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Cnotes 2020/2021 NHL Season Long Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

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    07/02/2021 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    06/30/2021 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    06/28/2021 0-2-0 0.00% -10.50

    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....


    • Monday’s 6-pack
      Odds to win the MAC in football this fall:

      5-2— Toledo
      7-2— Ball State, Buffalo
      5-1— Western Michigan
      6-1— Ohio U
      10-1— Central Michigan
      12-1— Kent State, Miami
      25-1— Eastern Michigan
      75-1— Northern Illinois
      200-1— Akron, Bowling Green

      Quote of the Day
      “I’m supposed to throw Sunday. For me, I don’t think it’s smart to go pitch in the All-Star Game. I’ve been a little beat up this first half and obviously missed a few starts that I wish I wouldn’t have missed, so I don’t think it makes sense for me to throw in it.”
      Jacob deGrom

      Monday’s quiz
      Who was the manager of the Bronx Bombers before Aaron Boone?

      Sunday’s quiz
      NFL Hall of Famer Kurt Warner played his college football at Northern Iowa.

      Saturday’s quiz
      Trevor Bauer broke into the majors with the Diamondbacks, in 2012.


      Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

      13) What are the best/worst days to have birthdays?

      I’m thinking July 5th is on the worst list, along with December 24 and 26, maybe January 2.

      July 4th would be on the good list, along with December 31st.

      What do you think? Let me know………[email protected]

      12) These are facts; do with them what you will:

      — Madison Bumgarner threw a no-hitter April 25; Arizona then lost its next 24 road games.
      — John Means threw a no-hitter May 5; Orioles lost their next 20 road games.
      — Cubs threw a combined no-hitter June 24; Cubs are 0-9 since that game.

      Bumgarner/Means are both hurt now, by the way.

      11) Cubs had 11 hits in their 3-2 loss to Cincinnati Sunday, ending a streak of 20 games in a row with 8 or fewer hits. Cubs are just third team in last 100 years to go 20 consecutive games with 8 or fewer hits (’72 Mets, ’68 Bronx).

      10) Nevada sportsbooks banked a profit of $27.1M in May, their all-time record for May.

      9) I cannot imagine eating 76 hot dogs (and buns) in 10:00, but Joey Chestnut did that Sunday and won the Nathan’s contest for the 14th time. I can’t watch those guys eat anymore; it makes me want to puke, seriously. No way is it healthy.

      I do remember the movie Meatballs, when Larry Fink beats “The Stomach” in a hot dog eating contest, or as Bill Murray put it, “weenie war.” The actor who played “The Stomach” wound up being a high school football coach about 30 miles from here.

      8) Has to be a little awkward when umpires are constantly checking pitchers’ hats for foreign substances right after an inning.

      Miami’s Sandy Alcantara was getting squeezed by the home plate ump Saturday, then after the inning the guy was checking his hat/belt. Alcantara had to be biting his tongue.

      7) Sunday night was 22nd time this season the Diamondbacks had 2 or fewer hits thru six innings; they’re 1-21 in those games. Arizona has lost 45 games in a row when they score 4 or fewer runs, an ignominious record.

      6) Braves 8, Marlins 7 (10):
      — Atlanta tied game with four runs in 9th inning.
      — Pitcher Max Fried got the walk-off hit as a pinch-hitter in 10th inning.

      5) Colorado Rockies have nine walk-off hits, most in the majors this season.

      4) NFL Network had the 1999 Rams’ highlight film on Sunday night; damn right I watched it. Was pretty cool that Martin Sheen narrates it; I watch a lot of West Wing re-runs on my laptop as I write this space (am listening to one right now) so it is excellent that President Bartlet narrated the Greatest Show on Turf’s highlight film.

