19-8-1 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-156
— record in first 5 innings: 56-86-14
— Webb is 3-0, 3.27 in his last seven starts.
— Giants are 16-2 in his last 18 starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 13-7-4
— He is 2-0, 2.25 in two starts vs Arizona.
— Giants are 18-5 in last 23 games.
— Giants are 7-4 in last 11 home games.
— Over is 12-8 in last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 52-156
— record in first 5 innings: 83-53-20
San Diego (78-78) @ Los Angeles (100-56)
— Darvish is 0-1, 6.61 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 3-8 in his last 11 starts.
— over 16-5-1 last 22
— allowed run in first inning: 6-29
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-9
— He is 2-1, 2.42 in four starts vs Los Angeles this year.
— Padres are 12-28 in last 40 games.
— San Diego is 2-9 in last 11 road games.
— over 18-8-1 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-155
— record in first 5 innings: 63-71-21
— Buehler is 1-2, 7.32 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 20-11 in his starts.
— over 17-12-2
— allowed run in first inning: 6-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-5
— He is 1-0, 2.29 in three starts vs San Diego this year.
— Dodgers are 41-16 in last 57 games.
— Dodgers are 8-7 in last 15 road games.
— under 23-11-3 last 37 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-155
— record in first 5 innings: 84-49-22
AL games
Boston (88-68) @ Baltimore (49-106)
— Sale is 5-0, 3.60 in seven starts.
— Boston is 6-1 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1
— He is 2-0, 2.70 in two starts vs Baltimore this year.
— Boston is 0-3 in its last three games.
— Red Sox are 5-3 in last eight road games.
— over 12-8 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-156
— record in first 5 innings: 69-63-24
— Zimmerman is 2-1, 3.43 in his last four starts.
— His last start was June 13.
— Baltimore is 3-8 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
— He is 1-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Boston this year.
— Orioles are 11-40 in their last 51 games.
— Baltimore is 25-53 on road, 25-53 at home.
— under 9-4 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-156
— record in first 5 innings: 50-85-21
Bronx (89-67) @ Toronto (87-69)
— Taillon is 0-2, 8.22 in his last three starts.
— New York is 15-12 in his starts.
— over 10-3 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 7-27
— record in first 5 innings: 9-15-3
— He is 0-2, 6.75 in two starts vs Toronto this year.
— New York is 11-4 in its last 15 games.
— New York is 7-7 in last 14 road games.
— under 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-156
— record in first 5 innings: 68-57-32
— In his last two starts, Ryu allowed 12 runs in 4.1 IP.
— Toronto is 11-5 in his last 16 starts.
— over 7-3-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 17-11-3
— He is 3-1, 2.48 in five starts vs New York this year.
— Toronto is 3-4 in last seven games.
— Blue Jays are 8-2 in last 10 home games.
— Under is 6-0 in last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-156
— record in first 5 innings: 37-23-8 last 68
Detroit (75-81) @ Minnesota (69-87)
— Alexander is 0-2, 5.70 in his last six starts.
— Detroit is 10-3 in his starts.
— over 7-6
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-4
— He is 0-0, 8.59 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.
— Detroit is 10-7 in its last 17 games.
— Detroit is 7-7 in last 14 road games.
— under 34-16-3 last 53 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-157
— record in first 5 innings: 26-29-8 last 63
— bullpen game
— Minnesota is 11-10 in its last 21 games.
— Twins are 4-9 in last 13 home games.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 56-155
— record in first 5 innings: 51-77-27
Angels (74-82) @ Texas (56-98)
— Naughton is 0-3, 6.60 in four starts.
— Angels are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.
— Angels lost eight of last ten games.
— Angels are 4-4 in last eight road games.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 45-156
— record in first 5 innings: 65-73-18
— Alexy is 2-1, 4.05 in three starts.
— Texas is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He blanked Anaheim for 6 IP Sept. 6.
— Texas is 3-9 in last 12 games.
— Texas is 2-6 in last eight home games.
— under 3-0 last three home games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-156
— record in first 5 innings: 54-84-18
Cleveland (77-79) @ Kansas City (71-85)
— Civale is 1-3, 8.81 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 13-6 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 8-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
— He gave up 3 runs in 5.2 IP May 3rd in Kansas City.
— Cleveland is 19-18 in last 37 games.
— Indians are 5-2 in last seven road games.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scores run in first inning: 46-156
— record in first 5 innings: 62-73-21
— Singer is 2-1, 3.65 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 9-17 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 10-14-2
— He is 1-0, 3.55 in two starts vs Cleveland this year.
— Royals are 12-15 in their last 27 games.
— Royals are 1-4 in last five home games.
— under 39-20-6 last 65 games.
— scores run in first inning: 42-159
— record in first 5 innings: 60-76-23
Tampa Bay (97-59) @ Houston (91-65)
— Wacha is 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 12-9 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-6
— He is starts vs Houston.
— Tampa Bay is 4-0 in its last four games.
— Rays are 2-5 in last seven road games.
— over 24-18-5 last 47 games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-156
— record in first 5 innings: 68-56-32
— Urquidy is 2-0, 3.97 in his last two starts.
— Houston is 12-6 in his starts.
— over 5-0-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 13-4-1
— He threw 7 shutout IP in his one start vs Tampa Bay.
— Astros are 0-4 in last four games.
— Astros are 8-3 in last 11 home games.
— over 12-7-3 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 54-156
— record in first 5 innings: 83-50-23
Oakland (85-72) @ Seattle (87-70)
— Bassitt threw 3 shutout IP in his first start back from IL.
— A’s are 17-9 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 6-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-5-7
— He is 0-0, 6.00 in three starts vs Seattle this year.
— A’s won three of last four games.
— Oakland is 5-1 in its last six road games.
— Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 46-157
— record in first 5 innings: 71-61-25
— Kikuchi is 0-2, 9.24 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 14-15 in his starts.
— over 12-12-7
— allowed run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-7
— He is 1-0, 4.25 in three starts vs Oakland this year.
— Seattle is 19-9 in last 28 games.
— Seattle is 2-4 in last six home games.
— over 16-6-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-157
— record in first 5 innings: 69-66-22
Interleague games
Cincinnati (82-75) @ White Sox (89-68)
— bullpen game
— Cincinnati is 11-16 in its last 27 games.
— Reds are 1-4 in last five road games.
— under 22-12-1 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-157
— record in first 5 innings: 72-63-22
— Lopez is 0-2, 3.79 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.
— Chicago is 16-13 in last 29 games.
— White Sox are 6-3 in last nine home games.
— under 14-7 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-157
— record in first 5 innings: 86-46-25
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NY METS are 8-29 SU (-26.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the c...
PITTSBURGH is 5-16 SU (-16.4 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
BALTIMORE is 16-42 SU (-27.7 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
NY YANKEES are 18-5 SU (14.2 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.
NY METS are 8-29 SU (-26.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the c...
ATLANTA is 27-12 SU (13.8 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the cu...
MINNESOTA is 3-23 SU (-19.4 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the current season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-7 SU (23.3 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season...
TEXAS are 15-38 SU (-26.8 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 7-19 SU (-15.9 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season in the cur...
TAMPA BAY is 52-25 SU (27.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.
CHI WHITE SOX is 12-3 SU (8.7 Units) in home games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 11-1 SU (12.3 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the current season.
ARIZONA is 2-18 SU (-18.8 Units) in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in the current season.
SAN DIEGO is 18-34 SU (-21.9 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season in the...
SEATTLE is 57-26 SU (24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.
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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Some more interesting spreads for Week 4 of NFL:
— Carolina @ Dallas (-5)
— NJ Giants @ New Orleans (-8)
— Kansas City (-5.5) @ Philadelphia
— Houston @ Buffalo (-17.5)
— Arizona @ LA Rams (-6.5)
— Seattle @ San Francisco (-3)
Quote of the Day
“I can’t fully understand why anyone gets in a huddle.”
Nick Saban, an old defensive coordinator
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, what did Stu (Ed Helms) do for a job?
Monday’s quiz
Jay Cutler (102) has started the most games at QB for the Chicago Bears.
Sunday’s quiz
Drew Bledsoe was the Patriots’ starting QB before Tom Brady.
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Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
13) This week in 1974, big league pitcher Tommy John had the UCL in his left arm repaired by Dr Frank Jobe; Astros’ pitching coach Brent Strom was the second guy to have that surgery.