      3) Speaking of my Rams’ fandom, 40 years ago this week, Vince Ferragamo made his debut playing QB for Montreal in the CFL. It didn’t go well in Canada for Ferragamo, who had led the Rams to the Super Bowl in 1979- he was 15-5 as QB of the Rams before going to Canada, 11-13 when he came back. He later played for Buffalo and the Packers.

      Ferragamo got a raw deal from the Rams, who were very dysfunctional back then; they should’ve made sure he never freakin’ went to Canada, but that’s water under the bridge now.

      2) If you care about such things, over is 606-597-42 in baseball totals this season. Under was 11-5 Sunday; teams play more of their bench players on Sunday. May have to check that angle out as we go along.

      1) RIP to football coach Terry Donahue, who passed away this weekend at age 77. Coach Donahue coached UCLA from 1976-95, going 151-74-8, 98-51-5 in Pac-12 games, 8-4-1 in bowl games. Coach Donahue replaced the great Dick Vermeil at UCLA; he later worked as an analyst for CBS, then worked in the 49ers’ front office.

      Coach Donahue was inducted into the College Football Hall of Fame in 2000. RIP, sir.


      • 21TAMPA BAY -22 MONTREAL
        TAMPA BAY is 12-1 ATS (10.7 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.


        Monday, July 5


        Monday, July 5

        Trend Report

        Tampa Bay @ Montreal
        Tampa Bay
        Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
        Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
        Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home



        • MONDAY, JULY 5

          TB at MON 08:00 PM
          TB -154
          O 5.0
          +500 +500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....



            DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

            07/05/2021 0-1-1 25.00% -7.70
            07/02/2021 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
            06/30/2021 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
            06/28/2021 0-2-0 0.00% -10.50

            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....


            • Wednesday’s 6-pack
              Odds to win the Quad Cities Open golf tourney this week:

              9-1— Daniel Berger
              14-1— Brian Harman
              16-1— Russell Henley, Sungjae Im
              18-1— Kevin Streelman
              27-1— Cameron Davis, Si Woo Kim
              29-1— Alex Noren

              Quote of the Day
              “Hey, the other team gives scholarships too!!!”
              Football coach Lou Holtz, asked by a reporter at halftime why his heavily favored team was only ahead by a couple points.

              Wednesday’s quiz
              Who was manager of the Seattle Mariners, last time they made the playoffs?
              (Hint: He won a World Series managing a different team)

              Tuesday’s quiz
              Matthew Stonie (62 hot dogs) was the last male other than Joey Chestnut to win the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest, in 2015.

              Monday’s quiz
              Joe Girardi was the manager of the Bronx Bombers before Aaron Boone.


              Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

              13) Suns 118, Bucks 105:
              — Chris Paul scored 32 points for Phoenix.
              — He has 73 points the last two games, most points he’s ever scored in consecutive games.
              — Giannis Antetokounmpo played 35:00, scoring 20 points, with 17 rebounds.

              Before the 1969 NBA Draft, a coin was flipped in New York City to determine who got the first pick in the draft. Milwaukee won the coin flip, got Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, then won 332 games over the next six years, winning the 1971 NBA title, losing the Finals in ‘74.

              Phoenix lost that coin flip in ‘69; they drafted Neal Walk, a center from Florida. Not ideal.

              Later that summer, the Suns had a coin flip with Seattle for rights to ABA star Connie Hawkins. The second flip was more better for Phoenix; the won that coin flip and the rights to Hawkins, who became one of the greatest players in Suns’ history.

              Suns went 136-110 the next three years, with Hawkins lasting 4.5 years in the desert.

              12) With all the talk about Shohei Ohtani, I decided to look into Babe Ruth’s career, since he also was a great hitter who did some pitching. Here is what I found:

              Babe Ruth played five years for Boston, but played in 100+ games only in the last two seasons. He went 89-46 as a pitcher for Boston, winning 47 games in 1916-17. He threw 35 complete games in 1917. His last year in Boston was the only time he batted 400+ times for them.

              When he was traded to New York, he became a full-time hitter, and pitched only five games. Ruth hit 659 home runs for New York, and had a candy bar named after him.

              (A person who is smarter than me informed me that the candy bar was probably named after President Grover Cleveland’s daughter Ruth)

              Obviously there was no DH back then, or he probably would’ve hit more for Boston.

              11) In 1975, there was a TV show called When Things Were Rotten, a comedy set in Sherwood Forest, where Robin Hood, Maid Marian, and Robin’s band of Merry Men. Pretty good cast: Dick Van Patten, Bernie Kopell, Dick Gautier, Ron Rifkin.

              I was reminded of that this week, thinking about the catchers on my fantasy baseball team; over the last 23 days, the catchers on my fantasy team have been a combined 2 for 44.

              2 hits. 44 at-bats. 2 more hits than a dead person.

              In the big picture of life, this isn’t important, but it is driving me nuts; there are very few big league catchers who can hit. I’ve had six different catchers on my team in only 14 weeks. Next step is to leave the spot blank, then at least they won’t kill me in on-base %age.

              As I was typing all this, one of my team’s pitchers, Luis Castillo, left a game in Kansas City with a 6-1 lead after 7 innings; of course the Cincinnati bullpen blew the lead for him.

              Thats what happens when things are rotten.

              10) Braves, Marlins, Rangers are only three major league teams who haven’t been over .500 at any time this season.

              9) Angels’ 3B David Fletcher has a 20-game hitting streak, longest in the AL this season.

              8) Top under teams in the majors:
              — Washington under 52-29-1
              — Cubs 50-33-2
              — Marlins 45-31-6
              — Bronx 46-36

              Top over teams in the majors:
              — Twins 53-28-2
              — Angels 51-33
              — Astros 48-35-3
              — Rays 46-36-3

              7) Jacob deGrom was supposed to pitch for the Mets on Tuesday, then again on Sunday, the last day before the All-Star break, but the weather didn’t cooperate and last night’s game got rained out, so deGrom won’t pitch on Sunday.

              The Mets really, really wanted him to pitch last night night, then on Sunday; last night’s game wasn’t postponed until 9:40 or so. It was a scheduled 7:10 start.

              6) Baseball players signed by big league clubs at age 18 or younger have to be added to the team’s 40-man roster within five years, or that player becomes subject to the Rule 5 Draft, where other teams can draft them away from the original team.

              Players signed by big league clubs at age 19 or older have to be put on the 40-man roster within four seasons, or else they risk losing that player for nothing.

              5) Cities where the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest got the best TV ratings:
              Cincinnati, New York, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh, Columbus.

              4) In 440 games played in empty arenas during the NBA regular season, the home team won by an average of 0.39 points.

              In 507 games played with fans, the home team won by an average of 2.13 points.

              3) Jaguars’ rookie QB Trevor Lawrence signed his first pro contract, for $36.8M, with $24.1M of that guaranteed. By way of contrast, when Sam Bradford signed his rookie contract in 2010, it was worth $78M. NFL has done a good job of toning down the rookie deals since then.

              2) Phillies 15, Cubs 10
              — Cubs lose their 11th straight game
              — Chicago’s last 67 home runs have all come with either the bases empty or only one man on base, the longest stretch in franchise history.

              1) When umpire Joe West first umped in the major leagues in the mid-70’s, there were five current major league managers who weren’t even born yet.


              • Comment

                • 31MONTREAL -32 TAMPA BAY
                  MONTREAL is 13-8 ATS (4.2 Units) as a # 4 seed in the playoffs in the last 3 seasons.


                  Wednesday, July 7


                  Wednesday, July 7

                  Trend Report

                  Montreal @ Tampa Bay
                  Montreal is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
                  Montreal is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
                  Tampa Bay
                  Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal



                  • WEDNESDAY, JULY 7
                    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

                    MON at TB 08:00 PM
                    TB -238
                    O 5.0
                    +500 +500
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....