Obviously, Tommy John surgery has helped a ton of pitchers resume the careers; shouldn’t Dr Jobe be in the Baseball Hall of Fame? They put freakin’ Marvin Miller in the Hall last month; all he did was make the players wealthy. Did he really help the game of baseball at all?
Dr Frank Jobe needs to be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame.
12) Dallas 41, Philadelphia 21:
— This was one of the worst Monday night games ever. Seriously.
— Philly’s first 7 drives: 24 plays, 143 yards, outscored 7-0 by Dallas defense.
— Eagles’ RB’s had three carries the whole game. Three.
— Philly had a defensive TD in first quarter.
— Dallas scored TD’s on three of its first five drives.
— Cowboys have eight takeaways in three games (+5).
— Dallas won field position by ten yards.
— Last 4+ years, Dallas is 10-3 ATS in NFC East home games.
11) In the interest of fairness, I watched the Eagle-Cowboy game on the Manning Channel on ESPN2, out of curiosity more than anything else. Can’t criticize something unless you listen to them first, so I tuned in.
Some observations:
— It was much better than I thought it would be.
— They had four guests: Matthew Stafford, Lebron James, Nick Saban, Chris Long, which added to the quality of the show.
— Learned some good stuff, so in that sense I’m glad I watched.
To me, they’re doing this to keep Eli in the public eye so he’ll get elected into the Hall of Fame when he first becomes eligible in a few years (he doesn’t deserve to get in the first year, but he’ll definitely get inducted eventually).
For this format to work, they have to be critical when teams screw things up; the Eagle offense was so bad in this game, they let Jalen Hurts off the hook a little bit, but overall, it was worth the time.
Thing is, they’re taking the next three weeks off; no more Mannings until Week 7, possibly because of conflicts with the baseball playoffs.
10) Week 4 in the NFL is Subplot Weekend:
— Obviously, Brady/Gronkowski going back to Foxboro is a big deal.
— Andy Reid takes his Chiefs to Philly to play the Eagles; luckily, coach Reid got out of hospital Monday morning. We hope he is feeling better.
— Urban Meyer is will be back in Ohio Thursday night, when his Jaguars visit Cincinnati; Meyer was 83-9 in seven years at Ohio State. He is already 0-3 with Jacksonville.
— Kevin Stefanski brings his Cleveland Browns to Minnesota Sunday; Stefanski worked for the Vikings from 2006-19, under three head coaches, so this game has to be special for him.
9) If you’re into fantasy football, here are the leaders in WR targets so far:
34— Davante Adams, GB
33— Cooper Kupp, Rams, Keenan Allen, LAC, Darren Waller, LV
32— Brandin Cooks, Hst
31— Stefan Diggs Buff, Mike Williams LAC, DJ Moore, Caro
8) New Orleans Saints are 2-1, but they’ve only had three plays of 20+ yards. With Drew Brees in New Orleans, we came to expect an explosive offense, but Brees is retired, so now they depend lot more on their defense.
7) Las Vegas Raiders’ points in second half/OT: 23-17-19 points, so they’ve been explosive after halftime, with two of their three wins in overtime.
6) Auburn fired its first-year WR’s coach Cornelius Williams; they’ve played four games, it is still baseball season, and they fired an assistant coach. Must be an interesting backstory there.
5) NFL divisional trends in non-divisional games:
— NFC East home teams are 0-4 ATS out of division.
— NFC North home teams are 4-0 ATS out of division.
— AFC North teams are 1-4 ATS as favorites, 4-1 as underdogs out of division.
— AFC South home teams are 1-5 ATS at home out of division.
4) During the NBA lockout in 2011, Cowboys/Seahawks both offered Lebron James a contract to play tight end in the NFL, which would’ve been interesting.
3) St Louis Cardinals have won 16 games in a row; their starting pitchers have only seven of those games- they’ve been winning lot of games in late innings.
2) Washington Nationals’ 1B Josh Bell grew up in Texas, where high school football is a really big deal, but his dad got hurt playing football when he was young, so he wouldn’t let Josh play high school football, which would’ve put his baseball career at risk.
Seeing how Josh Bell is making $6,350,000 this season, his dad was smart.
1) NFL rookie QB’s are 1-10 ATS this season; the seven first-time head coaches are 7-14 ATS.
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MLB September Record Opinions & Best Bets !!
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
09/27/2021.........3-2-0......60.00%........+2.05
09/26/2021.........9-6-0......60.00%......+18.15
09/25/2021.........8-7-0.......53.33%.......+6.10
09/24/2021.......10-5-0.......66.66%......+25.90
09/23/2021.........4-7-0.......36.36%.......-22.55
09/22/2021.......10-2-0.......83.33%......+46.80
09/21/2021........7-5-0.......58.33%.......+19.10
09/20/2021........6-5-0.......54.54%........+5.75
09/19/2021........8-7-0.......53.33%......+13.50
09/18/2021........8-7-0.......53.33%.......-10.55
09/17/2021........9-5-0.......64.29%......+19.15
09/16/2021........2-5-0.......28.57%........-25.75
09/15/2021........6-9-0.......40.00%........-22.75
09/14/2021.......6-10-0.......37.50%.......-39.90
09/13/2021........4-3-0.......57.14%..........-4.65
09/12/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-36.25
09/11/2021........8-8-0.......50.00%.........-17.95
09/10/2021........5-9-0.......35.71%.........-30.85
09/09/2021........6-2-0.......75.00%........+20.75
09/08/2021........9-6-0.......60.00%........+13.90
09/07/2021........9-7-0.......56.25%........+24.75
09/06/2021........7-5-0.......58.33%........+12.30
09/05/2021......12-4-0........75.00%.......+32.60
09/04/2021......11-5-0........68.75%.......+36.00
09/03/2021......11-8-1........57.89%.......+14.40
09/02/2021........3-8-0........27.27%........-29.05
09/01/2021......4-12-0.......25.00%........-51.70
Totals:.........183-163-1.......52.89%........+ 0.15
Best Bets:
90/27/2021.......0-1-0........00.00%.......- 5.00
09/26/2021.......3-4-0........42.85%.......+1.40
09/25/202.........2-5-0........28.57%.......-9.60
09/24/2021.......1-4-0........20.00%......-13.60
09/23/2021.......4-1-0........60.00%......+21.00
09/22/2021.......5-0-0......100.00%......+31.80
09/21/2021.......4-3-0.......57.14%.......+15.25
09/20/2021.......3-2-0.......54.54%.......+16.40
09/19/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%........+18.55
09/18/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%..........+4.55
09/17/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%.........- 0.10
09/16/2021.......0-3-0........00.00%........-15.00
09/15/2021.......2-4-0........33.33%.........- 3.30
09/14/2021.......2-3-0........40.00%........+ 2.25
09/13/2021.......1-3-0........25.00%.........- 9.65
09/12/2021.......1-3-0 .......25.00%........- 12.40
09/11/2021.......3-3-0........50.00%........+ 3.95
09/10/2021.......2-5-0........28.57%........- 13.25
09/09/2021.......3-0-0......100.00%.......+ 20.05
09/08/2021.......5-1-0.......83.33%........+ 26.60
09/07/2021.......4-4-0.......50.00%........+ 16.85
09/06/2021.......5-3-0.......62.50%........+ 15.90
09/05/2021.......4-0-0.....100.00%........+ 31.35
09/04/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%.........+ 9.80
09/03/2021.......5-6-0.......45.45%.........- .0.75
09/02/2021.......1-7-0.......12.50%........- 31.50
09/01/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%........- 10.70
Totals.............70-80-0.......46.66%.......+ 95.60Leave a comment:
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MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
KC at CLE 01:10 PM
CLE -173
+500
PIT at CIN 01:10 PM
PIT +152
+500
CHW at DET 01:10 PM
CHW -146
+500
WAS at COL 08:40 PM
COL -159
+500
OAK at SEA 10:10 PM
SEA -116
+500Leave a comment:
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Diamond Trends for Monday September 27
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Colorado (8:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Rockies are 11-0 since September 2020 as a home favorite of at least -130 against an NL team when Jon Gray is not their starter.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Cleveland (1:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Royals are 0-8 since June 2018 coming off a win where they scored two or fewer runs and the game had at least nine total hits.
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Pirates are 0-7-2 OU this season coming off a 5+ run win as an underdog.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:10 p.m. ET)
-- Dallas Keuchel is 0-7 since July 26 pitching as a favorite vs. an AL team.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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